Strategizing for Scoresheet
It’s that time of year again: Scoresheet prep time! For those of you unaware, Scoresheet is a league where you build a full 25-man-type roster (you get up to 30 active players) complete with bench players, full bullpens and so on.
Here’s our league page, for instance.
I’ve had fairly good clubs over the last couple seasons. I was 88-74 last season as “Jedd, Ed and Eddie” and 95-67 in 2015 as “Wasted Aces” — because I had Yu Darvish, Marcus Stroman and Masahiro Tanaka. Welp! The 2014 season was also solid (95-67), as my team was named aptly as “Ricky Nolasco is not very good.” Basically, I haven’t finished under .500 since team “new Warne order” — don’t ask — went 76-86 in 2013, so maybe I’m starting to get the hang of it?
The way Scoresheet works is that you keep major league players and minor league players. Any player who is still eligible to win Rookie of the Year is considered minor-league eligible. Those players cost you picks starting from the back of the 35-round draft. So, if you keep five rookies, your last pick would be in the 30th round. Keeping MLB players costs you picks at the front of the draft, so there’s obviously some strategy at play here.
We have a soft-10 keeper rule, which means you can keep 10 MLB players and as many minor leaguers as you’d like. With that said, keeping more than five or six minor leaguers is inadvisable due to roster crunches, and the other tough part is that a lot of players are no longer minor-league eligible, but also not particularly useful as big leaguers yet. I’m running into that situation with a few players this season.
Also, it’s worth noting that keepers are due at the end of the night on Feb. 15, so there isn’t too much time left to make moves.
Here’s the year-end 2016 roster I’m rolling over in 2017 (asterisk denotes minor-league eligible):
Starting Pitchers:
Marcus Stroman
Masahiro Tanaka
Ervin Santana
Matt Shoemaker
Danny Salazar
Yu Darvish
Jose Berrios
Mike Clevinger
Nick Tropeano
Jeff Hoffman*
Kohl Stewart*
Mike Minor
Relief Pitchers:
Joseph Biagini
Ryan Pressly
Brad Ziegler
Matt Bowman
Joakim Soria
Taylor Rogers
Brandon Kintzler
Mark Lowe
Casey Fien
Shawn Armstrong*
Glen Perkins
Trevor Cahill
Seth Maness
Catchers:
Yasmani Grandal
A.J. Ellis
Chance Sisco*
First Basemen:
Second Basemen:
Third Baseman:
Shortstops:
Xander Bogaerts
Eduardo Nunez
Jedd Gyorko
Isan Diaz*
Brendan Rodgers*
Outfielders:
Stephen Piscotty
Jason Heyward
Melvin Upton Jr.
Eddie Rosario
Trayce Thompson
A.J. Pollock
Alex Kirilloff*
Lewis Brinson*
—
So, that’s a pretty solid roster, right? I like to focus on pitching and up-the-middle talent when thinking about keepers, and I don’t think I’m unique in that regard. The four starters I’m keeping are kind of a slam dunk, with Stroman, Tanaka, Darvish and Salazar. There’s ample risk, but a very, very high ceiling and I’m already 80 percent to a full rotation. I’ll always spend picks on possible guys to round out the rotation like Tropeano, Shoemaker or Santana — all of whom are decently interesting and will be thrown back into the player pool to choose from.
Up the middle, I’m keeping Grandal, Bogaerts and a trio of outfielders — Pollock, Heyward and Piscotty. Abreu is a solid first baseman and that’s strangely not a position that has a ton of depth in the draft each year, but I feel pretty confident going into the draft needing just a second and third baseman, a fifth starter, a bullpen and a bench.
I think that’s a fairly good foundation.
I’ve never kept relievers, but I’ve also never had much in the way of stud relievers. For the most part, I can usually cobble together a solid bullpen. This year’s was…..not so great, I guess. I’m hoping for a Heyward bounce back as far as outfielders are concerned, and simply having a healthy Pollock — knock on wood — will help me a ton here just like with the Ottoneu team I wrote up last week. Overall, this is a solid, if unassuming outfield bunch.
Prospects-wise, I’m kind of on the fence with a few guys. Let’s take a look at my projected keeper list, and then break down the prospects afterward:
Grandal
Abreu
Bogaerts
Piscotty
Heyward
Pollock
Stroman
Salazar
Tanaka
Darvish
I don’t think there are any arguments in those 10. In previous years, I had tougher decisions — like if Carlos Gomez was going to bounce back prior to last season, for instance — but this year it’s a pretty cut and dry bunch of 10.
The minor leaguers are far tougher. As of right now, here’s who I’m thinking of keeping:
Stewart
Hoffman
Sisco
Diaz
Rodgers
Kirilloff
Brinson
Seven keepers is a lot, but if I get to a point in the draft where I don’t like any players enough to take the plunge — let’s say, round 15, for instance — I can also flip that pick and trade back for a couple more. There are no roster limits, just a limit to how many players you can activate each week. So in 35 rounds, an owner could have 40 picks if they played their cards right. That makes strategy interesting once guys fall out of the race toward the end of the season. They might flip a player they don’t plan on keeping anyway for an 18th-round pick. Then, come next draft, they have an 18th round pick as a bonus and the other owner not only took that player on, but has to find a way to keep or move them or else they lose them back into the player pool. As a result, 3-for-1 deals where teams try to consolidate into higher quality over quantity happen from time to time.
I know Stewart hasn’t struck anyone out in his minor-league career, but he’s still well regarded in prospect circles and still throws fairly hard. I want to take a year and see how he evolves under a new brain trust. I’m not terribly enthused about owning any Rockies pitcher, but he missed out on exhausting his rookie eligibility and if he pans out, I have a ready-made fifth starter. It would have been nice if this was true for Berrios as well, but them’s the breaks. Sisco had a nice year in Double-A last year and catching prospects always carry a little more weight. Diaz is a top-100 prospect who projects as a very good up-the-middle talent. The same is true of Rodgers, who just wound up No. 16 on the Baseball America top-100 list. He’s a little ways off, but that’s OK. Brinson was No. 27 on this year’s list, and could provide me with another bat who could DH if I can’t find room in the outfield, or else insurance for Heyward/Pollock if their 2016 issues persist. Kirilloff is a long ways off as well, but has a well-regarded bat and could move quickly in the Twins system.
Overall, am I missing anything? Are there any players I’m keeping that you wouldn’t? Let me hear it.
In addition to Rotographs, Warne writes about the Minnesota Twins for The Athletic and is a sportswriter for Sportradar U.S. in downtown Minneapolis. Follow him on Twitter @Brandon_Warne, or feel free to email him to do podcasts or for any old reason at brandon.r.warne@gmail-dot-com
You should note that it’s a 24-team league; I was dubious about Heyward as a keeper but as pick 240 it’s fine.
YES! I forget one piece of important info each year. Good point.
Unless you’re expecting Heyward to steal 20+ bases again, I don’t see the point in keepng him. His peak wasn’t great and he’s clearly unreliable. I’d definitely opt for Plouffe or even Gyorko (HRs and flexibility?) over Heyward.
Great defense helps. I could consider Gyorko, but I don’t exactly see last season as sustainable either.
Scotter gennett is not very good, is there anyone availiable on waivers that should be better than him?
1. I know he isn’t good, that’s why I’m not keeping him.
2. There are no waivers in Scoresheet. Just supplementals every month or so. But still, I’m not keeping Gennett.
Mock draft locations:
Bogaerts: Pick 11 overall
Darvish: R2
Pollock: R3
Grandal: R4
Stroman: R5
Salazar: R5
Abreu: R5
Tanaka: R5
Piscotty: R9
Heyward: R10
I think that’s the right 10. Heyward’s your third OF, and you might protect nine and fish for someone in R10 as people tend to slightly overprotect, but I think just keeping Heyward is best. (As I pointed out in the mock, he actually had roughly the same hitting as several people drafted above him, so all the hate seems misplaced. Plus, those guys didn’t play as much – Noah Syndergaard, Madison Bumgarner, etc.)
Hard no on Hoffman (Rockie reliever), soft no on Kirilloff.
It’s a fun team – better than average, needs some breaks to win it all. Good luck!
Link to mock: https://groups.yahoo.com/neo/groups/Mock_Scoresheet_Draft/info
Really great info. Thank you! I still think I can justify Hoffman as a 30th round pick, but worth thinking about.
I actually think Hoffman is a clear keeper at R30. He’s got a good chance of ending up in the rotation and pretty much anyone with a rotation slot is worth an R30 in a 24-team league. Even as a starter-eligible reliever he’ll save you from some P-AAA, which makes it a fair use of an R30, and there is still some real upside there (though I admit it’s hard to imagine what he could do in Colorado to make him a keeper in a soft 10).
Gonna be a hard sell as an MLB keeper next year, but as a fifth starter I would be OK with 4.20 ERA and decent rates. It’s not likely, but I won’t rely on him too heavily either. I’ll probably grab an Ervin Santana-type in the draft as well.
Berrios high ceiling. Also check around the league and see who is being dropped and trade them a supplemental pick if better than any of your borderline keepers. My two cents.