Starting Pitcher Chart – June 27th

Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Pardon me for not mentioning in Friday’s piece that there wouldn’t be a Monday piece. I was on the road traveling over the weekend so I wasn’t able to get something together. Though with such a tiny slate, if there was ever a day to miss, it would’ve been Monday!

I’ll be live on Twitch at 8am CT reviewing Monday’s boxscores and playing Immaculate Grid if you’re interested!

Tuesday, June 27th Starter Notes
RK PITCHER TM OPP 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK NOTE
1 Shohei Ohtani LAA CHW x x x 89 3.13 1.04 22% 25th Casually dropped 7 IP/1 ER and 12 Ks on the Dodgers… oh, and he’s leading MLB in HR & RBI!
2 Framber Valdez HOU at STL x x x 99 2.27 1.00 21% 29th Has gone fewer than 6 IP just 3x this yr while his 9 starts of 7+ IP are tied w/Logan Webb for an MLB-high
3 Joe Ryan MIN at ATL x x x 93.2 2.98 0.91 23% 1st Studs push through a 5-run 3rd inning and still go 7… those are ERA savers! He rebounded from that start with a shut piece v. BOS including 9 Ks
4 Kevin Gausman TOR SFG x x x 98.2 3.10 1.16 25% 6th He has shaved 30 pts off his 2022 BABIP, but that’s still good for a .333 that sits 6th in the lg and yet he never leaves the lineup
5 Zac Gallen ARI TBR x x x 98.1 2.84 1.09 21% 8th Never love facing the Rays, but also never sitting Gallen so we’ll see how it goes in a spicy 2-step (at LAA this wknd)
6 Bryce Elder ATL MIN x x x 90 2.40 1.11 14% 13th 85% LOB stands out as unsustainable but I think he’s better than the 3.87 SIERA and project him for more of 3.30-3.50 ERA going forward
7 Garrett Whitlock BOS MIA x x x 46 4.50 1.22 17% 21st Rolling w/3 straight 6+ IP outings (3.10 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 21% K-BB in that time)
8 Bryan Woo SEA WSN x x x 17.2 5.09 1.19 27% 22nd If you saw thru the ugly debut in a brutal matchup at TEX, you’ve been handsomely rewarded w/a 2.30 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, & 28% K-BB in 3 starts… still v early, but this is promising
9 Yu Darvish SDP at PIT x x x 80 4.84 1.23 18% 29th ERA is up over a run in his L5 w/a 7.27 ERA but I’m not finding myself sitting him anywhere as he still has an 18% K-BB, his velo equal to first 9 starts, and SwStr down less than 1 pt
10 Ranger Suárez PHI at CHC x x x 43.2 3.50 1.28 15% 19th Just ask Justin Mason if he’s starting Suárez and if he’s not then start him because another gem is coming!! (1.38 ERA/1.06 WHIP/16% K-BB in L5)
11 Gavin Williams CLE at KCR x x x 5.2 6.35 1.24 4% 19th Couldn’t take full advantage of the excellent debut landing spot but all 4 R came in one bad inning incl. a 3-R HR; still very much in on the young righty prospect
12 Tyler Wells BAL CIN x x x 86.2 3.22 0.89 21% 3rd Is the MLB leader in WHIP getting enough love?? Limiting base runners mitigates the downside of a 1.9 HR rate… being home adds confidence in this tough matchup!
13 Taj Bradley TBR at ARI x x x 49 3.86 1.20 27% 4th A couple bumpy outings have him at a 4.01 ERA since his recall (33.7 IP) but the 2.73 FIP and 24% K-BB are very encouraging, an easy start for me, even in tough matchups
14 Clayton Kershaw LAD at COL x x x 89.1 2.72 1.10 22% 24th I generally start my aces everywhere but I don’t begrudge anyone passing on Coors even w/their best, plus Kersh has a 5.96 ERA in his L5 starts there since ’19
