Starting Pitcher Chart – July 27th
by Paul Sporer
July 27, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
- Update: Minutes after posting I saw that Lucas Giolito was traded to the Angels. This could spell trouble for my guy Silseth! Obviously he should still start tomorrow, but I’m a lottt less bullish on his fantasy prospects in the immediate future than I was just 10 minutes ago. If we’re being honest, it should be Tyler Anderson getting removed given his struggles this year. Well… maybe not. He has a 3.99 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and 18% K-BB in his last 6 outings and of course he brings gifts and a various assortment of veteran presents. Enjoy the Detroit start with Silseth, but stay tuned to the news on whether or not he remains in the rotation afterwards.
—
Thursday, July 27th Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Steele | CHC | at | STL | x | x | x | 103.2 | 2.95 | 1.11 | 18% | 7th | Traded in 2 pts of K rate to halve his BB rate down to 5% and the results have been absolutely fantastic |
| 2 | Dylan Cease | CHW | CLE | x | x | x | 113.2 | 4.04 | 1.31 | 19% | 10th | Has lowkey gotten himself on track w/a 3.00 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 25% K-BB in 51 IP | |
| 3 | Kodai Senga | NYM | WSN | x | x | x | 99 | 3.27 | 1.26 | 18% | 18th | Walked 3+ in 8 of his first 9 (3.94 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 14% K-BB), just 3x in his last 9 (2.65, 1.02, 22%) | |
| 4 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | at | CHW | x | x | x | 83 | 3.04 | 1.19 | 16% | 27th | Looks dialed in again and isn’t coming out of the lineup; threw 133 IP in MiLB last yr so plenty in the tank |
| 5 | Chase Silseth | LAA | at | DET | x | x | x | 24.1 | 4.44 | 1.48 | 9% | 25th | Big fan of his; ranks near my guy C.Sanchez (mid-70s) & if he keeps the BB in check, he’s at least a team streamer everywhere |
| 6 | Miles Mikolas | STL | CHC | x | x | 126.2 | 4.33 | 1.31 | 11% | 7th | Has 2 yrs at $18.5 mil per so I doubt he’s going anywhere at the deadline; hit up last time but has been fine this yr | ||
| 7 | Patrick Sandoval | LAA | at | DET | x | x | 93 | 4.16 | 1.41 | 9% | 22nd | 4 good starts by ERA in his L5 but just 21 K and 12 BB in those outings (8 K/2 BB in the 7 ER dud) | |
| 8 | Josiah Gray | WSN | at | NYM | x | x | 112.1 | 3.45 | 1.44 | 10% | 9th | We’re nearing a decision pt w/guys like him where the risk might not be worth the upside, espec. those w/low Win probability | |
| 9 | Michael Lorenzen | DET | LAA | x | 100.2 | 3.49 | 1.09 | 13% | 12th | Has had trouble w/.500+ tms (5.87 ERA/1.49 WHIP) as opposed to dominance v. sub-.500 (2.02/0.85) | |||
| 10 | Matt Manning | DET | LAA | x | 36.2 | 3.19 | 1.01 | 9% | 12th | Putting up results w/a 2.52 ERA & 0.88 WHIP since his IL return (25 IP) but just a meager 9% K-BB |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Angels website says Ohtani and Sandoval vs. Tigers on Thursday, Silseth on Friday.
MLB.com has this as well.
I’m going to go out on a limb and guess that Ohtani gets an XXX against the Tigers.
Yeah I’m seeing that now. Silseth is merked. But last night when I checked Rotowire after the deal, they had a note that the Angels would stay on schedule… but maybe that was just in reference to the weather delay, not the trade for Gio