Starting Pitcher Chart – July 14th

Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

My buddy Nick Pollack suggested a new format for the piece and I think it looks cool, so I’m trying it out. Let me know what you think!

Edit: early feedback is that it’s a tough read on mobile, good to know

Friday, July 14th Starter Notes
1 Shohei Ohtani LAA HOU R x x x 100.1 3.32 1.10 22% 0.328 11th
Seems crazy to not start the MLB HR leader, but his SP numbers might fill a bigger need for a team
2 Luis Castillo SEA DET R x x x 107.1 2.85 1.04 21% 0.3 25th
Helluva 1st half for my AL Cy Young pick, he’s firmly in the mix!
3 Tyler Glasnow TBR at KCR R x x x 41.2 4.1 1.22 27% 0.28 27th
Hitting a grove w/just 5 ER in his L3 combined with 31 Ks in 16 IP including the gem v. ATL before the break
4 Brayan Bello BOS at CHC R x x x 80 3.04 1.19 14% 0.319 16th
Has gone 7 in 4 of his L5 and fell just an out shy in the other one
5 Corbin Burnes MIL at CIN R x x x 107.1 3.94 1.14 14% 0.36 2nd
While he hasn’t been Cy Young level Burnes, he’s been good enough to still easily start in this tough matchup
6 Charlie Morton ATL CHW R x x x 97 3.43 1.41 16% 0.306 23rd
WHIP makes it tough to maintain such a nice ERA; still has value as a high-3.00s/low-4.00s guy in a lot formats
7 Sandy Alcantara MIA at BAL R x x x 114.1 4.72 1.25 13% 0.332 10th
Solid close to the 1H: 2.89 ERA/1.26 WHIP/16% K-BB in 19 IP… I’m still starting in most spots every time out
8 Justin Verlander NYM LAD R x x x 70 3.6 1.20 13% 0.341 5th
Obviously not the Cy Young guy we saw last yr, but clearly still a start in most spots, even v. LAD
9 Eduardo Rodriguez DET at SEA L x x x 71.2 2.64 1.00 21% 0.304 23rd
Rough return from the IL v. OAK but he’s a lineup staple; maybe the extra breather will help, too
10 Dean Kremer BAL MIA R x x x 98 4.78 1.37 16% 0.318 17th
Last 2 were gem (at NYY) & dud (v. MIN); matchup & 20% K-BB in L50 IP make him a worthy stream for me
11 Yu Darvish SDP at PHI R x x x 85 4.87 1.27 17% 0.317 19th
Sticking with him despite the bumpy road as I’m not seeing any major concerns in the profile
12 Kenta Maeda MIN at OAK R x x x 33 5.18 1.27 20% 0.274 29th
Excellent in 3 outings since his IL return instilling confidence: 1.59 ERA/0.94 WHIP/25% K-BB
13 Julio Urías LAD at NYM L x x x 64.1 4.76 1.18 18% 0.304 22nd
Closed 1H strong (6 IP/2 ER/8 Ks) getting into his changeup w/season-high 26% usage… very hit & miss (6 60+ Game Scores; 6 Sub-50s)
14 Jon Gray TEX CLE R x x x 93 3.29 1.14 12% 0.322 15th
6 pt. dip in K% from last yr lowers his reliability going forward, but his ERA is down 65 pts
15 Miles Mikolas STL WSN R x x x 112.2 4.23 1.30 11% 0.316 20th
Running a 3.39 ERA over his L16 starts, allowing >3 ER in 4 and 3 were v. CIN, NYM, HOU so they aren’t trash lineups decking him
16 Cristopher Sánchez PHI SDP L x x 25.1 2.84 1.03 18% 0.323 13th
One of my 2H breakout picks: decent sinker, great change, and bat-missing slider
17 Aaron Civale CLE at TEX R x x 52.2 2.56 1.06 13% 0.344 4th
Fully respect TEX so there are some sits here, but he’s been great lately so I’m rolling in many spots
18 Chris Bassitt TOR ARI R x x 109.2 4.19 1.23 14% 0.322 14th
Been very hittable w/41 H & .417 BABIP in L6; sticking w/him in many lgs but I don’t love facing ARI
19 Graham Ashcraft CIN MIL R x x 81.2 6.28 1.59 7% 0.303 24th
Don’t want to overreact to B2B useful starts; using him here and he’ll jump to team streamer w/solid work
20 Carlos Rodón NYY at COL L x x 5.1 3.38 1.13 0.311 18th
I knooooow it’s Coors, but I might take the shot. Generally start studs there but it’s his 2nd start of the season so I get sitting him
21 Paul Blackburn OAK MIN R x x 37 4.86 1.54 17% 0.324 13th
Sub-10% SwStr in 3 of L4 after 12%+ in 3 of first 4; still has a 4.32 FIP & 14% K-BB in those L4
22 Ross Stripling SFG at PIT R x x 41 6.37 1.46 13% 0.272 30th
Hasn’t reached 4 IP in any of his L5 as it seems he’s being limited to no more than 2x thru the lineup… good matchup if you want some decent IP
23 MacKenzie Gore WSN at STL L x 89.2 4.42 1.46 18% 0.327 10th
Hit hard of late against some strong teams incl. StL back on 6/20 (5 ER); perfectly viable team streamer
24 Kyle Hendricks CHC BOS R x 53.1 3.04 1.03 10% 0.334 9th
Feels like a thin margin for error w/the 6% HR/FB helping float his 4.85 SIERA… just be careful
25 J.P. France HOU at LAA R x 66.1 3.26 1.21 10% 0.354 3rd
Generally avoid LAA but he’s handled toughest tests w/aplomb (2.70 ERA/1.27 WHIP/12% K-BB v. >.500+ tms) so I can find some starts here
26 Ryne Nelson ARI at TOR R x 93.2 5.19 1.43 9% 0.308 21st
Unraveled 3-start surge w/7 ER dud v. NYM; 20% K-BB during the run w/a hot changeup, but NYM pounded the heater… keep tabs on him
27 Michael Kopech CHW at ATL R 86 4.08 1.36 13% 0.391 1st
I think we’re at Top 10 status only v. ATL and no shame in skipping them w/damn near anyone
28 Rich Hill PIT SFG L 98 4.78 1.44 12% 0.316 15th
He’ll drop his gems throughout the season (6 starts of 55+ Game Score), but the downside is severe (9 under 50) making it a tough bet
29 Austin Gomber COL NYY L 90 6.4 1.51 8% 0.374 4th
I see him on a bit of a roll: 3.99 ERA/1.03 WHIP/16% K-BB in 29 IP but I’m not sure it’s more than some run-hot and I don’t wanna be around for the crash
30 Alec Marsh KCR TBR R 9 7 1.78 7% 0.327 12th
Keeping tabs on him but nowhere near starting until I see some improvement in the control
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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10 months ago

I like new the format, though I think I’d prefer the notes to be left-justified rather than centered.

I like the Cristopher Sanchez second-half breakout pick too.