Starting Pitcher Chart – May 29th, 2024

Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

 


Starter Notes May 29, 2024
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK L30/Season NOTE
1 Tarik Skubal DET v PIT x x x 60 2.25 0.85 27% 15th/29th Rainout pushes Skubal/Jones to Wed. afternoon meaning DET gets Jones/Skenes in the same day!
2 Jared Jones PIT at DET x x x 59 3.05 0.97 25% 4th/14th DET offense has been sneaky deece of late, but obviously Jones is an easy Auto Start
3 Luis Gil NYY at LAA x x x 55 2.11 1.01 19% 14th/18th 1st-pitch strike rate is up 10 pts to 62% in May, dropping his BB% by the same margin to 8% & fueling quite a surge (0.59 ERA/0.73 WHIP/22% K-BB in 31 IP)
4 Corbin Burnes BAL v BOS x x x 65 2.60 1.07 19% 13th/9th Many asking where the Ks are, but he’s just 0.2% off last yr’s mark so this isn’t new
5 Jack Flaherty DET v PIT x x x 61 3.84 1.08 30% 30th/29th This miiight be Matt Manning as he hasn’t pitched since May 19th; Manning would be 2-x, ranking ~15-18
6 Paul Skenes PIT at DET x x x 16 2.25 1.00 27% 4th/14th Skenes is a firm Auto Start right now based on his pedigree and MiLB performance
7 Shota Imanaga CHC at MIL x x x 53 0.84 0.91 23% 10th/2nd Has 7+ Ks in each of his L5, yielding a 0.84 ERA/0.99 WHIP in 32 IP
8 George Kirby SEA v HOU x x x 62 4.33 1.03 20% 2nd/4th Barrage of 7 HRs in L4 (5.25 ERA); it does include a 7 IP/0 ER gem v. KCR, but the 20% HR/FB spoiled the other 3… it’s frustrating, but still comes w/a 1.00 WHIP and I’m not benching him anywhere
9 Yu Darvish SDP v MIA x x x 53 3.04 0.99 17% 22nd/27th Not even 7 ER v. NYY could fully spoil his brilliant run as 4 straight scoreless outings before it gives him a 2.12 ERA in his L5
10 Bailey Ober MIN v KCR x x x 52 4.33 1.04 20% 10th/10th Still working off that 8 ER season opening meltdown as a 3.02 ERA in the subsequent 9 starts has only gotten his ERA down to mid-4.00s
11 MacKenzie Gore WSN at ATL x x x 53 3.04 1.29 20% 14th/7th ATL is still tough even w/out Acuña, but how are we takin’ Gore out of the lineup at this point? 3 or fewer ER in all 10 starts powered by a 20% K-BB
12 Ryan Pepiot TBR v OAK x x x 40 3.98 0.98 18% 3rd/17th OAK hasn’t been a total walkover this yr, still not giving up this start for Pep
13 Kutter Crawford BOS at BAL x x x 62 2.89 1.20 16% 24th/15th Modest L30 wOBA doesn’t make me any more comfortable v. BAL but Kutter stays in the rotation even after MIL dud
14 Justin Verlander HOU at SEA x x x 40 3.60 1.23 13% 21st/25th Seems like the Ks will just be more sporadic at this juncture: 2, 8, 3, 9 in his L4
15 Seth Lugo KCR at MIN x x x 72 1.74 0.97 16% 16th/20th Completely got his Ks back w/a 30% mark in his L6 starts after just an 11% in his first 5
16 Cristopher Sánchez PHI at SFG x x x 54 3.15 1.45 13% 8th/12th
17 Alek Manoah TOR at CHW x x x 22 3.97 1.06 15% 28th/30th If he can’t bounce back here after melting at DET, then we run for the hills
18 Braxton Garrett MIA at SDP x x 18 5.30 1.02 21% 25th/5th Big shutout in ARI hopefully kept some folks from cutting him too quickly after a couple duds off the IL
19 Dane Dunning TEX v ARI x x 40 4.43 1.18 17% 15th/24th Has reached 5 IP just once in his last 4, including just 3.3 in his return from the IL (5.09 ERA)… the 1.13 WHIP and 25 Ks in those 17.7 IP are encouraging, though
20 Ryne Nelson ARI at TEX x 34 6.03 1.83 11% 12th/8th Brilliant at LAD after getting smoked v. DET… just like we drew it up!
21 Bryse Wilson MIL v CHC x 44 2.86 1.16 12% 23rd/22nd Since fully joining the rotation: 2.67 ERA/1.30 WHIP/9% K-BB… the WHIP & K-BB say be careful trusting that ERA
22 Kyle Harrison SFG v PHI x 60 3.90 1.30 13% 7th/6th I know we love that home park in SFG, buuuttt I’m very nervous about PHI so I’m not diving in headfirst
23 Spencer Schwellenbach ATL v WSN x #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 25th/21st Impressed enough in just 45 IP at A+/AA to get the call so I might roster now & reserve to see how it goes bc a gem might send the price throught the roof immediately
24 James Paxton LAD at NYM x 49 3.49 1.43 0% 26th/16th If you’re chasing Wins
25 Logan Allen CLE at COL 57 4.89 1.46 13% 11th/19th Pitching better since the 7 ER v. DET: 1.53 ERA/1.28 WHIP/18% K-BB but Coors could make him pay for that WHIP
26 Chris Flexen 플렉센 CHW v TOR 49 5.69 1.37 9% 7th/13th
27 Frankie Montas CIN v STL 41 4.61 1.41 7% 6th/11th
28 Tyler Anderson LAA v NYY 64 2.52 1.06 8% 9th/1st He’s been a perfect streamer: 1.49 ERA/0.90 WHIP v. sub-.500 clubs; 4.50/1.36 v. =>.500 clubs
29 David Peterson NYM v LAD #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 5th/3rd
30 Andre Pallante STL at CIN 10 6.30 1.90 2% 29th/28th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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