Starting Pitcher Chart – July 14th
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
My buddy Nick Pollack suggested a new format for the piece and I think it looks cool, so I’m trying it out. Let me know what you think!
Edit: early feedback is that it’s a tough read on mobile, good to know
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Friday, July 14th Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | OPP L30 wOBA | wOBA RK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani | LAA | HOU | R | x | x | x | 100.1 | 3.32 | 1.10 | 22% | 0.328 | 11th | |
| Seems crazy to not start the MLB HR leader, but his SP numbers might fill a bigger need for a team | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | Luis Castillo | SEA | DET | R | x | x | x | 107.1 | 2.85 | 1.04 | 21% | 0.3 | 25th | |
| Helluva 1st half for my AL Cy Young pick, he’s firmly in the mix! | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | Tyler Glasnow | TBR | at | KCR | R | x | x | x | 41.2 | 4.1 | 1.22 | 27% | 0.28 | 27th |
| Hitting a grove w/just 5 ER in his L3 combined with 31 Ks in 16 IP including the gem v. ATL before the break | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | Brayan Bello | BOS | at | CHC | R | x | x | x | 80 | 3.04 | 1.19 | 14% | 0.319 | 16th |
| Has gone 7 in 4 of his L5 and fell just an out shy in the other one | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | Corbin Burnes | MIL | at | CIN | R | x | x | x | 107.1 | 3.94 | 1.14 | 14% | 0.36 | 2nd |
| While he hasn’t been Cy Young level Burnes, he’s been good enough to still easily start in this tough matchup | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | Charlie Morton | ATL | CHW | R | x | x | x | 97 | 3.43 | 1.41 | 16% | 0.306 | 23rd | |
| WHIP makes it tough to maintain such a nice ERA; still has value as a high-3.00s/low-4.00s guy in a lot formats | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | at | BAL | R | x | x | x | 114.1 | 4.72 | 1.25 | 13% | 0.332 | 10th |
| Solid close to the 1H: 2.89 ERA/1.26 WHIP/16% K-BB in 19 IP… I’m still starting in most spots every time out | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | Justin Verlander | NYM | LAD | R | x | x | x | 70 | 3.6 | 1.20 | 13% | 0.341 | 5th | |
| Obviously not the Cy Young guy we saw last yr, but clearly still a start in most spots, even v. LAD | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | Eduardo Rodriguez | DET | at | SEA | L | x | x | x | 71.2 | 2.64 | 1.00 | 21% | 0.304 | 23rd |
| Rough return from the IL v. OAK but he’s a lineup staple; maybe the extra breather will help, too | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | Dean Kremer | BAL | MIA | R | x | x | x | 98 | 4.78 | 1.37 | 16% | 0.318 | 17th | |
| Last 2 were gem (at NYY) & dud (v. MIN); matchup & 20% K-BB in L50 IP make him a worthy stream for me | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | Yu Darvish | SDP | at | PHI | R | x | x | x | 85 | 4.87 | 1.27 | 17% | 0.317 | 19th |
| Sticking with him despite the bumpy road as I’m not seeing any major concerns in the profile | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | Kenta Maeda | MIN | at | OAK | R | x | x | x | 33 | 5.18 | 1.27 | 20% | 0.274 | 29th |
| Excellent in 3 outings since his IL return instilling confidence: 1.59 ERA/0.94 WHIP/25% K-BB | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | Julio Urías | LAD | at | NYM | L | x | x | x | 64.1 | 4.76 | 1.18 | 18% | 0.304 | 22nd |
| Closed 1H strong (6 IP/2 ER/8 Ks) getting into his changeup w/season-high 26% usage… very hit & miss (6 60+ Game Scores; 6 Sub-50s) | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | Jon Gray | TEX | CLE | R | x | x | x | 93 | 3.29 | 1.14 | 12% | 0.322 | 15th | |
| 6 pt. dip in K% from last yr lowers his reliability going forward, but his ERA is down 65 pts | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | Miles Mikolas | STL | WSN | R | x | x | x | 112.2 | 4.23 | 1.30 | 11% | 0.316 | 20th | |
| Running a 3.39 ERA over his L16 starts, allowing >3 ER in 4 and 3 were v. CIN, NYM, HOU so they aren’t trash lineups decking him | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI | SDP | L | x | x | 25.1 | 2.84 | 1.03 | 18% | 0.323 | 13th | ||
| One of my 2H breakout picks: decent sinker, great change, and bat-missing slider | ||||||||||||||
| 17 | Aaron Civale | CLE | at | TEX | R | x | x | 52.2 | 2.56 | 1.06 | 13% | 0.344 | 4th | |
| Fully respect TEX so there are some sits here, but he’s been great lately so I’m rolling in many spots | ||||||||||||||
| 18 | Chris Bassitt | TOR | ARI | R | x | x | 109.2 | 4.19 | 1.23 | 14% | 0.322 | 14th | ||
| Been very hittable w/41 H & .417 BABIP in L6; sticking w/him in many lgs but I don’t love facing ARI | ||||||||||||||
| 19 | Graham Ashcraft | CIN | MIL | R | x | x | 81.2 | 6.28 | 1.59 | 7% | 0.303 | 24th | ||
| Don’t want to overreact to B2B useful starts; using him here and he’ll jump to team streamer w/solid work | ||||||||||||||
| 20 | Carlos Rodón | NYY | at | COL | L | x | x | 5.1 | 3.38 | 1.13 | 0.311 | 18th | ||
| I knooooow it’s Coors, but I might take the shot. Generally start studs there but it’s his 2nd start of the season so I get sitting him | ||||||||||||||
| 21 | Paul Blackburn | OAK | MIN | R | x | x | 37 | 4.86 | 1.54 | 17% | 0.324 | 13th | ||
| Sub-10% SwStr in 3 of L4 after 12%+ in 3 of first 4; still has a 4.32 FIP & 14% K-BB in those L4 | ||||||||||||||
| 22 | Ross Stripling | SFG | at | PIT | R | x | x | 41 | 6.37 | 1.46 | 13% | 0.272 | 30th | |
| Hasn’t reached 4 IP in any of his L5 as it seems he’s being limited to no more than 2x thru the lineup… good matchup if you want some decent IP | ||||||||||||||
| 23 | MacKenzie Gore | WSN | at | STL | L | x | 89.2 | 4.42 | 1.46 | 18% | 0.327 | 10th | ||
| Hit hard of late against some strong teams incl. StL back on 6/20 (5 ER); perfectly viable team streamer | ||||||||||||||
| 24 | Kyle Hendricks | CHC | BOS | R | x | 53.1 | 3.04 | 1.03 | 10% | 0.334 | 9th | |||
| Feels like a thin margin for error w/the 6% HR/FB helping float his 4.85 SIERA… just be careful | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | J.P. France | HOU | at | LAA | R | x | 66.1 | 3.26 | 1.21 | 10% | 0.354 | 3rd | ||
| Generally avoid LAA but he’s handled toughest tests w/aplomb (2.70 ERA/1.27 WHIP/12% K-BB v. >.500+ tms) so I can find some starts here | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | Ryne Nelson | ARI | at | TOR | R | x | 93.2 | 5.19 | 1.43 | 9% | 0.308 | 21st | ||
| Unraveled 3-start surge w/7 ER dud v. NYM; 20% K-BB during the run w/a hot changeup, but NYM pounded the heater… keep tabs on him | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | Michael Kopech | CHW | at | ATL | R | 86 | 4.08 | 1.36 | 13% | 0.391 | 1st | |||
| I think we’re at Top 10 status only v. ATL and no shame in skipping them w/damn near anyone | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | Rich Hill | PIT | SFG | L | 98 | 4.78 | 1.44 | 12% | 0.316 | 15th | ||||
| He’ll drop his gems throughout the season (6 starts of 55+ Game Score), but the downside is severe (9 under 50) making it a tough bet | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | Austin Gomber | COL | NYY | L | 90 | 6.4 | 1.51 | 8% | 0.374 | 4th | ||||
| I see him on a bit of a roll: 3.99 ERA/1.03 WHIP/16% K-BB in 29 IP but I’m not sure it’s more than some run-hot and I don’t wanna be around for the crash | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | Alec Marsh | KCR | TBR | R | 9 | 7 | 1.78 | 7% | 0.327 | 12th | ||||
| Keeping tabs on him but nowhere near starting until I see some improvement in the control | ||||||||||||||
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
I like new the format, though I think I’d prefer the notes to be left-justified rather than centered.
I like the Cristopher Sanchez second-half breakout pick too.
Hard to read on a phone, but otherwise really nice!
Did you guys test this formatting on mobile?
I did not, is it not mobile friendly?
It is not optimized for mobile devices.
Agreed that the notes should be left justified. The old format works better on a mobile screen.
Like the format. Left justified notes rendered odd shaped boxes. Go with this one. Could alternate row shading to make it easier to read data and comments.
The new formatting makes it really tough to read on mobile
Really clunky on mobile!
Works fine on my phone if turn sideways. Also like the ideas of left justified and every other shading.
Thoughts on Berrios today?
It is a little hard to read on a phone, but I just flipped to landscape instead.