Starting Pitcher Chart – July 17th

July 17, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

I posted my latest set of SP Rankings over the weekend so check them out here if you missed ’em!

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Monday, July 17th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Logan Gilbert	SEA		MIN	x	x	x	108.1	3.66	0.98	20%	13th	Drop in Ks hasn’t altered his status as a must art arm
2	Jesús Luzardo	MIA	at	STL	x	x	x	109.1	3.29	1.13	23%	7th	Absolutely rolling lately w/a 1.14 ERA/0.80 WHIP/29% K-BB in his last 32 IP
3	Shane McClanahan	TBR	at	TEX	x	x	x	96	2.53	1.17	16%	1st	A couple sub-4 IP outings prior to his IL stint, but I’m putting him right back in for the 2-step (v. BAL this wknd)
4	Sonny Gray	MIN	at	SEA	x	x	x	99.2	2.89	1.27	15%	19th	Likely some ERA regression coming as the 4% HR/FB climbs back toward his 12% career mark
5	Logan Webb	SFG	at	CIN	x	x	x	126	3.14	1.11	21%	6th	Tough spot, but he never leaves the lineup
6	Nick Pivetta	BOS	at	OAK	x	x	x	69	4.83	1.29	17%	27th	Getting another chance in the rotation; has been sharp in L4 extended RP outings: 2.87 ERA/0.79 WHIP/34% K-BB
7	Dane Dunning	TEX		TBR		x	x	92	2.84	1.13	9%	14th	I’m just a fan… even w/the modest 9% K-BB, I’m starting him pretty much everywhere
8	Miles Mikolas	STL		MIA		x	x	112.2	4.23	1.30	11%	18th	Slated to start despite tossing 3 no-hit IP on 7/14
9	Griffin Canning	LAA		NYY		x	x	74	4.62	1.20	16%	28th	Judge-less Yankees are definitely a team to stream against, though his HR issues always make him worrisome
10	Matt Manning	DET	at	KCR		x	x	29	3.72	1.03	9%	30th	Riding that .200 BABIP pretty hard and I really only want this matchup, not the full 2-step (v. SD this wknd)
11	Grayson Rodriguez	BAL		LAD			x	45.1	7.35	1.74	17%	5th	Returning to the majors with a brutal 2-step (at TBR this wknd), but he was great in AAA (1.69 ERA/0.99 WHIP in 37 IP)
12	Paul Blackburn	OAK		BOS			x	37	4.86	1.54	17%	7th	4.08 SIERA and 17% K-BB are interesting, but a BOS/HOU 2-step is tough
13	Emmet Sheehan	LAD	at	BAL			x	20.2	4.35	1.06	10%	10th	Far from a certainty even w/a 2-step given that he has at TEX this wknd
14	Drew Smyly	CHC		WSN			x	94	4.31	1.36	11%	12th	ERA up over a run in his L5, going from 3.27 to 4.31
15	Quinn Priester	PIT		CLE			x	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	11th	Prospect arm debuting after a 4.31 ERA/1.36 WHIP/13% K-BB in 88 IP at AAA
16	MacKenzie Gore	WSN	at	CHC			x	89.2	4.42	1.46	18%	14th	Has become a lot less reliable with duds in 3 of his L5
17	Brandon Williamson	CIN		SFG				46.2	5.21	1.35	10%	21st	BB counts in his L5: 0, 0, 4, 1, 1 and has a 4.00 ERA in 4 starts around that 4 BB outing
18	Luis Severino	NYY	at	LAA				42.2	7.38	1.80	9%	2nd	Not terribly trustworthy in even the best of matchups, let alone difficult ones
19	Jordan Lyles	KCR		DET				96.2	6.42	1.29	9%	25th	No thanks
20	Xzavion Curry	CLE	at	PIT				46.1	3.11	1.17	11%	29th	Isn’t really stretch out w/a max of 45 pitches over is L6 outings

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues