Starting Pitcher Chart – June 29th

June 29, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Thursday, June 29th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Joe Musgrove	SDP	at	PIT	x	x	x	60.1	3.88	1.26	16%	27th	Fewer than 6 IP just 1x in his L6 with 8 total ER across the 36.3 IP
2	Max Scherzer	NYM		MIL	x	x	x	70.2	3.95	1.17	21%	30th	B2B gems after those 2 duds at ATL and v. NYY have hopefully assuaged concerns w/him
3	Shane Bieber	CLE	at	KCR	x	x	x	100	3.69	1.23	12%	22nd	4 HR in his L2 have fueled 9 ER; has allowed 3 or fewer ER in 12 of 15 starts, but 21 ER in the other 4 highlights the risk
4	Jesús Luzardo	MIA	at	BOS	x	x	x	90.2	3.77	1.19	22%	3rd	Not an easy matchup, but I don’t find myself sitting him in any format
5	Clarke Schmidt	NYY	at	OAK	x	x	x	77	4.32	1.42	16%	23rd	Has essentially been 5-and-dive in his L7 though it’s hard to argue w/the 2.19 ERA in that time
6	Brayan Bello	BOS		MIA		x	x	66	3.27	1.27	14%	11th	Nice 11-start run since the 5 ER Marathon Day game: 2.70 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 14% K-BB
7	J.P. France	HOU	at	STL		x	x	53.1	3.54	1.26	11%	13th	Putting up some nice results despite modest core skills, I particularly like that he has 6+ IP in each of his L5
8	Chris Bassitt	TOR		SFG		x	x	93.2	4.32	1.21	12%	6th	ERA is up over a run after 3 straight duds: velo is fine, but he’s using the fastball less & it’s getting smashed
9	Lance Lynn	CHW	at	LAA		x	x	90	6.40	1.49	19%	2nd	23/3 K/BB in his L2 starts and an out shy of B2B quality starts, but there’s still heavy risk in LAA
10	Taijuan Walker	PHI	at	CHC		x	x	83.1	4.10	1.24	11%	25th	Reigned in HR rate (4 in L10 after 7 in F6) has sparked a major run (2.63 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) despite modest skills (13% K-BB)
11	Patrick Sandoval	LAA		CHW			x	75.2	4.16	1.47	8%	24th	Good matchup, but can you afford the gamble of that insane WHIP? Be careful
12	Kyle Hendricks	CHC		PHI			x	34.2	2.60	0.98	7%	15th	His already-light K rate has evaporated (13%) but the results since his debut are fantastic: 2.08 ERA, 0.86 WHIP… a 5% K-BB looms, though
13	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI		TBR			x	23.2	8.37	1.65	9%	10th	Looks great in AAA w/a 3.18 ERA, 0.62 WHIP, 22% K-BB so I’m definitely picking him back up, but not necessarily starting v. TBR
14	Luis L. Ortiz	PIT		SDP			x	45.2	3.74	1.62	4%	9th	Coming off his best start of the yr, but a 1.56 June WHIP undercuts the 3.24 ERA
15	Hogan Harris	OAK		NYY			x	33	4.91	1.12	10%	25th	Was rolling before the TOR dud, I still like him in deeper formats bc the low W probability makes OAK guys a tough start in many spots
16	Adrian Houser	MIL	at	NYM			x	40.1	4.02	1.54	7%	21st	3 gems, but they’ve come v. TBR-HOU-CIN while 2 of the 4 duds have come v. KCR-OAK so he’s really tough to time
17	Cody Bradford	TEX		DET				14.1	5.65	1.26	12%	18th	Essentially threw a bullpen on Monday so I’m surprised he’s going today, but that’s what I’m seeing everywhere
18	Reese Olson	DET	at	TEX				24.2	4.74	1.05	22%	5th	Has been really good outside the ATL start (6 ER) w/7 ER in his 4 other starts combined, but this matchup is super scary
19	Yonny Chirinos	TBR	at	ARI				48.1	3.91	1.14	4%	3rd	That paltry K-BB finally caught up to him w/an 8 ER bomb v. KCR… can’t trust him v. ARI
20	Zack Greinke	KCR		CLE				81.1	5.31	1.23	15%	8th	Great work in May (2.30 ERA) erased by a June Swoon (9.00) and highlights why I rarely want to take the risk of starting him
21	Emmet Sheehan	LAD	at	COL				12	1.50	0.58	7%	16th	The rookie has a sparkling ERA in his 2 starts, but that paltry 7% K-BB could drive some quick regression in Coors… hold but don’t start
22	Adam Wainwright	STL		HOU				46.2	6.56	1.82	5%	17th	Can’t find a start for him in any format right now
23	Chase Anderson	COL		LAD				42	5.79	1.45	8%	18th	Absolutely not
24	TBD	SFG	at	TOR				#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	12th	Stripling is listed at most outlets but he threw 3 IP on Wednesday

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues