Starting Pitcher Chart – June 1st
by Paul Sporer
June 1, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Thursday, June 1st Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pablo López | MIN | CLE | x | x | x | 65.2 | 4.11 | 1.13 | 23% | 30th | Perfect setup to get his ERA back under 4.00 after a couple mediocre outings in his L3 | |
| 2 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | MIL | x | x | x | 68.1 | 3.03 | 1.13 | 26% | 25th | Has a couple mega-duds but otherwise he’s been rolling this year | |
| 3 | Joe Musgrove | SDP | at | MIA | x | x | x | 30.1 | 5.64 | 1.45 | 16% | 22nd | I’m not concerned by the 5.64 ERA, he’ll be fine |
| 4 | Reid Detmers | LAA | at | HOU | x | x | x | 45.2 | 4.93 | 1.53 | 19% | 24th | SIERA is over a run below his ERA and I’m confident he can get much closer to the SIERA with the skills he’s showing |
| 5 | Framber Valdez | HOU | LAA | x | x | x | 72 | 2.38 | 1.04 | 22% | 18th | Is he seen as anything less than a must start in all formats? | |
| 6 | Max Scherzer | NYM | PHI | x | x | x | 40.2 | 3.54 | 1.13 | 16% | 21st | He’s not peak Scherzer but I can’t find myself sitting him anywhere | |
| 7 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | at | MIN | x | x | x | 34.1 | 2.88 | 1.08 | 18% | 16th | His 5% HR/FB will regress at some point so he’s likely not a sub-3.00 ERA stud all year, but there’s still plenty of upside as a mid-to-high 3.00s arm |
| 8 | Chris Sale | BOS | CIN | x | x | x | 55.1 | 4.72 | 1.16 | 22% | 5th | He looks locked in lately with a 2.23 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, and 25% K-BB in 32 IP | |
| 9 | Jesús Luzardo | MIA | SDP | x | x | x | 61.1 | 3.67 | 1.39 | 20% | 10th | I’m surprised he’s been this hittable and there’s a good chance he cuts into 9.7 H rate as the season wears on | |
| 10 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | at | TOR | x | x | x | 54.1 | 4.64 | 1.42 | 15% | 2nd | I was gassing him up a few wks ago but then 13 ER in 13.7 IP later, his ERA is at 4.64! There are some sits out there, but I’m still starting him in most lgs |
| 11 | Hunter Greene | CIN | at | BOS | x | x | 56 | 4.18 | 1.38 | 24% | 10th | He’s a nerve-wracking start, but the upside is so rich that it’s hard to sit him | |
| 12 | Chase Anderson | COL | at | ARI | 20.2 | 1.31 | 0.97 | 6% | 4th | Easy pass | |||
| 13 | Taijuan Walker | PHI | at | NYM | 53.1 | 5.57 | 1.46 | 9% | 12th | A single digit K-BB rate and way too many HRs make him a tough start anywhere | |||
| 14 | Zach Davies | ARI | COL | 12.2 | 5.68 | 1.74 | 3% | 1st | No thanks |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Detmers a must start at Houston is awfully optimistic.