Starting Pitcher Chart – June 15th

June 15, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Thursday, June 15th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Cristian Javier	HOU		WSN	x	x	x	74.2	3.13	1.06	19%	19th	If anyone can get WSN to strike out a bunch, Javier has to be among the top candidates
2	Nathan Eovaldi	TEX		LAA	x	x	x	86.2	2.49	0.98	20%	7th	Has won 8 straight decisions across his L10, posting a filthy 1.65 ERA/0.86 combo
3	Sonny Gray	MIN		DET	x	x	x	72	2.25	1.25	17%	25th	Probably deserves more attention for his excellent season thus far (no more than 3 ER) powered by just 1 HR allowed
4	Shohei Ohtani	LAA	at	TEX	x	x	x	76	3.32	1.04	22%	1st	Probably would’ve used him as a hitter this week but he is part of the small group who I would use v. TEX
5	Logan Allen	CLE	at	SDP	x	x	x	51.2	3.31	1.39	16%	6th	A bad 1st inning saddled him w/his worst start of the yr (still went 6 IP!)… he’s not leaving the lineup, also gets OAK next yr
6	Aaron Nola	PHI	at	ARI	x	x	x	88	4.60	1.10	17%	10th	The WHIP keeps him in the lineup and I guess we just hope the ERA starts to come down
7	Dylan Cease	CHW	at	LAD	x	x	x	74	4.38	1.34	15%	11th	Back on track w/a 2.94 ERA & 1.14 WHIP over his L6 since the 7 ER dud at KC that pushed his ERA to a season-high 5.58
8	Marcus Stroman	CHC		PIT	x	x	x	85.2	2.42	1.04	13%	6th	NL best ERA and WHIP have him rolling, though his 3.94 SIERA says he isn’t thaaaaattt different from who he’s always been
9	Taj Bradley	TBR	at	OAK	x	x	x	38.2	4.19	1.27	24%	28th	Hopefully he can take advantage of this schedule reprieve after HOU, NYM, BOS, and TEX w/in his L5 starts
10	AJ Smith-Shawver	ATL		COL		x	x	7.2	0.00	0.78	7%	4th	We haven’t seen standout skills from the fast-rising 20 y/o but maybe a home start v. COL brings out the best in him?
11	Michael Grove	LAD		CHW		x	x	25	8.28	1.60	13%	29th	He’s been better since the 9 ER dud at ARI, but still not great (5.60 ERA/1.30 WHIP)… the matchup is appealing, though
12	Tyler Wells	BAL		TOR			x	75	3.24	0.85	20%	3rd	Love what Wells has done this yr w/an MLB-best 0.85 WHIP, but that 1.7 HR rate makes me OK w/sitting him here as was the case w/Bradish (who dominated despite just 1 K)
13	MacKenzie Gore	WSN	at	HOU			x	69	4.04	1.39	18%	5th	Has reigned in the BB w/just a 7% in his L8, but in its place is a 1.9 HR rate thus a 4.71 ERA over that time
14	Paul Blackburn	OAK		TBR			x	15	3.60	1.33	14%	18th	A solid outing, a gem, and a dud in his 3 starts off the IL make him an interesting pickup for next wk’s CLE start
15	Rich Hill	PIT	at	CHC			x	72.1	4.23	1.37	14%	24th	His L5 underscore his streamer volatility: 0, 1, 2, 5, and 6 ER… be careful!
16	Matthew Boyd	DET	at	MIN			x	58.1	5.55	1.35	13%	17th	4 duds in his L8 but the other 4 have been really good so he’s a coinflip… aka a standard streamer
17	Yusei Kikuchi	TOR	at	BAL			x	66.1	4.34	1.34	15%	23rd	I’m a broken record here every 5th day, but I just can’t get behind him in many formats w/that MLB-high 18 HRs allowed… be careful
18	Kyle Freeland	COL	at	ATL				76	3.91	1.26	10%	26th	Despite ATL’s light offensive output recently, I’m still not sure I can get behind a Freeland start here… his 10% road K is half hime home mark
19	Ryne Nelson	ARI		PHI				67.1	4.95	1.46	6%	14th	The meager skills just don’t offer enough to take the gamble in any matchups
20	Ryan Weathers	SDP		CLE				38.1	4.93	1.49	6%	14th	Hasn’t reached 5 IP in any of his last 3 outings

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues