Starting Pitcher Chart – September 1st, 2026
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- SP Rankings (last update: 7/24 | next: September)
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About Last Night: a few notes about some Monday SPs
- What the hell was that, Kyle Harrison?! Yeah, CHC is #1 in wOBA vL so there were no guarantees, but I didn’t think he’s hit a full meltdown like that.
- George Kirby is a home-0nly starter the rest of the way… if that, tbh. We can’t keep banging our heads against the wall with him.
- A couple of HRs, including a 3-run shot, tanked Jackson Jobe’s outing and now through 5 starts, the 2 Duds have easily outweighed the two good ones and one decent one. This is a perfect microcosm for why I’m so cautious with TJ returners. See another JJ – Jared Jones – for a larger sample of TJ returner inconsistency. I still had Jobe as a 3-x, so I’m not pounding my chest here, more excoriating myself for not following my normal skepticism of this player class.
- deGrom maintained his 1 up, 1 down pattern, dominating ATH… can he break the streak and hold up v. TBR this weekend?
Tuesday’s Starters
- Luzardo had 4 Duds through his first 8 starts but allowed 4 ER in the other 4 starts combined so while frustrating, the poor starts weren’t really actionable and those who just kept him locked in the rotation have been rewarded handsomely: 2.12 ERA/1.02 WHIP/23% K-BB in 119.3 (19 starts) since the last of those Duds.
- I still think Melton has the stuff to be a legitimate ace as he develops but the Ks were back down again in August after a surge in July, giving him more of a Sandy Alcantara feel right now which is still great but short of a true fantasy ace.
- Remember when I floated the idea of Gav Williams dropping a 20-K game at LAA last week? That was cute… instead, he had his worst start of the year as he failed to finish 2 innings. (1.3 IP/5 ER)
- I really thought we’d see the other shoe drop with E-Rod as he had a 2.29 ERA/4.77 SIERA split in the first half as it seemed like the 88% LOB and .247 BABIP were ripe for regression. The regression has in fact come, with a 73% and .306 in the 2H, respectively, but his 0.95 HR9 is all the way down to 0.38 (6th best in 2H) and has masked a lot of the impact of that regression.
- PIT has slammed righties on the year (2nd in wOBA), but they’re just 28th in the 2H so I’m no longer running from them as much with non-ace righties. That doesn’t matter as much today as we’d be starting Webb even if they were still a top 5 offense against ’em, but just wanted to note that as we move through the final month. That would include guys like Landen Roupp, Blake Tidwell, and Walbert Ureña who draw PIT this week.
- I won’t blame anyone for skipping Bradish in Coors especially on the heels on a pair of rough outings (at STL, v. NYY). I don’t want to be overly influenced by Monday’s 2-1 game, either. A low scoring game one night doesn’t mean it can’t be 10-9 in the 4th inning the next in that park!
- I’m nervous to jump in on GrayRod, but he’s been pretty good lately with a 3.07 ERA/1.21 WHIP/17% K-BB in his L6 (32.7 IP). He has a couple meh 4 IP starts in the mix, but the other 4 starts have been really good, including a pair of 7 IP gems. NYY’s modest offense helps, too. Walby cooked ’em on Monday night!
- It might be too hard to get away from Woo in 15s, but as I mentioned with Kirby, he probably needs to be a home-only starter at this juncture: 2.63 ERA/0.79 WHIP at home | 5.96 ERA/1.38 WHIP on the road.
- Learned my lesson from Harrison, let’s avoid these Cubs right now.
