Starting Pitcher Chart – July 30th, 2024
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- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the July SP Rankings (NEWish!)
I’ll have a little rundown of all the SPs moved at the deadline tomorrow and see if there’s anybody who will benefit from vacated spots, too.
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RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Corbin Burnes | BAL v TOR | x | x | x | 132 | 2.45 | 1.04 | 17% | 18th/15th | Lighter K load from ’23 has carried over but everything is so good that he remains an unquestioned ace |
2 | Luis Castillo | SEA at BOS | x | x | x | 130 | 3.38 | 1.16 | 17% | 1st/3rd | K drop and underwhelming 8-10 rec. haven’t detracted too much from his season so it’s not like a tough matchup takes him out of the lineup |
3 | Gerrit Cole | NYY at PHI | x | x | x | 35 | 5.40 | 1.46 | 17% | 22nd/9th | Mets have put up 12 of his 21 ER so far this yr but there’s no reason for concern and he obviously never leaves the lineup |
4 | Aaron Nola | PHI v NYY | x | x | x | 130 | 3.44 | 1.06 | 18% | 3rd/1st | The occasional hiccup and even more occasional mega dud, but otherwise just plugs along as a bankable ace |
5 | Hunter Brown | HOU v PIT | x | x | x | 110 | 4.00 | 1.37 | 16% | 24th/29th | Hit just 1x in his L14 app. (including a 5 IP outing at DET) – 2.39 ERA/1.10 WHIP/19% K-BB in 83 IP |
6 | Justin Steele | CHC at CIN | x | x | x | 96 | 3.08 | 1.06 | 17% | 27th/19th | Hadn’t allowed >3 ER for 9 straight prior to tough start v. ARI; bounced back w/solid 2 ER outing v. MIL |
7 | Tyler Glasnow | LAD at SDP | x | x | x | 114 | 3.47 | 0.96 | 26% | 19th/5th | 4 BB dampened IL return though you still got 5 IP/2 ER |
8 | Robbie Ray | SFG v OAK | x | x | x | 5 | 1.80 | 0.40 | 32% | 3rd/13th | OAK/at WSN/DET sets up the chance for Ray to get off to an amazing start off the IL after his debut gem at LAD |
9 | Michael Wacha | KCR at CHW | x | x | x | 101 | 3.65 | 1.22 | 14% | 30th/30th | Lugo is understandably nabbing the headlines, but Wacha has been a fantastic get for the Royals |
10 | Max Scherzer | TEX at STL | x | x | x | 35 | 3.57 | 1.08 | 18% | 9th/12th | Not fully Max but firmly in the lineup for most league types |
11 | Chris Bassitt | TOR at BAL | x | x | 119 | 3.78 | 1.41 | 13% | 12th/4th | Rough month has seen him allow at least 3 ER in all 4 starts (6.23 ERA) plus the tough matchup make him benchable in some spots | |
12 | David Festa | MIN at NYM | x | x | 14 | 8.16 | 1.60 | 18% | 14th/10th | Solid return to the majors (4.3 IP/1 ER/7 Ks) reignites the interest in Festa | |
13 | Gavin Williams | CLE at DET | x | x | 24 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 12% | 13th/22nd | Stabiized after 5 ER in season debut but he still has a 1.35 WHIP in the subsequent 4 starts | |
14 | Sean Manaea | NYM v MIN | x | x | 106 | 3.74 | 1.25 | 13% | 19th/3rd | 5 HR in his L3 after just 7 in his previous 17… would like to see a HR-free outing here | |
15 | Jeffrey Springs | TBR v MIA | x | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 12th/30th | Season debut off TJ surgery back in April of 2023 so I totally get wanting to see a start, but I’m willing to start him | |
16 | Matt Waldron | SDP v LAD | x | x | 118 | 3.64 | 1.15 | 14% | 4th/2nd | Tough matchup, but Waldron is running a 2.76 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 16% K-BB in his L14 | |
17 | Lance Lynn | STL v TEX | x | x | 101 | 4.17 | 1.39 | 12% | 20th/24th | He’s been markedly better at home this year and TEX hasn’t been terribly threatening this year | |
18 | Cal Quantrill | COL at LAA | x | 114 | 4.09 | 1.34 | 9% | 27th/26th | He actually has a better home ERA (3.95 v. 4.24 road), but his 1.29 WHIP and 11% K-BB on the road are much better than his #s (1.39, 6%) | ||
19 | Griffin Canning | LAA v COL | x | 110 | 5.04 | 1.42 | 8% | 6th/14th | I’m such a sucker for him… I don’t understand his hold over me!! It’s a great matchup, but that doesn’t always matter – 6.23 ERA v. sub-.500 tms | ||
20 | JP Sears | OAK at SFG | x | 112 | 4.81 | 1.29 | 11% | 6th/6th | 1.4 HR9 makes him really volatile and as you can see, this isn’t an easy matchup… could be interested in CHW/at TOR next wk | ||
21 | James Paxton | BOS v SEA | x | 89 | 4.43 | 1.46 | 4% | 14th/25th | It’s been rough but I’m open to take a shot v. SEA to see if BOS can recapture the magic from last yr | ||
22 | Ryne Nelson | ARI v WSN | x | 98 | 4.85 | 1.41 | 11% | 10th/16th | Even w/4 ER last time out, he still has a 2.97 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and 15% K-BB in July (30 IP) | ||
23 | Frankie Montas | MIL v ATL | x | 93 | 5.01 | 1.44 | 9% | 25th/21st | Just traded to MIL on Monday so not 100% sure he’s going here, but it’s a deep lg only consideration for now regardless | ||
24 | Bryce Elder | ATL at MIL | 39 | 6.35 | 1.64 | 11% | 21st/8th | ||||
25 | Bailey Falter | PIT at HOU | 90 | 4.08 | 1.20 | 9% | 15th/12th | ||||
26 | Jonathan Cannon | CHW v KCR | 63 | 4.43 | 1.35 | 11% | 11th/13th | ||||
27 | Edward Cabrera | MIA at TBR | 38 | 7.04 | 1.62 | 14% | 28th/27th | ||||
28 | Joey Wentz | DET v CLE | 44 | 5.73 | 1.75 | 12% | 18th/10th | ||||
29 | Lyon Richardson | CIN v CHC | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 23rd/20th | ||||
30 | Patrick Corbin | WSN at ARI | 118 | 5.26 | 1.46 | 9% | 8th/5th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
Corbin could be an interesting flyer today. Running a 3.88 ERA and 3.09 FIP with a 22.3 K% and 6.4 BB%. since June 13th. Against Arizona today, with no Christian Walker, he’s worth a look if you’re short on options deeper leagues.
Glad I didn’t actually have to go with that one, yeesh.