Starting Pitcher Chart – June 6th

June 6, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Tuesday, June 6th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Mitch Keller	PIT		OAK	x	x	x	74.2	3.25	1.08	25%	29th	It’d be a little on the nose to make this Keller’s worst start in a breakout season so just don’t do it, baseball gods!
2	Kevin Gausman	TOR		HOU	x	x	x	75	2.76	1.12	27%	15th	He’s an all formats Auto-Start, of course, but even if he wasn’t this matchup just hasn’t been as scary this year
3	Zach Eflin	TBR		MIN	x	x	x	60	3.30	1.00	21%	16th	Hasn’t allowed more than 4 ER in any start this yr and just 4 ER twice
4	Logan Gilbert	SEA	at	SDP	x	x	x	64	4.08	0.98	24%	26th	Obvious Auto-Start… I was definitely stunned to see SDP so low over the L30 days
5	Jesús Luzardo	MIA		KCR	x	x	x	66.2	4.05	1.35	21%	17th	31% K-BB in his L3 so I’m not worried about the 7.04 ERA that included a couple tough gms where 11 of 12 base runners scored despite 16 K & 2 BB
6	Joe Musgrove	SDP		SEA	x	x	x	36.1	4.71	1.38	14%	14th	Not doing what we hoped for, but I don’t see myself sitting him anywhere right now
7	Bryce Elder	ATL		NYM	x	x	x	65.2	1.92	1.16	14%	12th	Your MLB ERA leader is a must start right now, just like we all drew it up before the season!
8	Freddy Peralta	MIL		BAL	x	x	x	60.1	4.62	1.41	14%	17th	Bounced back with a decent QS in a tough matchup after his worst start of the season
9	James Paxton	BOS	at	CLE	x	x	x	19	4.26	1.26	25%	26th	3 gems and a dud w/the dud coming against a strong offense worth avodiing regularly (LAA)
10	Hunter Brown	HOU	at	TOR	x	x	x	62.1	3.61	1.24	21%	2nd	He’s not somebody I ever consider sitting, even in matchups as tough as this one
11	Lucas Giolito	CHW	at	NYY	x	x	x	68.1	4.08	1.26	17%	3rd	Weird 7 BB gm at DET 2 starts ago but has otherwise been nails over his L10 w/a 3.34 ERA & 1.15 WHIP
12	Clarke Schmidt	NYY		CHW		x	x	55.2	5.01	1.51	18%	27th	Closing the gap between his ERA and SIERA with a 1.72 mark in his L3 outing, going 5 IP in each with a 19% K-BB
13	Shane Bieber	CLE		BOS		x	x	75	3.72	1.29	10%	10th	I’ve been steadfast in my support, but I’m wavering a bit after 16 ER in his L4 espec. w/his Ks even lower than normal at 13% during the run
14	Zack Greinke	KCR	at	MIA		x	x	62.1	4.19	1.14	15%	22nd	Running well lately w/a 19% K-BB in his L6 and while there is always heavy risk w/him, I’m willing to go for the dcent matchup here
15	Louie Varland	MIN	at	TBR			x	41	3.51	1.15	19%	7th	Full disclosure: I’m a Varland guy so I’m rolling w/him, but I can’t blame anyone for sitting out v. TBR; he has more HR (9) than BB (8) which is definitely worrisome
16	Tony Gonsolin	LAD	at	CIN			x	35.2	1.77	0.90	9%	13th	BABIP/LOB excellence has returned yielding a silly 1.77 ERA & 5.07 SIERA… this is a spot where I might play it extra safe
17	Dane Dunning	TEX		STL			x	48	2.06	1.04	11%	8th	0 HR this yr has given him a margain for error that his modest 11% K-BB can’t so there is regression coming, but if he excels here, I might roll w/the LAA-TOR 2-step next wk
18	Kyle Gibson	BAL	at	MIL			x	71.2	3.89	1.31	8%	25th	Nice 2.93 ERA in his L5 plus a good matchup but his flameouts are unpredictable so it’s always a high-risk stream while the upside is a bit light (6% K-BB in those 5 GS)
19	Hayden Wesneski	CHC	at	LAA				43	4.81	1.28	12%	9th	Not sure 2 AAA starts will fix him, but I remain interested in him… though not for this start
20	Luke Weaver	CIN		LAD				43.2	5.36	1.35	18%	5th	Has shown some intriguing flashes, but it just feels like he’s a 7 ER bomb waiting to happen
21	Matthew Liberatore	STL	at	TEX				11	4.91	1.36	6%	4th	I’m still interested in Liberatore, but we haven’t seen anything different from last yr early on so he’s riding my bench right now
22	Taijuan Walker	PHI		DET				57.1	5.65	1.45	8%	19th	He has been so tough to time with just a 4.64 ERA/1.39 WHIP in 33 IP against sub-.500 tms
23	Carlos Carrasco	NYM	at	ATL				31.1	5.74	1.37	4%	18th	OK, that’s 2 good ones in a row (though just a 10% K-BB) buuttt I’m not sure I can do it in this matchup
24	Tommy Henry	ARI	at	WSN				41	3.73	1.24	5%	6th	His 5.43 SIERA says his skills aren’t supporting his solid ERA
25	Garrett Hill	DET	at	PHI				7	10.29	1.71	6%	21st	Too many BB to trust in any format
26	Tyler Anderson	LAA		CHC				52.2	5.47	1.59	3%	15th	Has reverted to a level below what he was before the Dodgers, just hasn’t found any measure of consistency this year
27	Jake Irvin	WSN		ARI				27	5.67	1.63	4%	4th	Nah
28	James Kaprielian	OAK	at	PIT				37.2	8.12	1.81	9%	28th	There is no matchup that could be good enough to start Kap
29	Dinelson Lamet	COL		SFG				13.2	13.17	2.41	7%	23rd	Would love to see a Lamet rebirth, but it’s not happening in Coors
30	John Brebbia	SFG	at	COL				23.2	3.80	1.06	27%	1st	Bullpen game in Coors

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues