Starting Pitcher Chart – June 20th

June 20, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – June 20th

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Framber Valdez	HOU		NYM	x	x	x	91	2.27	1.03	21%	7th	Career-high 26% K rate has him in the Top 5 starters and while he likely won’t hold these ratios, he’s a Top 10 rest of season for me
2	Spencer Strider	ATL	at	PHI	x	x	x	78.2	4.12	1.13	30%	9th	13 ER and 5 HR in his L2 and 10 HR in his L6 is definitely a bit alarming but I can’t see sitting him in a 2-step
3	Nathan Eovaldi	TEX	at	CHW	x	x	x	93.2	2.59	0.98	20%	30th	Just a fantastic start to the season for Eovaldi
4	Clayton Kershaw	LAD	at	LAA	x	x	x	82.1	2.95	1.11	23%	9th	Kershaw v. Trout & Ohtani should be fun
5	Gerrit Cole	NYY		SEA	x	x	x	91.2	2.75	1.11	19%	23rd	Ran through LAD, BOS, and NYM pretty easily after the 10 ER in the previous 2 starts
6	George Kirby	SEA	at	NYY	x	x	x	80.2	3.24	1.07	20%	26th	Toting a 26% K rate in his L7 starts, including a season-high 10 his last time out
7	Bailey Ober	MIN		BOS	x	x	x	57.2	2.65	0.99	18%	17th	He has become an all formats Must Start (ranked SP31 so far)
8	Tyler Glasnow	TBR		BAL	x	x	x	21	3.43	1.29	17%	10th	Wonky control keeping the WHIP up, but he’s still too good to sit anywhere
9	Justin Verlander	NYM	at	HOU	x	x	x	45	4.40	1.22	14%	11th	Let’s hope he can break his 1 up, 1 down pattern over his L7 because if not, here comes a dud (I don’t believe in these patterns and I’m not sitting JV anywhere)
10	Marcus Stroman	CHC	at	PIT	x	x	x	91.2	2.45	1.04	13%	18th	Has won 6 straight starts
11	Dylan Cease	CHW		TEX	x	x	x	79.1	4.31	1.34	16%	2nd	2022 Cease, is that you? 2.16 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 23% K-BB in his L3 starts (17 IP)… tough spot, but I don’t see myself sitting him in many spots
12	Eury Pérez	MIA		TOR	x	x	x	35	1.80	1.09	16%	3rd	Just 1 ER in his L4 starts (21 IP) with 20 Ks
13	Aaron Civale	CLE		OAK	x	x	x	27	2.67	1.26	11%	29th	SDP ran his pitch count up and chased him after 3.7 IP though part of that was getting 7 Ks… easy start in a 2-step w/OAK on the docket
14	Reid Detmers	LAA		LAD	x	x	x	62.1	4.48	1.46	18%	1st	He’s been a WHIP bummer this yr, but I just don’t see the .362 BABIP staying that high… his 32% roster rate at Y! is too low for me
15	MacKenzie Gore	WSN		STL	x	x	x	74.2	3.74	1.38	17%	26th	Has enough upside to take on the risk in most spots, even with a trip to SDP this weekend
16	Kyle Bradish	BAL	at	TBR		x	x	60	3.90	1.27	14%	14th	A brilliant outing v. TOR puts him at 3.42 ERA/1.12 WHIP since that 7 ER dud v. BOS… I see the case in 12s & up for sure
17	Kutter Crawford	BOS	at	MIN		x	x	40.2	4.20	1.13	19%	20th	Still putting up an 18% K-BB in these 3 starts despite the modest results (6.30 ERA, 1.98 WHIP) so I’m sticking with him in a lot of formats
18	Yusei Kikuchi	TOR	at	MIA		x	x	71	4.31	1.37	16%	5th	Has only allowed 2 ER in each of his L4 starts but still with a 2.3 HR rate makes him tough to trust but he gets 2 including OAK this wknd so I’m down to take the shot
19	Ranger Suárez	PHI		ATL		x	x	37.2	3.82	1.33	15%	13th	It’s a spicy 2-step w/ATL & NYM (though neither are peaking right now) but I’m open to starting him in most formats
20	Daniel Lynch	KCR	at	DET		x	x	23.1	5.79	1.41	13%	8th	5-run 5th inn. sank his last start (4 HR!) but he went 2 more IP after that which was encouraging; was great in MiLB, too, so he’s a very viable streamer
21	Michael Lorenzen	DET		KCR		x	x	66	4.23	1.09	12%	24th	HRs are smoking him (7 HR in his 3 duds over his L5); KCR is 26th in HRs v. RH so this is a decent spot start
22	Johan Oviedo	PIT		CHC		x	x	75.2	4.40	1.47	11%	28th	WHIP risk has upside and he’s a solid streamer candidate in juicy matchups
23	Jordan Montgomery	STL	at	WSN		x	x	78.1	3.91	1.34	15%	18th	With the W risk being undercut by StL’s rough start, he is a lot harder to start all the time… team streamer for now and WSN doesn’t K
24	Ben Lively 라이블리	CIN		COL		x	x	42	4.07	1.21	18%	7th	He’s been pretty good as a starter though his home park will always add risk (1.7 HR)
25	Seth Lugo	SDP	at	SFG			x	41.2	4.10	1.37	15%	6th	I don’t blame anyone who passes the 1st start off the IL; given that it’s a 2-step, I’m open to streaming him if you’re willing to take on the risk
26	Anthony DeSclafani	SFG		SDP			x	79.1	4.31	1.18	13%	16th	On that Verlander 1 up, 1 down run over his L6 with 2 Ks in 3 of ’em so I don’t mind sitting him here, but I’m reluctant to cut in 12s or deeper
27	Colin Rea	MIL		ARI			x	57.1	4.71	1.26	12%	5th	Hasn’t allowed more than 4 ER in any of his 11 starts, but has allowed exactly that in 5 starts; hasn’t been matchup-dependent w/his best starts coming v. good tms
28	Luis Medina	OAK	at	CLE				39.1	7.55	1.60	11%	22nd	Hasn’t done nearly enough to make any matchup all that appealing
29	Kyle Freeland	COL	at	CIN				80.1	4.48	1.34	8%	2nd	Passing on most guys v. CIN right now, not that Freeland is a major consideration in anything but the best matchups on the road
30	Ryne Nelson	ARI	at	MIL				71.1	5.30	1.54	6%	27th	Not sure any matchup is enough to get me to start a sub-10% K-BB

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues