Starting Pitcher Chart – July 3rd, 2026

- Daily SP Chart archive
- 2-Start podcast episode
- SP Rankings (last update: 6/5 | next: mid-July)
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.
- Griffin catches the good side of facing PIT as they’re a top offense vR but middling or worse vL. He’s coming off a brilliant June, too: 1.16 ERA/.80 WHIP/24% K-BB in 31.3 IP.
- Detmers and Webb both draw Top 10 offense – and Webb is headed to Coors – but I still got them in the Top 5 because of their strong seasons and especially strong recent work. Last 30 Days – RD: 2.27 ERA/.82 WHIP/18% K-BB | LW: .71 ERA/.61 WHIP/19% K-BB
- After going 6+ IP in eight straight coming into June, Gav Williams didn’t reach 6 IP in any of his five June starts against a tough slate of teams (NYY 2x, MIL, CHW, and SEA). He did finish the month w/back-to-back 5 IP/2 ER outings, including one against the same CHW team he faces today so despite the June Swoon, I can’t see benching him anywhere.
- Harrison draws the tough side of ARI but it only moves him down a couple spots as he’s obviously been way too good to skip any starts.
- Castillo rebounded from a tough Follow appearance (4 IP/4 ER) with a gem against the hobbled Guardians: 6 scoreless with 4 Ks, 1 BB. After a rough start that included a pair of 7 ER Duds in April, Castillo has been a solid mid-rotation arm since even with the uncertain role: 4.12 ERA/1.14 WHIP/16% K-BB in 48.3 IP and has just a 3.38 ERA in the L30 days.
- We saw 12.7 scoreless IP out of Cole to start his season, but then just a 6.12 ERA/1.48 WHIP combo in June with 7 HRs allowed and less than a strikeout-per-inning (22 in 25 IP) holding him back. MIN’s offense is sneaky great vR, sitting 6th on the year in wOBA and 1st over the L30 days. I don’t think he’s a must-start and I wouldn’t be targeting him in any sort of DFS game.
- I slept on Bennett a bit but now 6 starts in, he’s looking quite good, especially of late. He only had 4 Ks in his first two starts (10.3 IP), but he’s up to 21 in his last 22.7 IP that included 6 shutout innings and 9 Ks in Coors!
- Arrighetti had a devastating June (9.00 ERA in 25 IP), getting cooked in 4 of 5 starts despite reaching 6 IP in three of ’em and still netting 32 Ks. Guys like this can be so frustrating because the second you move off them, they drop 7 scoreless with 10 Ks.
—
| Rk | PITCHER | Team | Opponent | T | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K% | K-BB | OPP K% | opp wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani | LAD | v. SDP | R | x | x | x | 79.2 | 1.58 | 0.90 | 27% | 20% | 23% | 30 |
| 2 | Dylan Cease | TOR | at SEA | R | x | x | x | 83.1 | 3.02 | 1.24 | 37% | 25% | 23% | 12 |
| 3 | Foster Griffin | WSN | v. PIT | L | x | x | x | 98.1 | 2.93 | 1.04 | 25% | 18% | 27% | 21 |
| 4 | Reid Detmers | LAA | v. BOS | L | x | x | x | 99.2 | 3.88 | 1.06 | 28% | 20% | 21% | 6 |
| 5 | Logan Webb | SFG | at COL | R | x | x | x | 90.1 | 3.09 | 1.06 | 21% | 15% | 22% | 4 |
| 6 | Kyle Harrison | MIL | at ARI | L | x | x | x | 77 | 2.57 | 1.04 | 31% | 25% | 16% | 3 |
| 7 | Gavin Williams | CLE | v. CHW | R | x | x | x | 96.2 | 3.82 | 1.14 | 29% | 21% | 24% | 21 |
| 8 | Luis Castillo | SEA | v. TOR | R | x | x | x | 76.2 | 4.93 | 1.36 | 22% | 14% | 19% | 16 |
| 9 | Christian Scott | NYM | at ATL | R | x | x | 45 | 3.20 | 1.33 | 27% | 16% | 21% | 13 | |
| 10 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | v. MIN | R | x | x | 37.2 | 4.06 | 1.22 | 21% | 15% | 22% | 6 | |
| 11 | Anthony Kay | CHW | at CLE | L | x | x | 76.1 | 4.24 | 1.39 | 18% | 10% | 23% | 28 | |
| 12 | Jake Bennett | BOS | at LAA | L | x | x | 33 | 3.27 | 1.06 | 19% | 14% | 25% | 11 | |
| 13 | Trevor Rogers | BAL | at CIN | L | x | x | 79.1 | 4.99 | 1.31 | 18% | 11% | 25% | 4 | |
| 14 | Jack Perkins | ATH | v. MIA | R | x | x | 51 | 6.00 | 1.33 | 27% | 20% | 21% | 22 | |
| 15 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU | v. TBR | R | x | 72 | 4.00 | 1.29 | 24% | 12% | 20% | 7 | ||
| 16 | Nick Martinez | TBR | at HOU | R | x | 94.2 | 2.66 | 1.15 | 15% | 11% | 22% | 14 | ||
| 17 | Michael King | SDP | at LAD | R | x | 92 | 3.33 | 1.16 | 21% | 11% | 21% | 1 | ||
| 18 | Brady Singer | CIN | v. BAL | R | x | 73 | 4.81 | 1.51 | 18% | 10% | 24% | 10 | ||
| 19 | Ryan Feltner | COL | v. SFG | R | x | 47 | 4.79 | 1.30 | 18% | 8% | 20% | 15 | ||
| 20 | Grant Holmes | ATL | v. NYM | R | x | 77.1 | 3.96 | 1.36 | 21% | 10% | 22% | 29 | ||
| 21 | David Peterson | CHC | v. STL | L | 73.2 | 5.86 | 1.59 | 19% | 10% | 17% | 14 | |||
| 22 | Andre Pallante | STL | at CHC | R | 89.1 | 3.83 | 1.23 | 18% | 11% | 21% | 9 | |||
| 23 | Mitch Keller | PIT | at WSN | R | 88.1 | 4.89 | 1.32 | 18% | 10% | 21% | 17 | |||
| 24 | Tyler Phillips | MIA | at ATH | R | 58.1 | 3.09 | 1.37 | 19% | 8% | 21% | 8 | |||
| 25 | Mike Paredes | MIN | at NYY | R | 25.1 | 4.26 | 1.26 | 12% | 4% | 23% | 3 | |||
| 26 | Jose Cabrera | ARI | v. MIL | R | 10 | 3.60 | 1.20 | 17% | 12% | 21% | 5 |
Intro
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
Color Coding:
- Green – Good Matchup (so lower OPS output by the pitcher’s opponent)
- Yellow – OK
- Red – Bad
Which 2 of these starts? I lean Shota and Bradish (altho i worry a bit that Bradish is my only Sunday option)….Castillo is intriguing….
Shota STL
Bradish (CIN/sun)
Zebby @NYY
Castillo (TOR)
Sandy @ATH