Starting Pitcher Chart – July 31st
by Paul Sporer
July 31, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Monday, July 31st Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | MIL | at | WSN | x | x | x | 127.1 | 3.46 | 1.04 | 17% | 18th | Just 2 ER in his L3 starts (20 IP, 29 Ks) |
| 2 | Tyler Glasnow | TBR | at | NYY | x | x | x | 61.2 | 3.36 | 1.12 | 27% | 22nd | Averaging over 6 IP/start in his 5 July outings: 2.30 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 30% K-BB |
| 3 | Nick Pivetta | BOS | at | SEA | x | x | x | 81 | 4.11 | 1.17 | 19% | 10th | Really impressive v. ATL and could get a pair of bulk outings this wk |
| 4 | Andrew Abbott | CIN | at | CHC | x | x | x | 61.2 | 1.90 | 0.96 | 20% | 18th | After that 6 ER dud at MIL, he’s reeled off an 0.90 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 18% K-BB in his L20 IP |
| 5 | George Kirby | SEA | BOS | x | x | x | 123.2 | 3.49 | 1.08 | 20% | 4th | Sometimes ya get barreled up living in the zone like that, but he doesn’t leave the lineup | |
| 6 | Alex Cobb | SFG | ARI | x | x | x | 106 | 2.97 | 1.35 | 16% | 15th | Has a 2.86 ERA in his L8 w/dodgeable bombs at CIN & at COL | |
| 7 | Taijuan Walker | PHI | at | MIA | x | x | x | 113 | 4.06 | 1.27 | 11% | 24th | Great matchup to stay hot |
| 8 | Chris Bassitt | TOR | BAL | x | x | x | 126.2 | 3.91 | 1.22 | 14% | 27th | The HRs (+.5 to 1.4 this yr) make him more volatile start-to-start, but he’s still hitting his marks w/those ratios | |
| 9 | Marcus Stroman | CHC | CIN | x | x | 125.2 | 3.51 | 1.20 | 12% | 17th | We knew the regression was coming on that .235 BABIP and it’s at .375 over his L6 | ||
| 10 | J.P. France | HOU | CLE | x | x | 84.2 | 2.87 | 1.22 | 10% | 11th | That 4.85 SIERA is staring us in the face and I get it w/the 10% K-BB, but I can’t get him out of the lineup right now | ||
| 11 | Ryne Nelson | ARI | at | SFG | x | x | 112.1 | 4.97 | 1.41 | 9% | 29th | Has a crazy home/road split where he loves being on the road: 2.67 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 14% K-BB | |
| 12 | Charlie Morton | ATL | LAA | x | 113.1 | 3.57 | 1.42 | 14% | 13th | If you’re win-chasing, I get it, but otherwise he’s far from a must start here | |||
| 13 | Domingo Germán | NYY | TBR | x | 103.2 | 4.77 | 1.09 | 18% | 23rd | A minor power outage w/the TBR lineup makes this playable if you’re playing catch up | |||
| 14 | Kyle Gibson | BAL | at | TOR | x | 127 | 4.68 | 1.32 | 12% | 12th | B2B QS but that usually just means a dud is lurking around the corner… you know the risks | ||
| 15 | Jake Irvin | WSN | MIL | x | 74.1 | 4.96 | 1.43 | 9% | 19th | I know Jirvin’s been swervin a bit lately for deep lgs (4.36 ERA, 1.25, 14% K-BB WHIP in 43 IP), but I’d be careful here | |||
| 16 | Edward Cabrera | MIA | PHI | x | 74 | 4.74 | 1.42 | 14% | 20th | Just can’t be trusted start-to-start so you’re always gambling, regardless of the matchup | |||
| 17 | Griffin Canning | LAA | at | ATL | 84.2 | 4.46 | 1.24 | 19% | 3rd | Great skills over his L7 (4.46 ERA/1.25 WHIP) w/a 25% K-BB; duds v. ARI & at LAD spoil the ERA | |||
| 18 | Seth Lugo | SDP | at | COL | 82 | 3.62 | 1.20 | 19% | 21st | We’re dodging the classic Coors bomb, it’s just not worth the risk | |||
| 19 | Noah Syndergaard | CLE | at | HOU | 55.1 | 7.16 | 1.45 | 12% | 14th | I’m rooting for him! | |||
| 20 | Austin Gomber | COL | SDP | 108 | 5.83 | 1.44 | 9% | 15th | #NeverGomber… yeah, I saw the last game! |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Cobb at home this year: 1.09 ERA (4.63 ERA away)
Cobb at night games this year: 1.66 ERA (5.05 ERA during day games)
All systems go for a gem! Only thing he’s missing is that sick uniform they do on Tuesdays that you have as the article pic above.
Bad news is that Cobb just got pushed to Tuesday but the good news is now we will have the Holy Cobb Trinity tomorrow: Home + Night + City Connect Jersey.
Perfect game very likely.