Starting Pitcher Chart – September 19th, 2022

September 19, 2022

It’s almost September so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart!

I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful. The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Monday’s Starters

PITCHER	TM	OPP	THR	10	12	15+	L5 STATS	OPP wOBA L30 days	NOTE
Clayton Kershaw	LAD	ARI	L	x	x	x	2.30 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 20% K-BB	.265 – 28th	Baby Snakes still haven’t cracked their lefty issue (30th in Sept.)
Logan Gilbert	SEA	at LAA	R	x	x	x	1.59 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 22% K-BB	.301 – 17th	Brilliant down the stretch
Max Scherzer	NYM	at MIL	R	x	x	x	3.09 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 21% K-BB	.319 – 10th	Hasn’t pitched since 9/3, but no shot I’d sit him
Corbin Burnes	MIL	NYM	R	x	x	x	5.34 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 20% K-BB	.338 – 4th	Steadied after a lull w/19 K & 1 BB in his L2
Sonny Gray	MIN	at CLE	R	x	x	x	1.93 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 17% K-BB	.284 – 26th	Deserves more attention for standout yr: 2.83 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 17% K-BB
José Suarez	LAA	SEA	L	x	x	x	3.41 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 19% K-BB	.317 – 14th	Continues to be a reliable start down the stretch
Luis Garcia	HOU	at TBR	R	x	x	x	4.50 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 14% K-BB	.315 – 12th	Mediocre L5 (3 or 4 ER in 4 of ’em) doesn’t deter me from starting him
Kyle Wright	ATL	WAS	R	x	x	x	3.38 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.345 – 2nd	Where will the breakout star go in 2023 drafts? Top 75?
Drew Rasmussen	TBR	HOU	R	x	x	x	2.67 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 27% K-BB	.303 – 15th	4 ER at TOR was his first over 3 ER since June 10th
Edward Cabrera	MIA	CHC	R	x	x	x	3.64 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 11% K-BB	.289 – 20th	Has allowed 6 HR in his L4; CHC 16th in HR vR this yr (104)
Cal Quantrill	CLE	MIN	R	x	x	x	2.25 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.285 – 24th	Has allowed >4 ER just 1x since June 24th (3.31 ERA)
Wade Miley	CHC	at MIA	L	x	x	x	3.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 22% K-BB	.254 – 30th	Stats are his 2 starts since IL return; elite matchup, too
Tyler Wells	BAL	DET	R		x	x	6.43 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.285 – 23rd	Has just 34 and 50 pitches in his 2 starts since IL return
Merrill Kelly 켈리	ARI	at LAD	R			x	3.90 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.346 – 1st	Only in chase mode… or maybe not (6.10 ERA, 12% K-BB v LAD since ’21)
Tyler Alexander	DET	at BAL	L				8.61 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, 8% K-BB	.262 – 29th	No real upside even w/the ripe matchup
Jakob Junis	SFG	at COL	R				5.81 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.320 – 11th (at Coors)	Can’t do it, not in Coors
Cory Abbott	WAS	at ATL	R				3.48 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 11% K-BB (as SP/RP)	.322 – 9th	Has an 8% K-BB rate in 26 IP as SP this year
Chad Kuhl	COL	SFG	R				8.17 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 14% K-BB	.283 – 27th	Hasn’t allowed fewer than 3 ER since June 27th

ATL	CHC*	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
WSN	MIL	LAD
NYM*	PIT	SDP*
PHI	STL	SFG