Starting Pitcher Chart – July 8th, 2025

July 8, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

JUMP TO 2-START CHART

Starter Notes July 8, 2025

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	2025 wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Hunter Brown	HOU v CLE	x	x	x	104	1.82	0.90	25%	26th	Pushed back from original Monday schedule; has become a must-watch every time out
2	Logan Gilbert	SEA at NYY	x	x	x	50	3.40	0.95	31%	4th
3	Nathan Eovaldi	TEX at LAA	x	x	x	77	1.75	0.85	22%	20th
4	Robbie Ray	SFG v PHI	x	x	x	107	2.68	1.09	18%	8th
5	Nick Pivetta	SDP v ARI	x	x	x	97	3.25	1.04	22%	1st	On track for a career year and a W here would tie his career-high (2022, 2023); shoutout to his proponents making the case this winter as I was a slow convert, but a convert nonetheless!
6	Merrill Kelly	ARI at SDP	x	x	x	104	3.55	1.09	18%	22nd	Has allowed more than 4 ER just 1x this yr & has 70 Ks in his last 60 IP
7	Chris Bassitt	TOR at CHW	x	x	x	100	4.32	1.39	17%	30th	Recovered from Fenway meltdown w/a W v. NYY
8	Ryan Pepiot	TBR at DET	x	x	x	102	3.34	1.15	16%	9th	I can’t really see sitting him even in a tough matchup
9	Shota Imanaga	CHC at MIN	x	x	x	55	2.78	1.00	12%	16th
10	Seth Lugo	KCR v PIT	x	x	x	95	2.65	1.09	14%	29th
11	Jacob Misiorowski	MIL v LAD	x	x	x	19	3.20	0.92	15%	2nd	It’s the Dodgers and I could see MIL being tight w/his IP ahead of the AS break, but I’m running him
12	Nick Martinez	CIN v MIA	x	x	x	100	4.20	1.17	12%	17th	Easy spot with MIA coming to visit
13	Mitch Keller	PIT at KCR	x	x	x	106	3.64	1.19	13%	28th	I was slow to adjust on Keller but now we’re looking at a 3.27 ERA/1.13 WHIP/14% K-BB in his L16 with only a pair of true duds
14	Clayton Kershaw	LAD at MIL	x	x	x	44	3.43	1.25	10%	10th	Dub machine going having won 4 in a row before 1-bad IP v. CHW cost him the streak
15	Clay Holmes	NYM at BAL	x	x	x	93	2.99	1.24	9%	13th	8 BB to 3 K in his last 2, but just 3 ER thanks in large part to just 6 H; he’s nasty, but still lives on the wire a bit bc of the modest bat-missing
16	Brayan Bello	BOS v COL	x	x	x	76	3.42	1.38	7%	27th	No more than 3 ER in his any of his L8, good for a 3.00 ERA/1.16 WHIP though still just a modest 19% K; easy start here, but still a team streamer
17	Jack Flaherty	DET v TBR	W	x	x	89	4.84	1.24	19%	6th	Blazing hot Rays give me some pause, but he does have 16 Ks and just 1 HR in his L11 IP (6 ER)
18	Will Warren	NYY v SEA		x	x	84	5.02	1.42	18%	12th	Went w/the hot hand and got burnt at TOR; SEA is easier, but not easy
19	José Soriano	LAA v TEX		x	x	104	3.72	1.42	10%	25th	Lack of whiffs makes him volatile, but elite HR suppression w/great raw stuff keeps him appealing
20	Jeffrey Springs	ATH v ATL		x	x	97	4.07	1.23	10%	21st	3 QS and a 5 IP/2 ER outing in his L4 at home paired w/hobble ATL tm raise my interest
21	Eury Pérez	MIA at CIN		x	x	22	4.50	1.18	11%	7th	Excellent start last time out w/1 BB & I’d love to see another low-BB gm after 10 in his F4; sporadic control is common w/TJ returns
22	Taijuan Walker	PHI at SFG		W	W	54	3.64	1.33	10%	21st	I don’t think he really needs to be built up so he can go 5+ if he’s throwing well, but it’s a pure W chase
23	Didier Fuentes	ATL at ATH			x	12	9.00	1.83	10%	11th	110 STF+ in his limited MLB work and a 29% K in his MiLB work give him some appeal.. HR issues at ATH is terrifying, though
24	Joey Cantillo	CLE at HOU			x	31	3.41	1.39	17%	3rd	Long-time Cantillo fan (long-time… he’s 25, lol), but I’m really scared of HOU and only taking it on in weeklies to get the 2-step (at CHW this wknd)
25	Jake Irvin	WSN at STL			x	105	4.71	1.29	9%	10th	Dud is always looming w/him: 3 already this yr + 3 other “soft-duds” (<=5 IP, 3+ ER); 4-start hot streaks in between his 3 duds, can this be start-2 of another run?
26	Simeon Woods Richardson	MIN v CHC				63	4.41	1.34	11%	3rd	Fantastic 4-start run (1.71 ERA/0.76 WHIP) clouded by a meager 11% K-BB and CHC really scares me, so I’m passing
27	Brandon Young	BAL v NYM				16	7.02	1.98	5%	5th
28	Aaron Civale	CHW v TOR				43	4.60	1.49	8%	15th
29	Andre Pallante	STL v WSN				94	4.10	1.28	8%	23rd
30	Kyle Freeland	COL at BOS				83	5.49	1.58	11%	2nd