15 Andrew Abbott CIN at BAL x x 23.2 1.14 0.97 14% 22nd Far & away his best start in MLB out despite the 3 solo HRs (first ER of his career); finally saw the K dominance he showed in the minors (10 Ks, 18% SwStr)
16 Jordan Montgomery STL HOU x x 85.1 3.69 1.29 16% 8th Hasn’t been able to maintain last year’s great WHIP improvement (career-best 1.09) but reverting to his NYY form is still plenty useful
17 Sandy Alcantara MIA at BOS x x 95.2 5.08 1.25 12% 18th I’m no longer blindly starting him, though I did appreciate that he still went 7 IP despite the 5 ER 2nd inn. v. TOR; 7 starts of 4+ ER already after just 4 last yr
18 Michael Kopech CHW at LAA x x 82 4.06 1.29 15% 2nd Bumps in L7 starts largely tied to BB but 9% mark (40 IP) is way better than 15% in first 42 IP; scary spot, but I’m taking the plunge espec. in weekly to get at OAK this wknd
19 Paul Blackburn OAK NYY x x 25.2 4.21 1.48 20% 28th K spike is intriguing (+7 pts to 26%) as it’s been driven by better execution w/2-strikes as opposed to major skills improvement (less than 1% jump in SwStr)
20 David Peterson NYM MIL x x 39 8.08 1.74 17% 13th 17% K-BB and 3.76 SIERA from his first 8 starts say better days are ahead and this could be the matchup to get the turnaround going
21 Jhony Brito NYY at OAK x x 46 4.89 1.37 7% 23rd He was cooked in the minors (7.08 ERA, 1.82 WHIP, 7% K-BB) so while his return was nice v. SEA, this isn’t an automatic for me
22 Martín Pérez TEX DET x 84.1 4.38 1.45 8% 18th Has 5 gems of 6+ IP & 2 or fewer ER across his L7, but the other 2 saw 13 ER in 8 IP so that’s the volatility you’re looking at w/him
23 Julio Teheran MIL at NYM x 35.1 1.53 0.88 12% 17th A .211 BABIP and 90% LOB are doing allll the heavy lifting here so be careful because the Jurassic Park jello is jigglin’ as that Regression Monster nears
24 Rich Hill PIT SDP x 83 4.34 1.37 13% 2nd This Timex watch of a pitcher (sick reference, grandpa!) is always good for some bouts of streamer viability, but it’s limited to deep formats though the 5-yr high in IP/GS (5.5) is nice
25 Jake Irvin WSN at SEA x 42 4.71 1.52 5% 26th Jirvin’s been servin’ of late w/B2B solid outings including an ARI outing that was particularly impressive, though I still don’t see him as much more than a deep lg lottery ticket
26 Jameson Taillon CHC PHI 53.2 6.71 1.55 11% 16th He is neither executing anywhere near his best nor getting an ounce of good luck to cover some of the mistakes resulting in nearly a 2-run split between his ERA & SIERA (4.91)
27 Alex Wood SFG at TOR 38.1 5.17 1.54 9% 5th Could find something in a follower role, but must reign in the control issues as a 14% mark in his L4 has fueled major volatility (1, 6, 0, 6 ER)… could see a deep lg Hail Mary at best
28 Matt Manning DET at TEX 11.2 4.63 1.29 8% 5th Tough spot coming off the IL; down to stash in 12s or deeper right now, though you can wait w/at COL coming this wknd
29 Brady Singer KCR CLE 76.2 6.34 1.57 11% 9th I’ve lost pretty much all confidence in him and not even 2-start really appeals to me here
30 Connor Seabold COL LAD 56.2 5.88 1.48 9% 20th Never in Coors and I’m not sure there are any road starts I’d be all that interested in, either
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

2 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
TheUncool
1 year ago

I would think Montgomery should be an easy enough choice against Houston at home these days, especially w/out Yordan nor apparently even Altuve.