Starting Pitcher Chart – July 3rd, 2024

Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

Starter Notes July 3, 2024
1 Zack Wheeler PHI at CHC x x x 105 2.73 0.98 19% 21st/17th
2 Chris Sale ATL v SFG x x x 93 2.79 0.92 28% 3rd/7th Tough matchups for Sale & Gilby, but it’s not like we’re sitting them anywhere
3 Logan Gilbert SEA v BAL x x x 112 2.72 0.88 19% 1st/3rd
4 Jared Jones PIT v STL x x x 86 3.66 1.10 19% 12th/11th Skipped last wk just as part of his mgmt and I like that they did after a gem instead of a dud so he doesn’t marinate on the negative for a week+
5 Shota Imanaga CHC v PHI x x x 85 3.07 1.11 20% 17th/5th Realize inertia probably helped him such a high rank in the July update; should be closer to Jones (who I’d probably slot 3-5 higher, too)
6 Ryan Pepiot TBR at KCR x x x 71 4.40 1.09 20% 20th/13th
7 Ronel Blanco HOU at TOR x x x 90 2.49 1.01 13% 17th/15th
8 Gavin Stone LAD v ARI x x x 89 2.73 1.12 13% 8th/14th
9 Brayan Bello BOS at MIA x x x 71 5.55 1.47 11% 30th/29th If you can’t find the confidence to run him in MIA, it’s probably time to move on
10 David Festa MIN v DET x x x 5 9.00 1.60 4% 28th/26th Not a “must-start” in all formats, but certainly startable if you’re streaming
11 Michael Wacha KCR v TBR x x x 78 3.91 1.25 13% 18th/24th Just 11 ER in 7 starts since the 7 ER dud v. TEX on May 4th
12 Christian Scott NYM at WSN x x x 27 3.90 1.08 17% 24th/28th Spent a month in AAA as part of his IP mgmt bc while he was still pitching, he avg’d just over 4 IP/start in his 4 outings… allowing just 1 ER in all of ’em
13 Gavin Williams CLE v CHW x x x #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 25th/30th First start of the season, but the cushiest landing spot possible
14 Carlos Rodón NYY v CIN x x 93 4.42 1.26 16% 15th/25th CIN isn’t as scary as HOU, but Rodón is also in worse form than Kikuchi lately, so add it all up…
15 Yusei Kikuchi TOR v HOU x x 88 4.18 1.31 19% 10th/7th …and I have some nerves w/both, but I’m *mostly* starting them
16 Erick Fedde CHW at CLE x x 100 3.23 1.14 16% 9th/12th CLE’s offense doesn’t mess around and Fedde does have a sharp home (1.64 ERA)/road (4.47) split so I can see some sits
17 Joey Estes OAK v LAA x x 46 5.24 1.21 14% 13th/18th
18 Jon Gray TEX v SDP x 76 3.77 1.28 15% 3rd/2nd 2 mega duds in his L3, both v. good tms (NYM/BAL), but then his 6 IP/0 ER in between the 2 was also v. a good tm (KCR)… holding, but not necessarily starting
19 Jordan Hicks SFG at ATL x 85 3.36 1.28 12% 26th/16th
20 Mitchell Parker WSN v NYM x 78 3.32 1.12 14% 2nd/4th The Mets are just eating EVERYONE’s lunch of late so while Parker just continues to impress, there are plenty of reasonable sits here
21 Dean Kremer BAL at SEA x 50 4.32 1.12 15% 19th/23rd
22 Davis Daniel LAA at OAK x 8 0.00 0.50 31% 27th/27th Coming off 8 scoreless v. DET and now gets OAK… what a chance to start REALLY hot!
23 Miles Mikolas STL at PIT x 94 5.32 1.25 13% 24th/28th Had found a groove (3.17 ERA in 8 starts) before CIN plastered him for 9 ER
24 Andrew Abbott CIN at NYY 89 3.41 1.20 11% 11th/1st
25 Trevor Rogers MIA v BOS 81 4.87 1.56 8% 6th/9th
26 Colin Rea MIL at COL 87 3.61 1.23 9% 18th/14th
27 Keider Montero DET at MIN 8 9.35 1.62 18% 6th/10th
28 Dakota Hudson COL v MIL 81 5.84 1.62 0% 14th/5th
29 Adam Mazur SDP at TEX 22 7.25 1.84 -6% 29th/22nd
30 TBD ARI at LAD #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 7th/4th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues


The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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