Starting Pitcher Chart – June 19th, 2024
- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the May SP Rankings (June update coming this week!)
OK Jonathan Cannon, I wasn’t familiar with your game! He came an out shy of the shutout v. HOU, allowing just 7 hits and a walk with 4 Ks. Pablo López now has to rally at OAK this weekend after 4 IP/5 ER v. TBR. Shockingly Aaron Civale didn’t allow any HRs, but it didn’t drive any success as he couldn’t finish 4 IP. I sold Bailey Falter a bit short after back-to-back 4 IP outings. I didn’t give him enough credit for the excellent May (2.23 ERA in 5 starts), especially with a good matchup at home. With modest Ks, he will always need the contact to find gloves, but he’s gaining some deep league streamer viability.
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | DET at ATL | x | x | x | 86 | 2.20 | 0.91 | 24% | 19th/11th | Didn’t have his K stuff (2) in HOU and it eventually caught up to him with a 4-hit/4-run 6th inning |
| 2 | Cole Ragans | KCR at OAK | x | x | x | 86 | 3.14 | 1.14 | 22% | 14th/21st | Survived a trip to LAD (7 IP/3 ER/4 Ks/ND)and earns a schedule reprieve w/at OAK & v. MIA lined up for his next 2 |
| 3 | Joe Ryan | MIN v TBR | x | x | x | 86 | 3.24 | 0.94 | 23% | 30th/28th | Has gone 7 IP in 5 of his L7 (2.98 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 21% K-BB in 45.3 IP) |
| 4 | Ranger Suárez | PHI v SDP | x | x | x | 86 | 1.77 | 0.88 | 22% | 15th/22nd | Didn’t falter in London and still just hasn’t missed a beat outside of the injury scare after the comebacker |
| 5 | Freddy Peralta | MIL at LAA | x | x | x | 76 | 4.38 | 1.20 | 22% | 25th/20th | Recent struggles are frustrating but not too actionable for me, he still doesn’t leave the lineup |
| 6 | Gerrit Cole | NYY v BAL | x | x | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 1st/5th | LOOK WHO’S BACK!!! — I’m starting him right away, but as I always say w/these situations: every has their own way of playing guys off the IL (splendid 19 K/0 BB in 3 rehab starts) |
| 7 | Garrett Crochet | CHW v HOU | x | x | x | 82 | 3.16 | 0.90 | 30% | 24th/12th | Has double-digit Ks in 3 of his L4 (1.80 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 44% K in 25 IP) |
| 8 | Reynaldo López | ATL v DET | x | x | x | 69 | 1.69 | 1.04 | 18% | 12th/16th | Has navigated an uncertain spot (7 of 12 starts w/6+ days rest) beautifully w/ace-like numbers thus far |
| 9 | Bryan Woo | SEA at CLE | x | x | x | 33 | 1.07 | 0.53 | 18% | 7th/13th | Finally put up a solid K gm (6 in 6) after just 3 total across his previous 2 starts — first start since 6/6 so could have his IP managed a bit |
| 10 | Kevin Gausman | TOR v BOS | x | x | x | 75 | 4.08 | 1.27 | 19% | 3rd/7th | Volatility probably costs him ace status (8 starts of 55+ Game Score; 4 sub-40), but he still doesn’t leave the lineup |
| 11 | Hunter Greene | CIN at PIT | x | x | x | 82 | 3.61 | 1.18 | 15% | 22nd/29th | A 4-run 2nd inning is the only real blip in his L9: 3.13 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 12% K-BB, though the 12% BB in that time is a bit worrisome |
| 12 | Hunter Brown | HOU at CHW | x | x | x | 68 | 5.00 | 1.43 | 16% | 27th/30th | Sputtered a bit in the 6th inning (3 R, 3 H) but still had 11 Ks and just 5 base runners allowed |
