Starting Pitcher Chart – September 13th, 2022
by Paul Sporer
September 13, 2022
I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart!
The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Let’s go secure some titles!
NOTE: Not sure what happened to SEA/SDP with Gilbert/Darvish, but they are automatic yeses for me still!
Tuesday’s Starters
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | L5 STATS | OPP wOBA L30 days | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | NYM | CHC | R | x | x | x | 1.38 ERA, 0.59 WHIP, 36% K-BB | .296 – 19th | He’s going to be a 1st rounder again next year |
| Clayton Kershaw | LAD | at ARI | L | x | x | x | 4.01 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 20% K-BB | .276 – 29th | Great in his last 3 after a couple slight hiccups |
| Gerrit Cole | NYY | at BOS | R | x | x | x | 2.45 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 24% K-BB | .336 – 5th | A few hiccups, but still an elite season |
| Kyle Wright | ATL | at SFG | R | x | x | x | 3.30 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 18% K-BB | .296 – 20th | Those stats are WITH an 8 ER outing |
| Sandy Alcantara | MIA | PHI | R | x | x | x | 4.70 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 20% K-BB | .343 – 2nd | A couple wobbles down the stretch in his toughest matchups: at LAD, at ATL |
| Alek Manoah | TOR | TBR | R | x | x | x | 1.85 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 18% K-BB | .320 – 9th | Putting a bow an excellent sophomore campaign |
| Jeffrey Springs | TBR | at TOR | L | x | x | x | 2.49 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 18% K-BB | .335 – 11th | Has does his best work v. the best tms: 2.24 ERA, 1.09 WHIP in 52.3 IP |
| Jordan Montgomery | STL | MIL | L | x | x | x | 1.95 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 20% K-BB | .286 – 25th | I wonder how many NL Only winners he’s a part of after coming over |
| Bailey Falter | PHI | at MIA | L | x | x | x | 2.73 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 20% K-BB | .264 – 30th | Strong find down the stretch thanks to a juicy schedule: at PIT, NYM, PIT, at ARI, MIA |
| Hunter Brown | HOU | at DET | R | x | x | x | 2.55 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 21% K-BB | .299 – 19th | Excellent debut and a great matchup to stay hot; will he stay SP when JV returns? |
| José Suarez | LAA | at CLE | L | x | x | x | 2.35 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 21% K-BB | .307 – 18th | Sneaky stud in the 2H: 1.76 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 18% K-BB in 41 IP |
| Dean Kremer | BAL | at WAS | R | x | x | 2.30 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .331 – 6th | He’s quietly been excellent; will be an oft-discussed question of what’s next for the righty? | |
| Joe Ryan | MIN | KCR | R | x | x | x | 4.39 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .283 – 28th | HRs (1.5) have been a problem when he has bad starts |
| Cody Morris | CLE | LAA | R | x | x | 3.00 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 7% K-BB | .295 – 21st | Only 2 starts so far, the real question is the IP count; be careful if you need Ws | |
| Luis Cessa | CIN | PIT | R | x | x | 3.78 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 21% K-BB | .288 – 25th | Has gone 5 IP in his L2, not a bad longshot stream | |
| Ken Waldichuk | OAK | at TEX | L | x | 3.60 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .341 – 8th | I like the talent, but TEX smashing LH this yr (7th in wOBA) | ||
| Jakob Junis | SFG | ATL | R | x | 4.45 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 17% K-BB | .330 – 7th | Good in 3 of L5, but this is a brutal matchup | ||
| Merrill Kelly 켈리 | ARI | LAD | R | x | 2.88 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 20% K-BB | .329 – 8th | Has a 6.20 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 13% K-BB v. LAD since last yr (36 IP) | ||
| Michael Kopech | CWS | COL | R | x | 7.71 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 12% K-BB | .275 – 29th | Feeling lucky? | ||
| Drew Hutchison | DET | HOU | R | 3.20 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .309 – 14th | Hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in L8, but this isn’t the team | |||
| Cole Ragans | TEX | OAK | L | 3.80 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, -1% K-BB | .285 – 26th | Just too many BB to trust right now | |||
| Nick Pivetta | BOS | NYY | R | 3.16 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 11% K-BB | .284 – 26th | Don’t get fooled by the ERA of late | |||
| Kris Bubic | KCR | at MIN | L | 6.66 ERA, 1.93 WHIP, 3% K-BB | .285 – 27th | Was showing a few things in July, but too scary to run lately | |||
| Johan Oviedo | PIT | at CIN | R | 7.71 ERA, 2.62 WHIP, -8% K-BB | .316 – 12th | Live arm, but nowhere near stream status right now | |||
| Adrian Sampson 샘슨 | CHC | at NYM | R | 3.47 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 8% K-BB | .340 – 3rd | Too risky of a matchup | |||
| Cory Abbott | WAS | BAL | R | 5.09 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .284 – 27th | Not showing much at SP | |||
| Chad Kuhl | COL | at CWS | R | 9.93 ERA, 1.85 WHIP, 11% K-BB | .304 – 15th | No. |
What about Darvish?
Not sure what happened to SEA/SDP, but Gilbert/Darvish are across the board yeses!
have degrom and brown starting tonight in addition to Cole… metric differentials in my roto league are narrow – worth the risk of starting Cole at BOS given his historical under performance at Fenway?