Starting Pitcher Chart – May 28th, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then usually a note about them (some days are board-only). Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shorthand for shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
Just writing up the 1 and 2-x guys tonight! Will answer questions on anyone else if you have them, though.
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | PHI v ATL | x | x | x | 70 | 2.42 | 0.88 | 28% | 8th | |
| 2 | Hunter Greene | CIN at KCR | x | x | x | 49 | 2.54 | 0.85 | 27% | 26th | |
| 3 | Tyler Mahle | TEX v TOR | x | x | x | 60 | 1.80 | 1.03 | 9% | 24th | |
| 4 | Paul Skenes | PIT at ARI | x | x | x | 68 | 2.36 | 0.95 | 19% | 1st | |
| 5 | Pablo López | MIN at TBR | x | x | x | 50 | 2.31 | 0.97 | 22% | 21st | |
| 6 | Drew Rasmussen | TBR v MIN | x | x | x | 52 | 2.60 | 1.00 | 15% | 19th | |
| 7 | Matthew Boyd | CHC v COL | x | x | x | 55 | 3.42 | 1.32 | 17% | 29th | |
| 8 | Freddy Peralta | MIL v BOS | x | x | x | 60 | 2.55 | 1.12 | 15% | 5th | |
| 9 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY at LAA | x | x | x | 37 | 4.58 | 1.34 | 12% | 22nd | |
| 10 | Griffin Canning | NYM v CHW | x | x | x | 50 | 2.88 | 1.32 | 12% | 30th | |
| 11 | Zac Gallen | ARI v PIT | x | x | x | 61 | 5.25 | 1.36 | 13% | 29th | |
| 12 | AJ Smith-Shawver | ATL at PHI | x | x | x | 41 | 3.67 | 1.42 | 12% | 10th | |
| 13 | Noah Cameron | KCR v CIN | x | x | 19 | 0.93 | 0.67 | 11% | 17th | I knew that 5 BB debut was anomalous; just 1 in 13 IP since | |
| 14 | Landen Roupp | SFG at DET | x | x | 52 | 3.63 | 1.40 | 14% | 11th | BB caused issues in Apr, but he has just 4 in 4 May starts aiding him to a 1.64 ERA/1.09 WHIP though it comes w/15% K and of course, DET is tough so not a slamdunk start | |
| 15 | Shane Smith | CHW at NYM | x | x | 53 | 2.36 | 1.11 | 14% | 13th | Moved to Wed., here’s the comment from yesterday — Deserves so much better than 1 W, alas that’s life as a White Sock right now | |
| 16 | Eric Lauer | TOR at TEX | x | x | 16 | 3.31 | 1.10 | 17% | 27th | Solid in L3 outings (2 GS/1 relief app.) w/a 3.00 ERA & 1.08 WHIP; reached 85 pitches last time out, too, so he’s stretched out | |
| 17 | George Kirby | SEA v WSN | x | x | 3 | 12.27 | 1.91 | 16% | 18th | Bumpy season debut at HOU can be forgiven; WSN not quite as scary so I’m slotting him in for my deep lgs | |
| 18 | Miles Mikolas | STL at BAL | x | x | 51 | 3.51 | 1.17 | 7% | 12th | Since the 8 ER at BOS: 2.09 ERA/1.02 WHIP in 8 starts (43.3 IP) | |
| 19 | Jackson Jobe | DET v SFG | x | 44 | 4.06 | 1.42 | 6% | 17th | Mostly a Win chase bc the 2.78 ERA over his L3 is not supported by the skills at all: 1.36 WHIP, 8% K-BB | ||
| 20 | Luis Severino | ATH at HOU | x | 65 | 4.11 | 1.26 | 11% | 20th | INSANE home/road split: 6.20 ERA/1.45 WHIP at home | 0.72/0.96 on the road though I’m still being cautious here w/HOU sitting 7 in wOBA vR over the L30 | ||
| 21 | Brayan Bello | BOS at MIL | x | 35 | 4.08 | 1.70 | 4% | 25th | Solid matchup, but hasn’t reached 5 IP in any of his L4 | ||
| 22 | Cade Povich | BAL v STL | x | 46 | 4.86 | 1.45 | 13% | 12th | Maybe finding his footing a bit of late w/a 3.86 ERA/1.04 WHIP in his L5 and the 1 bad start was 5 ER in one inning at MIN | ||
| 23 | Clayton Kershaw | LAD at CLE | x | 6 | 7.50 | 1.50 | -4% | 19th | Don’t just go off name value here… this is a YOLO throw if anything | ||
| 24 | Kyle Hart | SDP v MIA | x | 21 | 6.00 | 1.38 | 11% | 15th | 3 of his 5 starts have been solid, but the other 2 were horrid; matchup drives interest, though we saw them jump on Kolek yesterday | ||
| 25 | Yusei Kikuchi | LAA v NYY | 59 | 3.17 | 1.49 | 9% | 1st | ||||
| 26 | Slade Cecconi | CLE v LAD | 11 | 3.27 | 1.09 | 27% | 2nd | ||||
| 27 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA at SDP | 47 | 8.04 | 1.57 | 7% | 16th | ||||
| 28 | Trevor Williams | WSN at SEA | 49 | 6.39 | 1.56 | 12% | 9th | ||||
| 29 | Lance McCullers Jr. | HOU v ATH | 12 | 6.57 | 2.03 | 6% | 14th | ||||
| 30 | Tanner Gordon | COL at CHC | 12 | 4.38 | 1.38 | 12% | 4th |
Roupp’s swinging srike rate went from 12%+ in April to 6%+ in May, and his K rate is sub 6 per 9 in May. So the reduced walk rate seems to have been somewhat a tradeoff. Did batters start laying off the curve? His siera went from 3.77 to 4.22. Still, a 3.60s-ish ERA with a 3.60s-ish xFIP on the year. Not too shabby, but you’d love to see the K’s and control combined.