Starting Pitcher Chart – August 7th
by Paul Sporer
August 7, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Monday, August 7th, Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Strider | ATL | at | PIT | x | x | x | 129.2 | 3.61 | 1.09 | 32% | 29th | Snapped his 4-gm streak of 10+ Ks, but 9 in 6.7 scoreless IP w/his 12th W still works! |
| 2 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | at | CHW | x | x | x | 143.1 | 2.64 | 1.04 | 21% | 25th | Finally got his first W in nearly a month (not that it was his fault: 1.40 ERA, 0.63 WHIP in the interim) |
| 3 | Pablo López | MIN | at | DET | x | x | x | 134.2 | 4.01 | 1.12 | 23% | 23rd | Rolling since his 7 ER dud at OAK: 2.50 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 24% K-BB in 18 IP |
| 4 | Logan Webb | SFG | at | LAA | x | x | x | 148.2 | 3.45 | 1.08 | 20% | 8th | All 5 of his 4+ ER outings have come on the road, but also 3 of his 5 best Game Scores… I can’t sit him |
| 5 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | COL | x | x | x | 115 | 4.46 | 1.25 | 19% | 17th | Dialed back in w/20 Ks in his last 2 starts | |
| 6 | Brayan Bello | BOS | KCR | x | x | x | 102 | 3.79 | 1.24 | 14% | 19th | 2 BB in each of his L3 after just 2 BB in previous 4; also 8 HR in L5 after just 7 in first 13 | |
| 7 | Dane Dunning | TEX | at | OAK | x | x | x | 114.2 | 3.14 | 1.14 | 10% | 20th | 11 Ks in the revenge game v. the White Sox and if he was ever going to drop B2B 10+ K outings, this is the matchup |
| 8 | Eury Pérez | MIA | at | CIN | x | x | x | 53.1 | 2.36 | 1.09 | 21% | 16th | He’s back!! I’m putting him back in the lineup everywhere even though he could be limited a bit in 1 or both of the starts |
| 9 | Dylan Cease | CHW | NYY | x | x | 121 | 4.61 | 1.40 | 17% | 13th | The massive volatility makes him a scary start down the stretch, but it’s so hard to sit him | ||
| 10 | Seth Lugo | SDP | LAD | x | x | 89 | 3.54 | 1.19 | 19% | 3rd | Don’t love facing LA, but I’ll do it to get the at ARI on the wknd | ||
| 11 | Patrick Sandoval | LAA | SFG | x | x | 103 | 4.11 | 1.41 | 9% | 28th | A great matchup if you’re looking to stream, but his control can be exposed by anyone so it’s always risky | ||
| 12 | Cole Ragans | KCR | at | BOS | x | x | 35.1 | 4.33 | 1.36 | 12% | 14th | 14% SwStr in his 2 KC starts, I’m open to gamble on the 2-step this wk anywhere (STL this wknd) | |
| 13 | Kodai Senga | NYM | CHC | x | x | 110.2 | 3.25 | 1.29 | 17% | 18th | KC couldn’t take full advantage of 11 H so he survived falling just an out shy of a QS | ||
| 14 | Ranger Suárez | PHI | WSN | x | 85.1 | 4.01 | 1.43 | 13% | 4th | Has allowed 46 H in his L6 and was lucky to allow just 1 ER at MIA (10 H in 6.3 IP) | |||
| 15 | Tony Gonsolin | LAD | at | SDP | x | 87.2 | 4.11 | 1.15 | 10% | 1st | 6 HR are a big factor in 5.06 ERA over L5, I can find some spots in weekly lgs where I need to hit some magic (COL this wknd) | ||
| 16 | Brandon Williamson | CIN | MIA | x | 68.2 | 4.85 | 1.34 | 9% | 7th | You’re always holding your breath if you roll w/him… at PIT on the wknd is tempting | |||
| 17 | Gavin Williams | CLE | TOR | x | 42.2 | 3.38 | 1.34 | 9% | 2nd | Seems to have a 90-95 pitch count and w/4 BB In 3 of his L4, he’s a 4-5 IP guy | |||
| 18 | Hyun Jin Ryu 류현진 | TOR | at | CLE | x | 5 | 7.20 | 2.00 | 9% | 26th | Not too bad in his season debut, but still just a deep lg streamer until we see another couple | ||
| 19 | Joey Wentz | DET | MIN | 76.1 | 6.37 | 1.60 | 12% | 21st | Has shown flashes and I can see a path to some deep lg interest if he keeps getting an opener | ||||
| 20 | Ken Waldichuk | OAK | TEX | 88.1 | 6.52 | 1.74 | 8% | 12th | 13% BB rate make him super risky, nice to see just 2 HR in his last 39 IP (0.5 HR; 2.5 in 50 IP before that) | ||||
| 21 | Drew Smyly | CHC | NYM | 112.2 | 4.71 | 1.35 | 14% | 27th | Has just become a HR machine w/a 2.9 rate in his last 41 IP making him a tough roster right now | ||||
| 22 | Peter Lambert | COL | at | MIL | 49.2 | 5.07 | 1.41 | 11% | 6th | No thanks | |||
| 23 | Trevor Williams | WSN | at | PHI | 108.2 | 4.72 | 1.49 | 9% | 11th | No thanks | |||
| 24 | Osvaldo Bido | PIT | ATL | 33 | 5.18 | 1.52 | 11% | 30th | No thanks |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
Hey, Gomber did it again. Is he only good away from Coors?
He has been much better outside Colorado this year, but his splits from 2021 and 2022 show him with a considerably worse ERA on the road.
In a way, it makes me happy every time he does well! In fact, he has 3 straight QS and he’s 1 run against HOU away from 7 straight. It’s still just a 12% K-BB and I’m still not going to recommend him at LAD this week, but I hope he has another gem!