Starting Pitcher Chart – June 12th
by Paul Sporer
June 11, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Monday, June 12th Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Eflin | TBR | at | OAK | x | x | x | 66.2 | 2.97 | 0.96 | 22% | 30th | A mere 9 BB in 11 starts, aiding his sub-1.00 WHIP and sparkling 2.97 ERA in 93.3 IP |
| 2 | Jesús Luzardo | MIA | at | SEA | x | x | x | 73.2 | 3.79 | 1.25 | 22% | 12th | Bounced back from each of his 2 duds w/complete gems and the skills have been elite throughout, an easy Auto-Start for me right now |
| 3 | James Paxton | BOS | COL | x | x | x | 26 | 3.81 | 1.23 | 25% | 30th | Has just 1 bad start since returning and he gets a great matchup on Monday that should give him some leeway v. NYY on the weekend | |
| 4 | Bryce Miller | SEA | MIA | x | x | x | 38.1 | 4.46 | 0.97 | 18% | 8th | 2 massive bombs undid most of the great ERA, but he still has a sub-1.00 WHIP and this is solid 2-step (MIA, CHW) | |
| 5 | Logan Webb | SFG | at | STL | x | x | x | 84.1 | 3.09 | 1.09 | 20% | 3rd | Survived Coors and his reward is a tough 2-step (at STL, at LAD), but he is a full start |
| 6 | Charlie Morton | ATL | at | DET | x | x | x | 69.1 | 3.89 | 1.46 | 15% | 28th | Excellent 2-step (at DET, v. COL) to shave down his WHIP |
| 7 | Dane Dunning | TEX | LAA | x | 53.2 | 2.52 | 1.10 | 9% | 11th | I really like Dunning despite his modest skills, but I just can’t strongly recommend a LAA/TOR 2-step for a sub-10% K-BB… maaaaybe as a Hail Mary | |||
| 8 | Tyler Anderson | LAA | at | TEX | 57.2 | 5.62 | 1.60 | 4% | 2nd | I can’t trust him in easy matchups let alone a tough one like this | |||
| 9 | Matthew Liberatore | STL | SFG | 15 | 6.00 | 1.60 | 4% | 21st | Want to see something before jumping in | ||||
| 10 | Luke Weaver | CIN | at | KCR | 47.1 | 6.27 | 1.42 | 17% | 27th | Just hasn’t shown enough since those 16 Ks in his first 2 starts to make him a streamer candidate | |||
| 11 | Zack Greinke | KCR | CIN | 66.2 | 4.59 | 1.13 | 15% | 5th | This Cincy offense is getting scary after adding Elly De La Cruz | ||||
| 12 | Tommy Henry | ARI | PHI | 45.1 | 4.37 | 1.30 | 4% | 22nd | His 2-step got pushed back after the postponement, but I don’t think there’s appeal in any format | ||||
| 13 | Connor Seabold | COL | at | BOS | 47.2 | 5.10 | 1.41 | 9% | 23rd | No thanks | |||
| 14 | James Kaprielian | OAK | TBR | 43.2 | 7.21 | 1.76 | 6% | 15th | 5 BB/1 K in his 6 IP/1 ER outing at PIT… that said I wouldn’t start him v. TBR & PHI even if his skills looked better | ||||
| 15 | Dylan Covey | PHI | at | ARI | 12.2 | 7.11 | 1.74 | 17% | 10th | No thanks | |||
| 16 | Mason Englert | DET | ATL | 36 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 8% | 4th | Slated for a primary role, but there’s no fantasy viability here |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Regarding Henry (inadvertent movie reference) I read that PHI & CLE have been the worst teams against LHP. Would that upgrade any minor appeal? My alternatives are Ryne Nelson, Johann Oviedo, Yonny Chirinos or Zack Davies.