Starting Pitcher Chart – May 19th

Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Friday, May 19th Starter Notes
RK PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ NOTE
1 Shane McClanahan TBR MIL L x x x The 12% BB rate is a liiiittle concerning, but it hasn’t hit the bottom line just yet; 6 HR in L5 isn’t great either… and yet, still an easy start
2 Zac Gallen ARI at PIT R x x x Looking like a bona fide ace again
3 Joe Ryan MIN at LAA R x x x Big improvements early on have fueled improved K-BB and HR rates
4 Sandy Alcantara MIA at SFG R x x x He’s getting pummeled the 3rd time through right now, allowing a .925 OPS which is 13th worst in the lg (min. 40 BF); he’s top 30 the 1st & 2nd times through
5 Reid Detmers LAA MIN L x x x He is so much better than a near-5.00 ERA, I’m buying where available
6 Bryce Miller SEA at ATL R x x x Most impressive call-up thus far has to come down from these obscene ratios but has quickly emerged into an all-formats play
7 James Paxton BOS at SDP L x x x Talent isn’t really the question, it’s always health — I’m starting him everywhere right now
8 Bryce Elder ATL SEA R x x x Riding an 87% LOB rate to this early success, but he’s a solid high-3.00s/low-4.00s talent… might not have space on your roster in 10s, but he’s streamable anywhere
9 Anthony DeSclafani SFG MIA R x x x Likely not missing enough bats (18% K, 8% SwStr) to sustain these incredible HR gains (career-best 0.7 HR v. career 1.3)
10 Marcus Stroman CHC at PHI R x x Couple duds have pushed his numbers back in line with is career norms… likely a rotation mainstay in most 12s & up; maybe more Team Streamer in 10s
11 Blake Snell SDP BOS L x x BB are still a problem, but he has reeled off 3 straight 6 IP starts (3.50 ERA, 1.11 WHIP)… would be a full sit if this was on the road
12 Carlos Carrasco NYM CLE R x x Don’t want to overreact to a couple starts, but even his good one was just OK… great matchup, but I’m not against sitting it out (I’m 51%/49% leaning to start)
13 Tony Gonsolin LAD at STL R x “Oh wow, you really maintained your BABIP without the shift, Tony?” … “What, like it’s hard?”
14 Ranger Suárez PHI CHC L x Solid streamer who can get hot and reside on a team for 6 wks; if some of these SwStr gains from his rehab & season debut are real, he’s interesting
15 Cal Quantrill CLE at NYM R x Really stretching the limits of what can reasonably be expected of 4% K-BB
16 Jake Irvin WSN DET R x Decent in his first 2, but I can’t get really get beyond the 5% SwStr and find the start button for him very often.. Only if I’m throwin’ weekend Hail Marys
17 Martín Pérez TEX COL L Has given back all of his 2022 gains and that ERA could certainly push higher if he doesn’t tighten things up a bit
18 Zack Greinke KCR at CHW R Not sure his upside is worth the heavy risk every time out
19 Clarke Schmidt NYY at CIN R Just too inconsistent to maximize his 18% K-BB; kinda wanna stash in deeper lgs, but he isn’t a must-hold
20 Michael Kopech CHW KCR R Command and control have eluded Kopech thus far; would love to see him get back on track as he can be electric
21 Brandon Bielak HOU OAK R That WHIP can’t support that low of an ERA much longer
22 Steven Matz STL LAD L Career-long HR issues have always made it tough to rely on him for long periods of time
23 Yusei Kikuchi TOR BAL L Can’t be trusted w/a 2.4 HR rate
24 Matthew Boyd DET at WSN L HRs have returned in a big way w/5 in his L5 starts (7.43 ERA, 1.57 WHIP in 23 IP)
25 Kyle Gibson BAL at TOR R Has had some streamer viability this yr but a 9% K-BB has made him super volatile meaning the risk of his bad hasn’t been worth the low-chance upside
26 Ken Waldichuk OAK at HOU L 11 BB in his last 2 have slashed his K-BB to 7%
27 Johan Oviedo PIT ARI R Live arm with some upisde, but not in a matchup like this — keep him on your watchlist
28 Ben Lively 라이블리 CIN NYY R Just doesn’t miss enough bats to trust in a venue like this
29 Karl Kauffmann COL at TEX R 2019 8th rounder making his MLB debut and gets a tough landing w/the Rangers… profiles as a back of the rotation arm which paired w/Coors is a quick pass
30 Adrian Houser MIL at TBR R Been hit hard in his first 2 starts and even when the .438 BABIP settles, there still isn’t much to see here
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