—
Starting Pitcher Chart September 1st
| Rk | PITCHER | Team | Opponent | T | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K% | K-BB | OPP K% | opp wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesús Luzardo | PHI | at ARI | L | x | x | x | 163 | 3.09 | 1.12 | 30% | 23% | 18% | 3 |
| 2 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | at LAA | R | x | x | x | 98.2 | 3.19 | 1.07 | 26% | 21% | 25% | 30 |
| 3 | Troy Melton | DET | at MIN | R | x | x | x | 97 | 1.86 | 1.01 | 21% | 14% | 21% | 9 |
| 4 | Gavin Williams | CLE | v. TOR | R | x | x | x | 156 | 3.98 | 1.12 | 32% | 25% | 19% | 22 |
| 5 | MacKenzie Gore | TEX | v. ATH | L | x | x | x | 149.1 | 4.40 | 1.28 | 26% | 17% | 25% | 11 |
| 6 | Paul Skenes | PIT | v. SFG | R | x | x | x | 145 | 3.79 | 1.12 | 29% | 23% | 21% | 12 |
| 7 | Logan Webb | SFG | at PIT | R | x | x | x | 147.2 | 3.72 | 1.10 | 20% | 14% | 24% | 2 |
| 8 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI | v. PHI | L | x | x | x | 162 | 2.50 | 1.19 | 18% | 10% | 22% | 14 |
| 9 | Sean Manaea | NYM | at TBR | L | x | x | x | 122.2 | 4.55 | 1.32 | 23% | 15% | 18% | 26 |
| 10 | Matthew Boyd | CHC | v. MIL | L | x | x | x | 97 | 3.99 | 1.22 | 19% | 11% | 21% | 17 |
| 11 | Sean Burke | CHW | at HOU | R | x | x | x | 149 | 3.32 | 1.15 | 26% | 18% | 22% | 11 |
| 12 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | at COL | R | x | x | 143 | 4.03 | 1.41 | 22% | 12% | 22% | 6 | |
| 13 | Freddy Peralta | TBR | v. NYM | R | x | x | 141 | 5.11 | 1.41 | 21% | 13% | 22% | 26 | |
| 14 | Grayson Rodriguez | LAA | v. NYY | R | x | x | 71.2 | 6.03 | 1.52 | 20% | 11% | 25% | 19 | |
| 15 | Bryan Woo | SEA | at BOS | R | x | 142.1 | 4.36 | 1.10 | 24% | 19% | 21% | 20 | ||
| 16 | Connor Prielipp | MIN | v. DET | L | x | 99 | 5.55 | 1.39 | 25% | 16% | 23% | 22 | ||
| 17 | Randy Vásquez | SDP | at CIN | R | x | 123 | 4.02 | 1.28 | 15% | 8% | 26% | 28 | ||
| 18 | Tyler Phillips | MIA | at KCR | R | x | 105.1 | 3.59 | 1.37 | 19% | 9% | 21% | 16 | ||
| 19 | Eric Lauer | LAD | v. STL | L | x | 105.1 | 4.78 | 1.26 | 16% | 8% | 19% | 12 | ||
| 20 | Randy Dobnak | KCR | v. MIA | R | 51.2 | 1.92 | 1.37 | 15% | 6% | 21% | 8 | |||
| 21 | Robert Gasser | MIL | at CHC | L | 82.1 | 4.59 | 1.30 | 22% | 15% | 22% | 1 | |||
| 22 | Ronel Blanco | HOU | v. CHW | R | 23.1 | 7.71 | 1.46 | 20% | 8% | 24% | 14 | |||
| 23 | Spencer Arrighetti | TOR | at CLE | R | 95.1 | 4.81 | 1.36 | 23% | 10% | 21% | 25 | |||
| 24 | AJ Smith-Shawver | ATL | at WSN | R | 13.2 | 5.93 | 1.61 | 16% | 3% | 21% | 7 | |||
| 25 | Nick Lodolo | CIN | v. SDP | L | 79 | 5.24 | 1.54 | 18% | 9% | 22% | 25 | |||
| 26 | Michael McGreevy | STL | at LAD | R | 142.1 | 3.86 | 1.25 | 17% | 10% | 21% | 1 | |||
| 27 | Jedixson Paez | BOS | v. SEA | R | 3 | 18.00 | 2.33 | -19% | 23% | 23 | ||||
| 28 | Gabriel Hughes | COL | v. BAL | R | 47.2 | 6.61 | 1.45 | 18% | 9% | 24% | 17 | |||
| 29 | Jake Irvin | WSN | v. ATL | R | 81.2 | 5.62 | 1.40 | 23% | 12% | 22% | 10 | |||
| 30 | Ryan Magdic | ATH | at TEX | L | 24% | 5 |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
Intro
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
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These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
Color Coding:
- Green – Good Matchup (lower OPS output by SP opponent) – 21st to 30th
- Yellow – OK – 11th to 20th
- Red – Bad – 1st to 10th