Starting Pitcher Chart – June 18th, 2024

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Some guys hoping to establish themselves as bankable starters (Irvin, Marsh, Myers, Harris) while others like Miller, King, and Steele are hoping to regain the full trust of fantasy managers.

Starter Notes June 18, 2024
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK L30/Season NOTE
1 Framber Valdez HOU at CHW x x x 67 3.99 1.21 12% 9th/25th Had 3 straight QS prior to the 5 ER at SFG; despite such ugly starts this yr, he doesn’t leave the lineup
2 Logan Webb SFG at CHC x x x 92 3.02 1.20 15% 26th/22nd
3 Pablo López MIN v TBR x x x 76 5.33 1.21 21% 30th/28th Nice work v. COL last time out and now has a great 2-step to get fully back on track (at OAK this wknd)
4 Tanner Houck BOS at TOR x x x 91 2.08 0.95 20% 13th/17th
5 Aaron Nola PHI v SDP x x x 88 3.48 1.08 15% 4th/2nd Seems like a lock for a couple mega duds every year
6 Nestor Cortes NYY v BAL x x x 87 3.59 1.12 18% 23rd/3rd Calmed some nerves w/7 IP of 2 ER ball at KCR, though still just 2 Ks…
7 Nick Lodolo CIN at PIT x x x 58 2.93 1.06 19% 20th/16th 4 straight Ws (the last 3 being QS) since returning from the IL; 13 Ks in L2 after 6 in first 2 of that sample
8 Alec Marsh KCR at OAK x x x 67 3.63 1.09 15% 28th/26th Great spot to stay hot after 7 IP of 1-hit ball v. NYY last time out
9 Michael King SDP at PHI x x x 83 3.58 1.23 17% 20th/8th A 2.20 ERA/0.99 WHIP combo over his L5 have sanded his season marks down to 3.58/1.23
10 Bryce Miller SEA at CLE x x x 82 3.48 0.98 17% 7th/13th Last 3 good tms (at BAL, at NYY, at KCR) cooked him so maybe we skip this in daily moves? Easy start in weeklies to get at MIA this wknd
11 Justin Steele CHC v SFG x x x 50 3.22 1.09 17% 1st/7th
12 Jake Irvin WSN v ARI x x x 81 3.00 1.04 17% 8th/14th I’m on board for the 2-step, too, even w/it being a trip to COL
13 Chris Bassitt TOR v BOS x x x 78 3.56 1.40 13% 3rd/7th Hasn’t allowed >3 ER in any of his L8: 2.25 ERA/1.13 WHIP/15% K-BB in 48 IP
14 Walker Buehler LAD at COL x x x 33 4.64 1.45 14% 21st/18th This is a light 3-x reco because of how “off” Buehler seems to be more than bc it’s in Coors
15 Michael Lorenzen TEX v NYM x x 66 2.86 1.18 7% 17th/19th Since getting merked for 6 ER at OAK of all places, he’s allowed 6 ER his L6 starts combined!
16 Tobias Myers MIL at LAA x x 40 3.76 1.16 13% 25th/20th Coming off B2B gems and as long as he can deliver 5 strong, MIL offers strong support for W potential
17 Hogan Harris OAK v KCR x x 25 2.49 1.11 14% 5th/13th Would love to see a bit more juice in his metrics before fully trusting home, but don’t mind some deeper lg starts here
18 Luis Severino NYM at TEX x x 78 3.12 1.18 9% 29th/15th A meager 9% K-BB gives me some pause… can’t deny the recent results, though: 2.39 ERA/1.11 WHIP in 26 IP
19 Triston McKenzie CLE v SEA x x 68 4.10 1.41 9% 16th/23rd Survivin’, but not exactly thrivin’ as evidenced by that 1.41 WHIP (2+ BB in all of his L7 starts)… be careful
20 Albert Suárez BAL at NYY x 44 1.61 1.05 13% 2nd/1st Love what Suárez has done this year, but a sit here makes a lottt of sense
21 Aaron Civale TBR at MIN x 72 5.20 1.33 17% 10th/11th Until he curbs the HRs, the volatility will remain
22 Roddery Muñoz MIA v STL x 25 4.56 1.17 14% 9th/12th Live arm with some streamer potential, but make sure you go in eyes wide open… he isn’t yet a safe bet
23 Casey Mize DET at ATL x 65 4.43 1.46 8% 23rd/10th Wonder if recent struggles were his fatigue wall of the season after missing essentially 2 seasons
24 Lance Lynn STL at MIA x 69 3.75 1.39 12% 24th/27th Hasn’t reached 5 IP in any of his L3
25 Spencer Schwellenbach ATL v DET x 15 6.32 1.34 10% 12th/16th Hard to ever be fully against streaming some v. DET
26 Griffin Canning LAA v MIL 75 4.76 1.33 7% 15th/4th Just can’t find consistent success with a 15% K rate
27 Slade Cecconi ARI at WSN 44 6.70 1.29 13% 19th/21st
28 Bailey Falter PIT v CIN 72 3.86 1.11 10% 13th/17th
29 Austin Gomber COL v LAD 69 4.26 1.32 9% 3rd/1st
30 Jonathan Cannon CHW v HOU 23 4.56 1.35 19% 6th/6th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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hscerMember since 2024
9 months ago

I’m scared to death to start Nestor vs the O’s!

hscerMember since 2024
9 months ago
Reply to  Paul Sporer

guess I should have listened to you anyway lol, who knew his best start in the last month would come against Baltimore