Starting Pitcher Chart – May 20th, 2025

Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
Completely spaced on the 2-start board this week, my sincere apologies on that.
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RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tarik Skubal | DET at STL | x | x | x | 54 | 2.67 | 0.93 | 31% | 13th | At least 11 Ks in 3 of his L4 |
2 | Jesús Luzardo | PHI at COL | x | x | x | 54 | 2.00 | 1.19 | 19% | 22nd | As w/Sánchez yesterday, Luzardo is so good that even in Coors, he’s a top option (and I say that even if Sánchez goes on to get cooked tonight… that game starts shortly after I’m writing this) |
3 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD v ARI | x | x | x | 51 | 2.12 | 0.98 | 22% | 1st | I don’t love running anyone v. ARI and they dropped 5 ER on Yoshi 2 starts ago, but obv still an auto start |
4 | Clay Holmes | NYM at BOS | x | x | x | 48 | 3.14 | 1.25 | 15% | 11th | After not reaching 6 in any of his first 4, he’s hit the mark in 4 of 5 |
5 | Dylan Cease | SDP at TOR | x | x | x | 47 | 4.60 | 1.34 | 20% | 23rd | Spin the wheel and see which Cease we get… upside too high to ever really sit him, though |
6 | Spencer Strider | ATL at WSN | x | x | x | 5 | 3.60 | 1.20 | 19% | 19th | Fresh off the IL, though I have an easier time starting him since it wasn’t an arm injury |
7 | Nick Martinez | CIN at PIT | x | x | x | 51 | 3.66 | 1.16 | 14% | 29th | Actually been much better at home so far this yr, but no shot we pass up this matchup |
8 | Jameson Taillon | CHC at MIA | x | x | x | 49 | 4.53 | 1.11 | 16% | 21st | Great opportunity here and then an appealing 2-step next wk (COL/CIN) |
9 | Michael Lorenzen | KCR at SFG | x | x | x | 52 | 3.76 | 1.23 | 14% | 18th | Kind of an AL version of Taillon who is a team streamer in deeper lgs and standard streamer in shallower lgs |
10 | Logan Henderson | MIL v BAL | x | x | 11 | 2.45 | 0.82 | 35% | 12th | Could this be the next MIL gem SP? Huge MiLB K% has shown up thru 2 MLB starts and if he can keep his BB% in check, there’s strong upside here | |
11 | Gavin Williams | CLE at MIN | x | x | x | 42 | 4.29 | 1.64 | 14% | 17th | Litmus test week for Gav, if we don’t see those base runner totals come down, it’s likely time to go in shallower lgs |
12 | Chris Bassitt | TOR v SDP | x | x | 51 | 3.16 | 1.27 | 20% | 7th | Catching SDP at the right time as they’re sputtering a bit vR over the last month but still not sure I find a start for him in 10s unless I need to take SDP to get the 2-step (at TBR this wknd) | |
13 | Hayden Birdsong | SFG v KCR | x | x | 23 | 2.31 | 1.29 | 15% | 27th | Joining the rotation for Hicks w/a decent landing spot, though worth noting that KCR has jumped to 12th in wOBA vR over the L30 days | |
14 | Gunnar Hoglund | ATH v LAA | x | x | 16 | 3.78 | 1.32 | 16% | 24th | Solid in 3 MLB starts so far, incl. outings v. SEA & LAD, 2 of the hottest hitting teams vR on the year | |
15 | Chris Paddack | MIN v CLE | x | x | 46 | 4.05 | 1.18 | 8% | 20th | Quietly excellent surface results since that 9 ER shellacking at CHW in his season opener: 2.49 ERA/1.04 WHIP, though a meager 10% K-BB throws some cold water on things; the matchup helps here | |
16 | Will Warren | NYY v TEX | x | x | 41 | 4.61 | 1.32 | 18% | 26th | At least 7 Ks in all 3 May starts en route to a 3.18 ERA/1.18 WHIP in 17 IP | |
17 | Erick Fedde 페디 | STL v DET | x | 52 | 3.44 | 1.30 | 3% | 5th | Riding a streak of 14.7 scoreless at WAS/at PHI so I don’t mind running the hot hand here even against a solid DET squad | ||
18 | Ryan Weathers | MIA v CHC | 5 | 1.80 | 0.60 | 22% | 3rd | Aces-only v. CHC, but I am interested in Weathers now that he’s back; at the very least hold for the 2-step next wk (at SDP/v. SFG) | |||
19 | Ryne Nelson | ARI at LAD | 26 | 5.13 | 1.22 | 16% | 2nd | Solid skills that would get him in the lineup against plenty of teams… just not LAD! | |||
20 | Walker Buehler | BOS v NYM | 33 | 4.28 | 1.22 | 14% | 8th | ||||
21 | Bailey Falter | PIT v CIN | 47 | 4.02 | 1.21 | 8% | 17th | ||||
22 | Mitchell Parker | WSN v ATL | 50 | 4.32 | 1.30 | 4% | 23rd | I find him intriguing on some level, but he hasn’t missed enough bats to really trust start-to-start | |||
23 | Zack Littell | TBR v HOU | 54 | 4.31 | 1.12 | 10% | 22nd | ||||
24 | Chayce McDermott | BAL at MIL | 3 | 12.00 | 2.33 | 13% | 25th | ||||
25 | Kyle Hendricks | LAA at ATH | 41 | 5.18 | 1.22 | 5% | 15th | ||||
26 | Jhonathan Díaz | SEA at CHW | 1 | 0.75 | 20% | 26th | |||||
27 | Patrick Corbin | TEX at NYY | 37 | 3.35 | 1.30 | 10% | 1st | ||||
28 | Brandon Walter | HOU at TBR | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 28th | ||||
29 | Bryse Wilson | CHW v SEA | 33 | 6.00 | 1.79 | 3% | 9th | ||||
30 | Antonio Senzatela | COL v PHI | 43 | 6.39 | 1.99 | 4% | 10th |
Birdsong starting in the dead of night. Take my broken ratios and learn to fly.