Starting Pitcher Chart – June 14th
by Paul Sporer
June 14, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Wednesday, June 14th Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Strider | ATL | at | DET | x | x | x | 73.2 | 3.79 | 1.09 | 31% | 28th | HRs finally caught up to him v. NYM (6 of 8 ER) after dodging major issues with 5 in his previous 4 starts |
| 2 | Luis Castillo | SEA | MIA | x | x | x | 76.2 | 2.70 | 0.99 | 24% | 8th | My AL Cy Young pick is rolling lately with just 4 ER in his L4 after 5 ER at BOS | |
| 3 | Clayton Kershaw | LAD | CHW | x | x | x | 76.1 | 2.95 | 1.09 | 24% | 16th | Even at 35 y/o, he is one of the game’s best and if he stays healthy, he can be a Top 5 guy for the whole season | |
| 4 | Framber Valdez | HOU | WSN | x | x | x | 84 | 2.36 | 1.06 | 21% | 7th | Those pesky Nats can sneak up on lefties, but it’s not like we’re sitting a Top 5 SP | |
| 5 | Tyler Glasnow | TBR | at | OAK | x | x | x | 15.2 | 2.87 | 1.09 | 20% | 30th | Are we sure we want to run any SP against these blistering A’s??? |
| 6 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | at | NYM | x | x | x | 85.2 | 2.84 | 1.14 | 18% | 14th | WHIP is a little high for that ERA if we want to nitpick… he’s still an easy top 3 and the #1 for most |
| 7 | Bailey Ober | MIN | MIL | x | x | x | 51.2 | 2.61 | 0.97 | 17% | 25th | Can we believe the 5% HR/FB he’s run for 108 IP dating back to last yr despite the massive FB lean (52%)? The 17% K-BB keeps me fully interested | |
| 8 | Merrill Kelly 켈리 | ARI | PHI | x | x | x | 77 | 2.92 | 1.10 | 17% | 19th | Has quietly been excellent this yr and ranks as a Top 10 pitcher in 5×5 formats | |
| 9 | Reid Detmers | LAA | at | TEX | x | x | x | 56.1 | 4.79 | 1.51 | 18% | 2nd | Lagging LOB and elevated BABIP have his numbers in shambles right now, but I remain fully confident in the 23 y/o lefty & I’m picking him up everywhere |
| 10 | Michael Wacha | SDP | CLE | x | x | x | 68 | 3.18 | 1.09 | 16% | 20th | On a complete heater with a 1.51 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, and 18% K-BB over his last 48 IP, going at least 6 IP in 6 of the 8 starts | |
| 11 | José Berríos | TOR | at | BAL | x | x | x | 77.1 | 3.61 | 1.23 | 15% | 17th | Question if you have Berríos on your tm: is your confidence back w/him? Do you set it & forget it? |
| 12 | Eury Pérez | MIA | at | SEA | x | x | x | 29 | 2.17 | 1.21 | 14% | 24th | About the only flaw in his profile is the 11% BB which isn’t terribly surprising for a flamethrowing rookie… all told, he’s delivering on the hype |
| 13 | Justin Verlander | NYM | NYY | x | x | x | 39 | 4.85 | 1.33 | 12% | 12th | Rocking an every other good start pattern w/1, 6, 1, 6, 1, 4 ER across his L6 (5.03 ERA) but I just can’t see sitting him anywhere | |
| 14 | Garrett Whitlock | BOS | COL | x | x | x | 32 | 4.78 | 1.28 | 15% | 7th | Season ERA is a bit elevated in 6 starts, but the skills are solid (1.7 HR rate is inflated by 3 HR in his opener v. TB) & this is a great matchup | |
| 15 | Drew Smyly | CHC | PIT | x | x | 71.2 | 3.27 | 1.16 | 14% | 17th | Has survived a schedule gauntlet (at HOU, NYM, CIN, at SDP, at LAA) w/a 4.28 ERA in those 27 IP | ||
| 16 | Ranger Suárez | PHI | at | ARI | x | x | 30.2 | 4.70 | 1.43 | 14% | 10th | Was a bit wobbly in his first 3 off the IL before settling in 3 starts since: 1.83 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 13% K-BB… still not full on start v. ARI, though | |
| 17 | Anthony DeSclafani | SFG | at | STL | x | x | 76.1 | 3.89 | 1.13 | 12% | 3rd | Only 2 Ks in each of his last 3 starts and actually has more BB in that time (6 K, 7 BB) but still 2 QS and 1 dud… tough matchup that I’m OK skipping you’re nervous | |
| 18 | Jordan Montgomery | STL | SFG | x | x | 72 | 3.88 | 1.33 | 15% | 13th | Hit rate surge has his WHIP at a 4-yr high but maybe he can start to shave his .319 BABIP back closer to his career .293 mark | ||
| 19 | Aaron Civale | CLE | at | SDP | x | x | 23.1 | 2.31 | 1.07 | 10% | 22nd | Solid in 2 starts since returning from the IL and as long as you’re OK w/the modest K totals, he’s a worthy streamer in several spots | |
| 20 | Ben Lively 라이블리 | CIN | at | KCR | x | x | 36.1 | 4.21 | 1.13 | 19% | 27th | 5 HR in his last 2 starts handled the regression, pushing his ERA from 1.99 to 4.21 in short order | |
| 21 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | TOR | x | 53 | 4.25 | 1.36 | 15% | 2nd | I’m a big Bradish fan, but I’m completely fine sitting out this matchup… worth noting he has a 3.52 ERA/1.18 WHIP in his L7 since May 1st | |||
| 22 | Reese Olson | DET | ATL | x | 10 | 2.70 | 0.70 | 18% | 4th | It’s risky against ATL, but I’m down to stream him especially since it’s a 2-step (at MIN this wknd slated for Sunday even after the rainout) | |||
| 23 | Andrew Heaney | TEX | LAA | x | 63 | 4.14 | 1.25 | 14% | 8th | Just 3 HR in his L6 has yielded a 2.94 ERA, but I stay pretty cautious against LAA with streamer types | |||
| 24 | Josiah Gray | WSN | at | HOU | x | 72 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 8% | 6th | The 8% K-BB is making him a tough start even w/the newfound HR suppression… no worse than a team streamer so hold him if you pass on this start | ||
| 25 | Mike Clevinger | CHW | at | LAD | x | 58 | 4.19 | 1.38 | 9% | 9th | Has allowed more than 3 ER just once in his L6 starts w/a 3.74 ERA & 1.23 WHIP in that time, not sure that’s enough to get me on this matchup in many spots, though | ||
| 26 | Colin Rea | MIL | at | MIN | x | 52.1 | 4.47 | 1.22 | 13% | 13th | He’s held his own and not allowed more than 4 ER in any start making himself a decent deep lg streamer | ||
| 27 | Daniel Lynch | KCR | CIN | 16.1 | 4.41 | 1.47 | 16% | 9th | Interesting lefty hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in his 3 starts (2 UER in one of ’em helped) but I’m being more careful w/CIN these days (5 R/gm in their L9) | ||||
| 28 | Michael Lorenzen | DET | ATL | 60 | 3.75 | 1.02 | 13% | 4th | A rough 7th (4 H & ER) spoiled his last outing (6 IP/2 ER before that) but keeps his streak of 0-1 ER or 5+ ER outings (6 of the former, 4 of the latter)… ATL too risky for me | ||||
| 29 | Luis Medina | OAK | TBR | 34.2 | 7.53 | 1.56 | 10% | 15th | Shouts to my guy Hogan Harris for standing up v. TBR… I’m not seeing as much upside w/Medina and even liking Harris, I still didn’t reco him v. TBR | ||||
| 30 | Collin McHugh | ATL | at | DET | 25.2 | 2.81 | 1.68 | 4% | 28th | Looks like ATL is going with a bullpen gm in 1 of the doubleheader games | |||
| 31 | Osvaldo Bido | PIT | at | CHC | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 29th | 27 y/o righty getting a spot start after a 24% K and 11% BB in 55 IP at AAA | |||
| 32 | Austin Gomber | COL | at | BOS | 60.2 | 7.57 | 1.75 | 4% | 4th | Don’t get Gombered |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Reese Olson is not going to pitch on three days rest this weekend despite what your comment says.
lol def not… I legit thought today was Tuesday. I’m totally off track for the week!