Starting Pitcher Chart – August 6th, 2024
- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the July SP Rankings (NEWish)
I completely forgot the 2-start chart this morning. I’m sorry about that! As for the remaining 2-steppers who are going today, their ranking on the board is indicative of how I feel for the whole week.
David Festa with a third straight solid start since returning. He should be rostered everywhere right now.
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan Cease | SDP at PIT | x | x | x | 136 | 3.42 | 0.99 | 24% | 19th/29th | |
| 2 | Luis Castillo | SEA v DET | x | x | x | 136 | 3.43 | 1.16 | 17% | 17th/27th | |
| 3 | Sonny Gray | STL v TBR | x | x | x | 118 | 3.72 | 1.09 | 25% | 25th/26th | |
| 4 | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL at TOR | x | x | x | 116 | 3.86 | 1.24 | 19% | 15th/14th | |
| 5 | Pablo López | MIN at CHC | x | x | x | 124 | 4.65 | 1.14 | 22% | 20th/20th | |
| 6 | Luis Gil | NYY v LAA | x | x | x | 112 | 3.20 | 1.10 | 17% | 22nd/24th | |
| 7 | Shota Imanaga | CHC v MIN | x | x | x | 116 | 3.09 | 1.09 | 21% | 25th/10th | |
| 8 | Framber Valdez | HOU at TEX | x | x | x | 116 | 3.56 | 1.25 | 15% | 2nd/15th | Strong July incl. 10 Ks in 3 of his L4 so my confidence has returned |
| 9 | Nick Lodolo | CIN at MIA | x | x | x | 97 | 3.99 | 1.15 | 18% | 17th/30th | |
| 10 | Seth Lugo | KCR v BOS | x | x | x | 150 | 2.57 | 1.02 | 16% | 1st/2nd | Tough matchup and they did clip him for 5 in Fenway, but I can’t sit him |
| 11 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI at LAD | x | x | 120 | 3.36 | 1.28 | 13% | 16th/2nd | Not dying to start Sánchez or Kershaw but I also realize that you just might not have the option to sit ’em 15s and even many 12s | |
| 12 | Clayton Kershaw | LAD v PHI | x | x | 7 | 5.87 | 1.96 | 7% | 3rd/1st | ||
| 13 | Ben Lively | CLE v ARI | x | x | 105 | 3.42 | 1.15 | 14% | 4th/7th | The skills keep him shy of a must-start, but he has been so dang good that he’s a tough sit! | |
| 14 | Hayden Birdsong | SFG at WSN | x | x | 30 | 2.97 | 1.22 | 18% | 16th/16th | Fantastic 2-step setup this week with DET visiting this wknd | |
| 15 | Chris Bassitt | TOR v BAL | x | 123 | 4.02 | 1.45 | 12% | 10th/3rd | Far from a must start even in 15s | ||
| 16 | Brayan Bello | BOS at KCR | x | 107 | 5.13 | 1.44 | 14% | 6th/13th | A viable streamer again, but still carries plenty of downside potential w/that 1.4 HR rate | ||
| 17 | Jeffrey Springs | TBR at STL | x | 3 | 4.91 | 1.91 | 11% | 15th/29th | I’m curious to see how his pitch count goes as the Rays ease him back in | ||
| 18 | Max Meyer | MIA v CIN | x | 26 | 3.81 | 1.08 | 17% | 5th/17th | |||
| 19 | Colin Rea | MIL at ATL | x | 115 | 3.59 | 1.20 | 11% | 18th/18th | |||
| 20 | Jonathan Cannon | CHW at OAK | x | 70 | 4.11 | 1.27 | 10% | 9th/21st | I’d like to believe more in the 3.48 ERA, 1.23 WHIP from July, but it came w/a 2% K-BB, plus OAK isn’t a walkover… be careful | ||
| 21 | Bryce Elder | ATL v MIL | x | 46 | 5.67 | 1.54 | 12% | 27th/8th | Super risky anytime you use him and it’s at COL on the wknd | ||
| 22 | Luis Severino | NYM at COL | 123 | 3.93 | 1.24 | 10% | 7th/15th | Not taking him to Coors | |||
| 23 | Bailey Falter | PIT v SDP | 95 | 3.95 | 1.19 | 9% | 6th/19th | He hasn’t been bad this year, but I just feel like this matchup presents more downside | |||
| 24 | MacKenzie Gore | WSN v SFG | 111 | 4.54 | 1.50 | 16% | 7th/5th | Hard to feel confident anywhere w/7.84 ERA, 1.84 WHIP, 3% K-BB over his L7 | |||
| 25 | Kyle Freeland | COL v NYM | 59 | 5.64 | 1.51 | 13% | 12th/4th | ||||
| 26 | Tyler Mahle | TEX v HOU | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 26th/10th | Returning from TJ so I want to see something before starting him, but I don’t mind the spec pickup in 15s and maaaybe some 12s | |||
| 27 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI at CLE | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 22nd/8th | Season debut returning from a shoulder issue w/0 rehab starts, like Mahle I’ll pick him up but not starting yet | |||
| 28 | Davis Daniel | LAA at NYY | 22 | 4.91 | 1.18 | 19% | 2nd/1st | ||||
| 29 | Ross Stripling | OAK v CHW | 67 | 5.64 | 1.52 | 8% | 30th/30th | ||||
| 30 | Keider Montero | DET at SEA | 43 | 6.18 | 1.37 | 12% | 13th/22nd |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
Kyle Freeland’s home/road splits are heavily in favor of Coors. What is to be made of this? Call me a pyromaniac, but I picked him up for 3 in a row at home.