Starting Pitcher Chart – March 31st, 2026

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart.

The chart includes their performance for 2025 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations, you don’t really need a shiny stat to be convinced on starting guys like that. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment and I’ll get you an answer when I can. I try to do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

Hey y’all, sorry I passed out watching the Tigers game last night. JV getting cooked put me to sleep, I guess. 😭

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.
March 31, 2026 SP Chart
Rk PITCHER Tm Opp 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB opp wOBA RK Commentary
1 Shohei Ohtani LAD v. CLE x x x 47 2.87 1.04 28% 28
2 Max Fried NYY at SEA x x x 195.1 2.86 1.10 17% 12
3 Logan Webb SFG at SDP x x x 201.2 3.30 1.25 20% 16
4 Hunter Brown HOU v. BOS x x x 185.1 2.43 1.03 20% 11
5 Logan Gilbert SEA v. NYY x x x 126 3.43 1.03 27% 1
6 Jacob deGrom TEX at BAL x x x 172.2 2.97 0.92 22% 20 Start was moved back bc of a sore neck last wk; hopefully all good today
7 Shane McClanahan TBR at MIL x x x 8 Return of the Mc begins tonight… really think he can be an ace again if healthy
8 Brandon Woodruff MIL v. TBR x x x 64.2 3.20 0.91 27% 12 Speaking of ace when healthy… remade himself around velo drop, but can he sustain?
9 Bubba Chandler PIT at CIN x x x 25.2 4.56 0.97 20% 14 Ready to ascend into Skenes’s partner in crime? The skills are certaintly there for it
10 Zach Eflin BAL v. TEX x x x 71.1 5.93 1.42 12% 24 One of my favorite late rd targets looks healthy & ready to return to 2021-24 levels (3.74 ERA/1.12 WHIP in 524 IP)
11 Kodai Senga NYM at STL x x x 113.1 3.02 1.31 11% 25 Looked healthy and sharp in spring, can still be an absolute monster espec. if there’s anything to his spring 3% BB
12 Max Scherzer TOR v. COL x x x 85 5.19 1.29 16% 27 Great landing spot to start ’26 & they might need a little length after Ponce left after just 2.3 IP
13 Brandon Williamson CIN v. PIT x x x 28 Gets at MIA after this & even if Lodolo replaces him after that, he could be a monster follower behind Burns
14 Andrew Painter PHI v. WSN x x x 21 Expectations are high as we’ve been waiting a bit, but don’t overreact to 1-2 starts… let’s give him some runway (5-6)
15 Germán Márquez SDP v. SFG x x 126.1 6.70 1.71 6% 15 Finally out of Coors, but is there still juice here? Spring skills were enough to get my attention (31% K, 22% K-BB)
16 José Soriano LAA at CHC x x 169 4.26 1.40 10% 10 Eager to see if new pitching coach Mike Maddux can get the best out of this excellent arm… riskyyy debut, though
17 Janson Junk MIA v. CHW x 110 4.17 1.14 14% 29 Feel like I never timed him right last yr & CHW isn’t a walkover team attack w/any ol’ SP… on my radar but not a must
18 Casey Mize DET at ARI x 149 3.87 1.27 16% 5 14 Ws drove a lot of his value as Player Rater rk drops from 98 to 48 when removing them
19 Zack Littell WSN at PHI x 186.2 3.81 1.10 13% 3 Not dying to start at PHI, but slated to follow which improves his W chance (as long as Poulin doesn’t get cooked)
20 Ryan Feltner COL at TOR x 30.1 4.75 1.48 10% 6 Dig the pitcher, but we can’t use him home starts and his first 2 roadies are at TOR & SDP, too!
21 Brayan Bello BOS at HOU 166.2 3.35 1.24 9% 23 Will be watching his first few starts to see if spring whiffs have any legitimacy (29% K, 16% SwStr in 14 IP)
22 Brandon Pfaadt ARI v. DET 172.2 5.00 1.33 14% 19 Lefties have always given him hell & DET should have 6 tonight incl. the lineup’s strength (Greene, Carp, McG, Keith)
23 Tanner Bibee CLE at LAD 182.1 4.24 1.23 14% 4 Left his last start w/a balky shoulder and now gets LAD, yeah let’s sit this one out
24 José Suarez ATL v. ATH 18.1 1.96 1.25 9% 9 Must admit I didn’t realize he was w/ATL last yr, too (19 IP)… ATH K’s a ton, but can he take advantage?
25 Jameson Taillon CHC v. LAA 123.2 3.78 1.07 13% 26 Was disastrous spring a veteran getting through the slog or worthy of concern? (velo -1 mph, 4% K-BB, 6.6 HR9)
26 Andre Pallante STL v. NYM 162.2 5.31 1.44 7% 2
27 Erick Fedde 페디 CHW at MIA 141 5.49 1.52 3% 13
28 Aaron Civale ATH at ATL 102 4.85 1.26 13% 17
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

2 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
RobertMember since 2017
16 minutes ago

You say risky debut for Soriano but he absolutely carved up Houston in start 1 so I’m curious what you mean.