| 13 | Bobby Miller | LAD at COL | x | x | x | 11 | 5.40 | 1.46 | 24% | 21st/18th | Another long-awaited return from the IL, though he has pitched this year so it isn’t quite getting the fanfare of Cole’s return |
| 14 | Taj Bradley | TBR at MIN | x | x | x | 38 | 4.23 | 1.10 | 24% | 10th/11th | It’ll take another couple starts to erase the 9 ER at BAL, but 1 ER of his last 12 IP is a great start |
| 15 | Tanner Bibee | CLE v SEA | x | x | x | 75 | 3.94 | 1.17 | 21% | 16th/23rd | After a modest 24% K rate over his first 9 starts (4.34 ERA, 1.31 WHIP), he’s at 33% K in his L5 (3.34 ERA, 0.96 WHIP) |
| 16 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI at WSN | x | x | x | 84 | 4.38 | 1.16 | 19% | 19th/21st | Stand by the skills: 21% K-BB in his L6 since that 0 K start at BAL |
| 17 | Mitch Keller | PIT v CIN | x | x | x | 85 | 3.36 | 1.25 | 15% | 14th/24th | Allowed >3 ER for the first time in 8 starts, but he’s still rolling w/a 2.13 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 18% K-BB in 51 IP |
| 18 | Matt Waldron | SDP at PHI | x | x | x | 76 | 3.66 | 1.18 | 15% | 20th/8th | Now has 7 straight starts w/0-2 ER: 1.91 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 19% K-BB in 42 IP |
| 19 | Kyle Gibson | STL at MIA | x | x | x | 83 | 3.44 | 1.20 | 12% | 24th/27th | 1 out shy of 4 straight QS: 2.55 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 20% K-BB in 25 IP |
| 20 | Tyler Anderson | LAA v MIL | x | x | 87 | 2.58 | 1.19 | 6% | 26th/20th | I love the 2.42 ERA over his L7, but the 1.27 WHIP and 3% K-BB over the 45 IP make it a little tough to start him confidently | |
| 21 | Sean Manaea | NYM at TEX | x | x | 65 | 4.11 | 1.32 | 15% | 21st/23rd | Bounced back from his B2B 6 ER duds (1 bad inning in both) with 5 IP/1 ER/7 Ks v. SDP | |
| 22 | Brayan Bello | BOS at TOR | x | 63 | 5.00 | 1.40 | 12% | 13th/17th | BB% has doubled to 12% over his L5, yielding a 6.41 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in 27 IP | ||
| 23 | Spencer Howard | SFG at CHC | 15 | 4.02 | 1.66 | 4% | 26th/22nd | It’s not a terrible matchup, but I’m not that confident just yet | |||
| 24 | Cade Povich | BAL at NYY | 11 | 4.76 | 1.24 | 8% | 8th/14th | Excellent 2nd start w/6 scoreless v. ATL, buuuttt I’m terrified of NYY | |||
| 25 | Kyle Hendricks | CHC v SFG | 45 | 8.20 | 1.71 | 8% | 18th/25th | I need to see a couple starts before gaining any trust in him | |||
| 26 | Andrew Heaney | TEX v NYM | 66 | 4.19 | 1.32 | 15% | 2nd/5th | Mets have been sneaky great vL this year | |||
| 27 | Ryan Feltner | COL v LAD | 75 | 5.71 | 1.45 | 14% | 11th/3rd | I waaaant to like him, but no… | |||
| 28 | Luis Medina | OAK v KCR | 15 | 5.87 | 1.50 | 3% | 5th/9th | No | |||
| 29 | Patrick Corbin | WSN v ARI | 77 | 5.84 | 1.62 | 6% | 16th/2nd | No | |||
| 30 | Huascar Brazoban | MIA v STL | 11 | 2.45 | 1.27 | -2% | 9th/12th | Probably just an opener, I haven’t found anything on who might be the primary pitcher |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
Maybe worth acknowledging that last Woo start was two weeks ago, and it’s hard to tell what we might get from him today in terms of length and performance.
Great call!