Starting Pitcher Chart – June 29th

D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Thursday, June 29th Starter Notes
RK PITCHER TM OPP 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK NOTE
1 Joe Musgrove SDP at PIT x x x 60.1 3.88 1.26 16% 27th Fewer than 6 IP just 1x in his L6 with 8 total ER across the 36.3 IP
2 Max Scherzer NYM MIL x x x 70.2 3.95 1.17 21% 30th B2B gems after those 2 duds at ATL and v. NYY have hopefully assuaged concerns w/him
3 Shane Bieber CLE at KCR x x x 100 3.69 1.23 12% 22nd 4 HR in his L2 have fueled 9 ER; has allowed 3 or fewer ER in 12 of 15 starts, but 21 ER in the other 4 highlights the risk
4 Jesús Luzardo MIA at BOS x x x 90.2 3.77 1.19 22% 3rd Not an easy matchup, but I don’t find myself sitting him in any format
5 Clarke Schmidt NYY at OAK x x x 77 4.32 1.42 16% 23rd Has essentially been 5-and-dive in his L7 though it’s hard to argue w/the 2.19 ERA in that time
6 Brayan Bello BOS MIA x x 66 3.27 1.27 14% 11th Nice 11-start run since the 5 ER Marathon Day game: 2.70 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 14% K-BB
7 J.P. France HOU at STL x x 53.1 3.54 1.26 11% 13th Putting up some nice results despite modest core skills, I particularly like that he has 6+ IP in each of his L5
8 Chris Bassitt TOR SFG x x 93.2 4.32 1.21 12% 6th ERA is up over a run after 3 straight duds: velo is fine, but he’s using the fastball less & it’s getting smashed
9 Lance Lynn CHW at LAA x x 90 6.40 1.49 19% 2nd 23/3 K/BB in his L2 starts and an out shy of B2B quality starts, but there’s still heavy risk in LAA
10 Taijuan Walker PHI at CHC x x 83.1 4.10 1.24 11% 25th Reigned in HR rate (4 in L10 after 7 in F6) has sparked a major run (2.63 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) despite modest skills (13% K-BB)
11 Patrick Sandoval LAA CHW x 75.2 4.16 1.47 8% 24th Good matchup, but can you afford the gamble of that insane WHIP? Be careful
12 Kyle Hendricks CHC PHI x 34.2 2.60 0.98 7% 15th His already-light K rate has evaporated (13%) but the results since his debut are fantastic: 2.08 ERA, 0.86 WHIP… a 5% K-BB looms, though
13 Brandon Pfaadt ARI TBR x 23.2 8.37 1.65 9% 10th Looks great in AAA w/a 3.18 ERA, 0.62 WHIP, 22% K-BB so I’m definitely picking him back up, but not necessarily starting v. TBR
14 Luis L. Ortiz PIT SDP x 45.2 3.74 1.62 4% 9th Coming off his best start of the yr, but a 1.56 June WHIP undercuts the 3.24 ERA
15 Hogan Harris OAK NYY x 33 4.91 1.12 10% 25th Was rolling before the TOR dud, I still like him in deeper formats bc the low W probability makes OAK guys a tough start in many spots
16 Adrian Houser MIL at NYM x 40.1 4.02 1.54 7% 21st 3 gems, but they’ve come v. TBR-HOU-CIN while 2 of the 4 duds have come v. KCR-OAK so he’s really tough to time
17 Cody Bradford TEX DET 14.1 5.65 1.26 12% 18th Essentially threw a bullpen on Monday so I’m surprised he’s going today, but that’s what I’m seeing everywhere
18 Reese Olson DET at TEX 24.2 4.74 1.05 22% 5th Has been really good outside the ATL start (6 ER) w/7 ER in his 4 other starts combined, but this matchup is super scary
19 Yonny Chirinos TBR at ARI 48.1 3.91 1.14 4% 3rd That paltry K-BB finally caught up to him w/an 8 ER bomb v. KCR… can’t trust him v. ARI
20 Zack Greinke KCR CLE 81.1 5.31 1.23 15% 8th Great work in May (2.30 ERA) erased by a June Swoon (9.00) and highlights why I rarely want to take the risk of starting him
21 Emmet Sheehan LAD at COL 12 1.50 0.58 7% 16th The rookie has a sparkling ERA in his 2 starts, but that paltry 7% K-BB could drive some quick regression in Coors… hold but don’t start
22 Adam Wainwright STL HOU 46.2 6.56 1.82 5% 17th Can’t find a start for him in any format right now
23 Chase Anderson COL LAD 42 5.79 1.45 8% 18th Absolutely not
24 TBD SFG at TOR #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 12th Stripling is listed at most outlets but he threw 3 IP on Wednesday
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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wobatus
1 year ago

looks like it is Keaton Winn for the Giants today.