Starting Pitcher Chart – September 5th, 2022

September 4, 2022

I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart!

The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Monday Starters

PITCHER	TM	OPP	THR	10	12	15+	L5 STATS	OPP wOBA L30 days	NOTE
Kevin Gausman	TOR	at BAL	R	x	x	x	3.45 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 25% K-BB	.310 – 11th	He’s been markedly better on the road: 2.01 ERA/1.04 WHIP
Triston McKenzie	CLE	at KCR	R	x	x	x	2.48 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 24% K-BB	.304 – 14th	Putting up a Top 25 SP campaign thus far (#24)
Brady Singer	KCR	CLE	R	x	x	x	2.32 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.278 – 25th	Excellent season includes career-high 25% K rate
Andrew Heaney	LAD	SFG	L	x	x	x	3.47 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 33% K-BB	.345 – 8th	36% K rate in L5 despite going 5+ IP just twice
Lance Lynn	CWS	at SEA	R	x	x	x	2.64 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 26% K-BB	.302 – 18th	A few too many HRs, but otherwise looks back
Blake Snell	SDP	ARI	L	x	x	x	3.12 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 27% K-BB	.276 – 27th	Has a 2.81 ERA and 35% K in L11 starts
Jack Flaherty	STL	WAS	R	x	x	x	1st start since June 26th	.300 – 19th	Reached 102 pitches in his last rehab start
José Suarez	LAA	DET	L	x	x	x	2.51 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 19% K-BB	.291 – 23rd	Has been excellent since joining the rotation (3.44 ERA/1.16 WHIP)
Michael Wacha	BOS	at TBR	R	x	x	x	3.03 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.325 – 7th	Has allowed more than 3 ER just 3x in 17 starts
Jameson Taillon	NYY	MIN	R	x	x	x	4.00 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.299 – 21st	Left last start w/forearm contusion
Taijuan Walker	NYM	at PIT	R	x	x	x	6.98 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 3% K-BB	.263 – 29th	Has 3.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP in 4 GS since 1 IP/8 ER dud v. ATL
Logan Webb	SFG	at LAD	R		x	x	1.50 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 12% K-BB	.355 – 2nd	Don’t be afraid to fade LAD if you can’t afford a bomb
José Berríos	TOR	at BAL	R		x	x	6.92 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 12% K-BB	.310 – 11th	If you can sustain a bomb, take the shot (8 of L11 w/<=3 ER)
Hunter Brown	HOU	TEX	R		x	x	MLB Debut	.309 – 12th	Posted a 2.55 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 21% K-BB in 106 IP at AAA
Freddy Peralta	MIL	at COL	R			x	2.08 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, 13% K-BB	.313 – 17th (at Coors)	No shame in punting a Coors start at this pont in the season
Marco Gonzales	SEA	CWS	L			x	4.13 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 8% K-BB	.350 – 6th	Low upside gamble
Jordan Lyles	BAL	TOR	R			x	3.58 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.298 – 22nd	Has a 2.94 ERA at home thanks to HR suppressing new wall
Mitch Keller	PIT	NYM	R				4.70 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.336 – 4th	Too volatile to stream in this tough of a matchup
Tyler Alexander	DET	at LAA	L				5.96 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.280 – 25th	Wide range of outcomes but LAA offers streaming chance
Chris Archer	MIN	at NYY	R				6.04 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.257 – 30th	Only reached 5 IP in 5 of 23 starts
Martín Pérez	TEX	at HOU	L				4.82 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 9% K-BB	.358 – 5th	A couple duds in his L5… both v. HOU; hard pass!
Ryne Nelson	ARI	at SDP	R				MLB Debut	.316 – 9th	Only 22% K rate in 136 IP at AAA
Mike Baumann	BAL	TOR	R				1st start of the season	.298 – 22nd	Not risking this even w/TOR lagging at the dish
Aníbal Sánchez	WAS	at STL	R				3.08 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 5% K-BB	.368 – 1st	No.
Ryan Feltner	COL	MIL	R				5.81 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 7% K-BB	.303 – 17th	Coors saps any potential upside