Starting Pitcher Chart – July 3rd, 2026

James A. Pittman-Imagn Images

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

  • Griffin catches the good side of facing PIT as they’re a top offense vR but middling or worse vL. He’s coming off a brilliant June, too: 1.16 ERA/.80 WHIP/24% K-BB in 31.3 IP.
  • Detmers and Webb both draw Top 10 offense – and Webb is headed to Coors – but I still got them in the Top 5 because of their strong seasons and especially strong recent work. Last 30 Days – RD: 2.27 ERA/.82 WHIP/18% K-BB | LW: .71 ERA/.61 WHIP/19% K-BB
  • After going 6+ IP in eight straight coming into June, Gav Williams didn’t reach 6 IP in any of his five June starts against a tough slate of teams (NYY 2x, MIL, CHW, and SEA). He did finish the month w/back-to-back 5 IP/2 ER outings, including one against the same CHW team he faces today so despite the June Swoon, I can’t see benching him anywhere.
  • Harrison draws the tough side of ARI but it only moves him down a couple spots as he’s obviously been way too good to skip any starts.
  • Castillo rebounded from a tough Follow appearance (4 IP/4 ER) with a gem against the hobbled Guardians: 6 scoreless with 4 Ks, 1 BB. After a rough start that included a pair of 7 ER Duds in April, Castillo has been a solid mid-rotation arm since even with the uncertain role: 4.12 ERA/1.14 WHIP/16% K-BB in 48.3 IP and has just a 3.38 ERA in the L30 days.
  • We saw 12.7 scoreless IP out of Cole to start his season, but then just a 6.12 ERA/1.48 WHIP combo in June with 7 HRs allowed and less than a strikeout-per-inning (22 in 25 IP) holding him back. MIN’s offense is sneaky great vR, sitting 6th on the year in wOBA and 1st over the L30 days. I don’t think he’s a must-start and I wouldn’t be targeting him in any sort of DFS game.
  • I slept on Bennett a bit but now 6 starts in, he’s looking quite good, especially of late. He only had 4 Ks in his first two starts (10.3 IP), but he’s up to 21 in his last 22.7 IP that included 6 shutout innings and 9 Ks in Coors!
  • Arrighetti had a devastating June (9.00 ERA in 25 IP), getting cooked in 4 of 5 starts despite reaching 6 IP in three of ’em and still netting 32 Ks. Guys like this can be so frustrating because the second you move off them, they drop 7 scoreless with 10 Ks.

Starting Pitcher Chart July 3rd
Rk PITCHER Team Opponent T 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K% K-BB OPP K% opp wOBA RK
1 Shohei Ohtani LAD v. SDP R x x x 79.2 1.58 0.90 27% 20% 23% 30
2 Dylan Cease TOR at SEA R x x x 83.1 3.02 1.24 37% 25% 23% 12
3 Foster Griffin WSN v. PIT L x x x 98.1 2.93 1.04 25% 18% 27% 21
4 Reid Detmers LAA v. BOS L x x x 99.2 3.88 1.06 28% 20% 21% 6
5 Logan Webb SFG at COL R x x x 90.1 3.09 1.06 21% 15% 22% 4
6 Kyle Harrison MIL at ARI L x x x 77 2.57 1.04 31% 25% 16% 3
7 Gavin Williams CLE v. CHW R x x x 96.2 3.82 1.14 29% 21% 24% 21
8 Luis Castillo SEA v. TOR R x x x 76.2 4.93 1.36 22% 14% 19% 16
9 Christian Scott NYM at ATL R x x 45 3.20 1.33 27% 16% 21% 13
10 Gerrit Cole NYY v. MIN R x x 37.2 4.06 1.22 21% 15% 22% 6
11 Anthony Kay CHW at CLE L x x 76.1 4.24 1.39 18% 10% 23% 28
12 Jake Bennett BOS at LAA L x x 33 3.27 1.06 19% 14% 25% 11
13 Trevor Rogers BAL at CIN L x x 79.1 4.99 1.31 18% 11% 25% 4
14 Jack Perkins ATH v. MIA R x x 51 6.00 1.33 27% 20% 21% 22
15 Spencer Arrighetti HOU v. TBR R x 72 4.00 1.29 24% 12% 20% 7
16 Nick Martinez TBR at HOU R x 94.2 2.66 1.15 15% 11% 22% 14
17 Michael King SDP at LAD R x 92 3.33 1.16 21% 11% 21% 1
18 Brady Singer CIN v. BAL R x 73 4.81 1.51 18% 10% 24% 10
19 Ryan Feltner COL v. SFG R x 47 4.79 1.30 18% 8% 20% 15
20 Grant Holmes ATL v. NYM R x 77.1 3.96 1.36 21% 10% 22% 29
21 David Peterson CHC v. STL L 73.2 5.86 1.59 19% 10% 17% 14
22 Andre Pallante STL at CHC R 89.1 3.83 1.23 18% 11% 21% 9
23 Mitch Keller PIT at WSN R 88.1 4.89 1.32 18% 10% 21% 17
24 Tyler Phillips MIA at ATH R 58.1 3.09 1.37 19% 8% 21% 8
25 Mike Paredes MIN at NYY R 25.1 4.26 1.26 12% 4% 23% 3
26 Jose Cabrera ARI v. MIL R 10 3.60 1.20 17% 12% 21% 5
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

Intro

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

Color Coding:

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  • Green – Good Matchup (so lower OPS output by the pitcher’s opponent)
  • Yellow – OK
  • Red – Bad





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

2 Comments
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alang3131982Member since 2016
7 hours ago

Which 2 of these starts? I lean Shota and Bradish (altho i worry a bit that Bradish is my only Sunday option)….Castillo is intriguing….

Shota STL
Bradish (CIN/sun)
Zebby @NYY
Castillo (TOR)
Sandy @ATH