Starting Pitcher Chart – June 1st
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Thursday, June 1st Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pablo López | MIN | CLE | x | x | x | 65.2 | 4.11 | 1.13 | 23% | 30th | Perfect setup to get his ERA back under 4.00 after a couple mediocre outings in his L3 | |
| 2 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | MIL | x | x | x | 68.1 | 3.03 | 1.13 | 26% | 25th | Has a couple mega-duds but otherwise he’s been rolling this year | |
| 3 | Joe Musgrove | SDP | at | MIA | x | x | x | 30.1 | 5.64 | 1.45 | 16% | 22nd | I’m not concerned by the 5.64 ERA, he’ll be fine |
| 4 | Reid Detmers | LAA | at | HOU | x | x | x | 45.2 | 4.93 | 1.53 | 19% | 24th | SIERA is over a run below his ERA and I’m confident he can get much closer to the SIERA with the skills he’s showing |
| 5 | Framber Valdez | HOU | LAA | x | x | x | 72 | 2.38 | 1.04 | 22% | 18th | Is he seen as anything less than a must start in all formats? | |
| 6 | Max Scherzer | NYM | PHI | x | x | x | 40.2 | 3.54 | 1.13 | 16% | 21st | He’s not peak Scherzer but I can’t find myself sitting him anywhere | |
| 7 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | at | MIN | x | x | x | 34.1 | 2.88 | 1.08 | 18% | 16th | His 5% HR/FB will regress at some point so he’s likely not a sub-3.00 ERA stud all year, but there’s still plenty of upside as a mid-to-high 3.00s arm |
| 8 | Chris Sale | BOS | CIN | x | x | x | 55.1 | 4.72 | 1.16 | 22% | 5th | He looks locked in lately with a 2.23 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, and 25% K-BB in 32 IP | |
| 9 | Jesús Luzardo | MIA | SDP | x | x | x | 61.1 | 3.67 | 1.39 | 20% | 10th | I’m surprised he’s been this hittable and there’s a good chance he cuts into 9.7 H rate as the season wears on | |
| 10 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | at | TOR | x | x | x | 54.1 | 4.64 | 1.42 | 15% | 2nd | I was gassing him up a few wks ago but then 13 ER in 13.7 IP later, his ERA is at 4.64! There are some sits out there, but I’m still starting him in most lgs |
| 11 | Hunter Greene | CIN | at | BOS | x | x | 56 | 4.18 | 1.38 | 24% | 10th | He’s a nerve-wracking start, but the upside is so rich that it’s hard to sit him | |
| 12 | Chase Anderson | COL | at | ARI | 20.2 | 1.31 | 0.97 | 6% | 4th | Easy pass | |||
| 13 | Taijuan Walker | PHI | at | NYM | 53.1 | 5.57 | 1.46 | 9% | 12th | A single digit K-BB rate and way too many HRs make him a tough start anywhere | |||
| 14 | Zach Davies | ARI | COL | 12.2 | 5.68 | 1.74 | 3% | 1st | No thanks |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Detmers a must start at Houston is awfully optimistic.
Bold rankings for Detmers and Musgrove! Waving away some awfully ugly ratios for Musgrove especially. Not often you see a 5.64/1.45 guy as a must-start across all league formats.
(Granted the Marlins lineup is often frightful rather than frightening…)
Have to remember that Musgrove got hosed with the 16-11 Mexico City game at 7,500′ elevation and I feel like you almost need to throw that out because the offense there was just insane. Throw out that game and Musgrove is at a 4.00 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. Add in that he missed spring training and got a late start to the season and is basically working his way into it on the fly and he’s really doing just fine (as proven by the game today where he took a no-no into the 6th)
True that – good point. In retrospect it was a 50/50 on those two – Musgrove was quite excellent last night, Detmers quite not-good. Good call on JM
Framber bumped to Friday. Stros are calling up Ronel Blanco to start today in what I assume will be a bullpen game