Starting Pitcher Chart – June 16th, 2025

June 16, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

JUMP TO 2-START CHART

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Starter Notes June 16, 2025

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	2025 wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Clarke Schmidt	NYY v LAA	x	x	x	55	3.60	1.24	15%	24th	Hasn’t allowed >3 ER since the 5 ER on 4/21 and has gone fewer than 5 IP just 1x in those 8 starts
2	Zach Eflin	BAL at TBR	x	x	x	53	4.08	1.09	14%	13th	3 straight QS after 12 ER in 2 starts has instilled confidence here
3	Ryan Pepiot	TBR v BAL	x	x	x	81	3.31	1.14	15%	2nd	After 8 HRs thru 5, he’s allowed just 5 in his L9 though I still have some nerves for his home starts
4	Dylan Cease	SDP at LAD	x	x	x	75	4.28	1.30	21%	29th	B2B LAD starts isn’t fun, but he absolutely dealt v. them last time out: 7 IP/0 ER/11 Ks and it’s just really hard to sit a talent like this bc when you do, he does drops gems like this
5	Jake Irvin	WSN v COL	x	x	x	83	4.21	1.25	8%	23rd	Was rolling w/3 straight QS in mid-May; has gone just 5 IP in his L3 w/13 ER (7.80 ERA), but COL is the perfect Rx for any SP
6	Mick Abel	PHI at MIA	x	x	x	15	2.35	1.11	18%	8th	Survived v. CHC (4 IP/3 ER) in a start we were skipping anyway; would like to see the Ks again after just 5 in his last 2 starts
7	Lance McCullers Jr.	HOU at ATH		x	x	29	4.91	1.43	17%	7th	Classic McCullers volatility as 4 BB spoiled his outing v. CHW (5 IP/4 ER) but he remains startable in a lot of spots even in a tough venue like this
8	Logan Gilbert	SEA v BOS		x	x	30	2.37	0.79	32%	9th	Not a must-start coming off the IL after nearly 2 mos. & the at CHC on the wknd isn’t terribly enticing, either
9	Ben Casparius	LAD v SDP		x	x	44	2.86	1.02	21%	19th	Set to follow Shohei and put up 4 IP last time out… could be a sneaky W play today
10	Lucas Giolito	BOS at SEA			x	39	5.45	1.54	10%	10th	Running guardrail-to-guardrail making him tough to trust, ER by start this yr: 3, 6, 1, 6, 0, 1, 7, 0
11	Sandy Alcantara	MIA v PHI				63	7.14	1.49	7%	11th	B2B QS was definitely schedule-influenced (COL/at PIT) so I’m still nervous against any good tm
12	JP Sears	ATH v HOU				72	5.08	1.25	14%	5th	Feel like he’s rounding into a home-sit/road-start: 6.00 ERA/1.38 WHIP at home \| 4.62/1.19 on the road
13	José Soriano	LAA at NYY				79	3.86	1.50	7%	3rd	Coming off best start of the yr (7 IP/1 ER/12 Ks), but had his worst start the one before that (7 ER) and this is a brutal matchup w/HOU looming on the wknd, too
14	Carson Palmquist	COL at WSN				22	7.77	1.82	3%	22nd

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

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2-START CHART

2-Start Chart for the Week of June 16th

RANK	PITCHER	TYPE	MATCHUPS	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	Pitch+
1	Spencer Schwellenbach	1	NYM/at MIA	89.2	3.11	1.00	20%	109
2	Logan Gilbert	2	BOS/at CHC	30.1	2.37	0.79	32%	116
3	Dylan Cease	2	at LAD/KCR	75.2	4.28	1.30	21%	102
4	Robbie Ray	2	CLE/BOS	81.1	2.55	1.12	18%	93
5	Jesús Luzardo	2	at MIA/NYM	78.2	4.23	1.40	20%	110
6	Andrew Abbott	2	MIN/at STL	62.2	1.87	0.97	18%	99
7	Ryan Pepiot	2	BAL/DET	81.2	3.31	1.14	15%	103
8	Matthew Liberatore	3	at CHW/CIN	73.1	3.93	1.17	17%	103
9	Mick Abel	3	at MIA/ NYM	15.1	2.35	1.11	18%	99
10	Clarke Schmidt	3	LAA/ BAL	55	3.60	1.24	15%	104
11	Will Warren	3	LAA/BAL	63	4.86	1.37	18%	100
12	Lance McCullers Jr.	3	at ATH/ at LAA	29.1	4.91	1.43	17%	92
13	Shane Smith	3	STL/at TOR	68.1	2.37	1.17	13%	100
14	Seth Lugo	3	at TEX/at SDP	70.2	3.18	1.15	11%	96
15	Zach Eflin	3	at TBR/at NYY	53	4.08	1.09	14%	107
16	Casey Mize	3	PIT/at TBR	61	2.95	1.28	14%	104
17	David Peterson	3	at ATL/at PHI	79.2	2.49	1.19	14%	101
18	Ben Casparius	4	SDP/WAS	44	2.86	1.02	21%	106
19	Slade Cecconi	4	at SFG/at ATH	25.1	4.26	1.34	18%	107
20	J.T. Ginn	4	HOU/CLE	17.2	5.60	1.53	20%	102
21	Ben Brown	4	MIL/SEA	69.1	5.71	1.47	19%	99
22	Chris Bassitt	4	ARI/ CHW	80.1	3.70	1.31	17%	104
23	David Festa	4	at CIN/MIL	22.2	4.76	1.32	16%	105
24	Zack Littell	4	BAL/DET	86.2	3.84	1.11	14%	103
25	Chad Patrick	4	at CHC/ at MIN	74.2	3.25	1.26	15%	99
26	Jack Leiter	4	KCR/at PIT	55.2	3.88	1.24	7%	89
27	Brandon Pfaadt	4	at TOR/ at COL	70.1	5.37	1.41	12%	101
28	Michael Soroka	5	COL/at LAD	42	5.14	1.12	17%	105
29	José Soriano	4	at NYY/HOU	79.1	3.86	1.50	7%	111
30	JP Sears	5	HOU/CLE	72.2	5.08	1.25	14%	105
31	Lucas Giolito	5	at SEA/at SFG	39.2	5.45	1.54	10%	102
32	Bailey Falter	5	at DET/TEX	75	3.36	1.12	7%	97
33	Sandy Alcantara	5	PHI/ATL	63	7.14	1.49	7%	95
34	Jake Irvin	5	COL/at LAD	83.1	4.21	1.25	8%	103
35	Randy Vásquez	6	at LAD/KCR	68	3.57	1.40	2%	98
36	Dean Kremer	6	at TBR/at NYY	79.1	4.99	1.37	12%	101
37	Kyle Hendricks	6	at NYY/HOU	71	5.20	1.32	8%	111
38	Antonio Senzatela	6	at WAS/ARI	66	7.23	2.03	3%	102
39	Carson Palmquist	6	at WAS/ARI	22	7.77	1.82	3%	90