Starting Pitcher Chart – July 9th, 2025

July 9, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

Starter Notes July 9, 2025

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	2025 wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Kris Bubic	KCR v PIT	x	x	x	103	2.36	1.15	18%	30th	Is he getting enough love for his excellent season? Had some late draft season helium and has completely paid off on it!
2	MacKenzie Gore	WSN at STL	x	x	x	104	3.11	1.21	23%	17th
3	Andrew Abbott	CIN v MIA	x	x	x	83	2.15	1.09	17%	18th	I know MIA is cooking and shouts to the commenter who suggested caution on Martinez bc of their hot streak, but I’m still not running from them w/good arms
4	Jesús Luzardo	PHI at SFG	x	x	x	97	4.44	1.47	19%	26th	Just some crazy volatility this yr: 8 Game Scores of 60+ but 4 under 40 including that hot -11
5	Dylan Cease	SDP v ARI	x	x	x	97	4.62	1.33	20%	1st	Right-handed Luzardo: 6 GS of 64+, 6 under 45 but it’s just so hard to sit them
6	Lucas Giolito	BOS v COL	x	x	x	66	3.66	1.28	13%	25th
7	David Peterson	NYM at BAL	x	x	x	102	3.18	1.27	12%	27th
8	Brandon Walter	HOU v CLE	x	x	x	34	4.15	1.13	21%	28th	Knew it was a risk taking him into Coors but I’m getting back on the horse as I still love the 51% GB/22% K-BB combo
9	Reese Olson	DET v TBR	W	x	x	53	2.89	1.21	15%	6th	This gm has moved to 5:10 ET to account for weather concerns; Olson was solid in his return from the IL w/1 R in 4.3 IP on 89 pitches, tough spot v. TBR but he’s in my lineups
10	Eric Lauer 라우어	TOR at CHW	W	x	x	51	2.65	1.02	18%	19th	Quietly dealing and the Jays being hot gives him plenty of W potential here
11	Bailey Falter	PIT at KCR		x	x	92	3.69	1.18	6%	24th	Modest upside, but not the worst spot to stream him and as you’ll soon see, a lot of the compelling streamer types have MUCH tougher matchups
12	Kumar Rocker	TEX at LAA		x	x	45	5.80	1.49	13%	19th	Rug-pull always looms overhead, but he’s running well (2.55/1.13/15% in L4) so let’s take a shot & hope he keeps it in the park v. this HR-hitting tm
13	Cade Horton	CHC at MIN			x	52	4.15	1.38	10%	23rd	Keeps us coming back w/gems like his last one (7 scoreless), but Game Score is an easy shorthand reminder of his volatility: 41-66-32-16-70 (sub-50 is terrible; 60+ is v. good)
14	Mitch Spence	ATH v ATL			x	68	4.06	1.31	13%	17th	Not exactly targeting SPs v. ATL, but certainly not running from competent streamers v. them either
15	Justin Verlander	SFG v PHI			x	70	4.84	1.44	11%	9th
16	Tyler Glasnow	LAD at MIL			W	18	4.50	1.28	16%	21st	He made it 4.3 IP on 78 pitches in his last rehab so if they give him 80-85 pitches, he could make it 5… it’s risky, but I could see a win chase
17	Slade Cecconi	CLE at HOU				48	3.56	1.31	15%	16th	From Slade to Sugano, all but Pfaadt are facing Top 10 tms in the L30 days and most are there season-long, too, which is tough bc this group has some streaming appeal on talent but the matchups leave me cold
18	Zack Littell	TBR at DET				110	3.50	1.07	14%	7th
19	Jose Quintana	MIL v LAD				65	3.44	1.39	6%	4th
20	David Festa	MIN v CHC				42	5.48	1.36	16%	3rd
21	Logan Evans	SEA at NYY				45	2.96	1.25	11%	4th
22	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI at SDP				91	5.42	1.38	14%	24th	Best matchup of this “sometimes intriguing” group and yet I have no interest in running him
23	Tomoyuki Sugano	BAL v NYM				93	4.44	1.31	10%	5th
24	Sandy Alcantara	MIA at CIN				86	7.01	1.44	8%	14th	I know MIA is rolling and s, but Sandy still scares me start-to-start especially for such limited upside
25	Cam Schlittler	NYY v SEA				#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	11th	Interesting prospect making his MLB debut, but wanna see one before getting him in any lineups
26	Bryce Elder	ATL at ATH				73	5.92	1.52	11%	10th
27	Adrian Houser	CHW v TOR				50	1.60	1.11	11%	13th
28	Andre Pallante	STL v WSN				94	4.10	1.28	8%	22nd
29	Kyle Hendricks	LAA v TEX				92	4.68	1.27	10%	26th
30	Antonio Senzatela	COL at BOS				86	6.57	1.90	3%	15th

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues |

KEY –
x-Standard Recommendation
W: Wins Chase meaning we accept some ratio risk for a chance to salvage a dub