Friday, May 19th Starter Stats
RK PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB OPP L30 wOBA wOBA RK
1 Shane McClanahan TBR MIL L x x x 50 2.34 1.22 18% 0.285 27th
2 Zac Gallen ARI at PIT R x x x 57.1 2.35 0.85 28% 0.296 24th
3 Joe Ryan MIN at LAA R x x x 50 2.16 0.84 26% 0.337 7th
4 Sandy Alcantara MIA at SFG R x x x 51.1 4.91 1.21 16% 0.316 12th
5 Reid Detmers LAA MIN L x x x 35 4.89 1.51 17% 0.290 26th
6 Bryce Miller SEA at ATL R x x x 19 0.47 0.42 27% 0.312 15th
7 James Paxton BOS at SDP L x x x 5 3.60 1.00 40% 0.360 6th
8 Bryce Elder ATL SEA R x x x 46.1 1.94 1.12 13% 0.304 17th
9 Anthony DeSclafani SFG MIA R x x x 50 3.06 0.96 15% 0.293 25th
10 Marcus Stroman CHC at PHI R x x 47.1 2.28 1.06 15% 0.317 11th
11 Blake Snell SDP BOS L x x 41 4.61 1.54 10% 0.349 8th
12 Carlos Carrasco NYM CLE R x x 13.2 8.56 1.61 0% 0.271 30th
13 Tony Gonsolin LAD at STL R x 14 1.93 1.07 9% 0.344 3rd
14 Ranger Suárez PHI CHC L x 4 6.75 2.00 15% 0.345 10th
15 Cal Quantrill CLE at NYM R x 45.1 3.97 1.35 4% 0.314 14th
16 Jake Irvin WSN DET R x 10.2 0.84 1.22 2% 0.285 29th
17 Martín Pérez TEX COL L 42.1 4.25 1.61 9% 0.290 24th
18 Zack Greinke KCR at CHW R 46.2 5.01 1.24 13% 0.299 20th
19 Clarke Schmidt NYY at CIN R 35.1 5.35 1.61 20% 0.301 18th
20 Michael Kopech CHW KCR R 42.1 5.74 1.56 7% 0.307 16th
21 Brandon Bielak HOU OAK R 13.2 3.29 1.83 8% 0.293 26th
22 Steven Matz STL LAD L 41.2 5.62 1.61 11% 0.290 25th
23 Yusei Kikuchi TOR BAL L 37.2 3.35 1.19 16% 0.342 12th
24 Matthew Boyd DET at WSN L 32 6.47 1.56 10% 0.343 11th
25 Kyle Gibson BAL at TOR R 47 4.40 1.34 9% 0.317 13th
26 Ken Waldichuk OAK at HOU L 41 7.02 1.83 7% 0.303 21st
27 Johan Oviedo PIT ARI R 42 5.14 1.64 8% 0.362 1st
28 Ben Lively CIN NYY R 3 0.00 1.33 8% 0.299 22nd
29 Karl Kauffmann COL at TEX R #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 0.342 5th
30 Adrian Houser MIL at TBR R 8.2 5.19 1.96 12% 0.356 4th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

Thursday, May 18th Starter Review
RK PITCHER TM OPP T 10 12 15+ NOTE
1 Julio Urías LAD at STL R x x x Allowed 4 HR in 3 IP pushing his season rate to 2.3
2 Dylan Cease CHW CLE R x x x Not the Cease everyone paid for with just 3 Ks
3 Eury Pérez MIA WSN R x x x Great start (5 IP/1 ER/6 Ks) that included his 1st W
4 José Berríos TOR NYY R x x x Rebounded well after 2 R in the 1st, coming an out shy of 7 IP with 8 Ks
5 Logan Allen CLE at CHW L x x x Has been a machine since coming up
6 Tyler Wells BAL LAA R x x Worked around 2 HRs for a solid outing that included 7 Ks
7 Taj Bradley TBR at NYM R x x Solid enough return to the bigs… surely he stays now, right?
8 Nestor Cortes NYY at TOR L x Good start… can he string a couple in a row?
9 Trevor Williams WSN at MIA R x Another capable stream but I’m not sure he has enough heat to use v. SD next wk
10 Tyler Anderson LAA at BAL L Suffering 1 bad inning almost seems inevitable w/as much contact as he allows
11 Tylor Megill NYM at TBR R Has just been so tough to trust start-to-start due to his BB%, was nice to see 1 BB here
12 Adam Wainwright STL LAD R Got a bit bailed out by some unearned runs & an absolute offensive barrage by his teammates
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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Kevinmember
1 year ago

Thanks as always Paul, these are so helpful.

Found a couple typos.
Think you meant Great American instead of Yankee Stadium for Lively.Kikuchi is facing the Orioles today, not the Yankees

Last edited 1 year ago by Kevin