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues |

KEY –
x-Standard Recommendation
W: Wins Chase meaning we accept some ratio risk for a chance to salvage a dub

2-START CHART

2-Start Chart for the Week of July 7th

RANK	PITCHER	TYPE	MATCHUPS	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	Pitch+
1	Jacob deGrom	1	at LAA/at HOU	95.1	2.08	0.88	20%	110
2	Cristopher Sánchez	1	at SFG/at SDP	93.2	2.79	1.16	19%	96
3	Nick Pivetta	1	ARI/PHI	91	3.36	1.03	21%	114
4	Nathan Eovaldi	1	at LAA/at HOU	72.1	1.87	0.87	22%	106
5	Shota Imanaga	1	at MIN/at NYY	49.2	2.54	1.03	11%	112
6	Ryan Pepiot	2	at DET/at BOS	96.1	3.36	1.15	16%	102
7	Merrill Kelly 켈리	2	at SDP/at LAA	98	3.49	1.07	19%	104
8	Brady Singer	2	MIA/COL	85.2	4.31	1.33	11%	100
9	José Berríos	2	at CHW/at ATH	102	3.26	1.21	13%	100
10	Jack Flaherty	3	TBR/SEA	84.1	4.80	1.23	18%	100
11	Will Warren	3	SEA/CHC	80.1	4.37	1.32	20%	101
12	Yusei Kikuchi	3	TEX/ARI	96.2	2.79	1.37	13%	104
13	Nick Martinez	3	MIA/COL	94	4.12	1.16	13%	109
14	Shane Baz	3	at DET/at BOS	90.2	4.37	1.26	13%	98
15	Tanner Bibee	4	at HOU/at CHW	94.2	3.80	1.18	14%	96
16	Joey Cantillo	4	at HOU/at CHW	28.1	3.81	1.38	18%	99
17	Janson Junk	4	at CIN/at BAL	31.1	3.73	1.15	19%	119
18	Richard Fitts	4	COL/TBR	25	4.68	1.28	12%	101
19	Simeon Woods Richardson	4	CHC/PIT	58.1	4.63	1.39	12%	97
20	Landen Roupp	4	PHI/LAD	81.1	3.43	1.44	11%	106
21	Jeffrey Springs	4	ATL/TOR	92	4.30	1.24	11%	97
22	Noah Cameron	4	PIT/NYM	51.2	2.79	1.01	10%	101
23	Zac Gallen	4	at SDP/at LAA	97	5.75	1.41	11%	104
24	José Soriano	4	TEX/ARI	97	3.99	1.47	9%	110
25	Andrew Heaney	4	at KCR/at MIN	86.1	4.48	1.25	9%	101
26	Eury Pérez	4	at CIN/at BAL	16	6.19	1.50	6%	91
27	Jake Irvin	4	at STL/at MIL	99	4.73	1.30	10%	106
28	Yu Darvish	5	ARI/PHI	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A
29	Brandon Young	5	NYM/MIA	12.2	7.11	1.97	3%	105
30	Aaron Civale	5	TOR/CLE	38	4.74	1.50	8%	86
31	Didier Fuentes	5	at ATH/at STL	8.1	10.80	1.80	8%	101
32	Sean Burke	6	TOR/CLE	81	4.22	1.42	9%	101
33	Andre Pallante	6	WAS/ATL	87.1	4.43	1.35	8%	103
34	Kyle Freeland	6	at BOS/at CIN	77.2	5.56	1.60	12%	103
35	Austin Gomber	6	at BOS/at CIN	14.2	6.14	1.43	3%	101