Starting Pitcher Chart – August 2nd, 2024

by Paul Sporer

August 2, 2024

Daily SP Chart archive
Check out the July SP Rankings (NEWish!)

Jeff, Lucas, and I put together our thoughts on the fallout from the Trade Deadline:

Lucas Kelly covered Pitchers Pt. 1 here
I covered Pitchers Pt. 2 here
Jeff Zimmerman covered the Hitters here

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Starter Notes August 2, 2024

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK L30/Season	NOTE
1	Tarik Skubal	DET v KCR	x	x	x	130	2.35	0.92	25%	14th/17th
2	Joe Ryan	MIN v CHW	x	x	x	126	3.69	1.00	23%	30th/30th
3	Cole Ragans	KCR at DET	x	x	x	128	3.37	1.17	21%	9th/25th	Velo down from 96.1 mph in F17 to 94.5 in L5 which is concerning, but I can’t skip a start at DET, even w/them hitting better of later
4	Kutter Crawford	BOS at TEX	x	x	x	123	3.57	1.08	17%	26th/26th
5	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI at PIT	x	x	x	126	3.92	1.11	17%	21st/29th	They ran him up for 5 ER in PIT last time out but that doesn’t deter me from the start here
6	Spencer Schwellenbach	ATL v MIA	x	x	x	57	4.06	1.06	21%	13th/28th	On an electric run after his 6 ER at BOS on June 5th: 3.19 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 23% K-BB in 48 IP
7	Tyler Phillips	PHI at SEA	x	x	x	25	1.80	0.76	19%	23rd/25th	It’s been an amazing 25 IP and the schedule gives him a nice opportunity to stay hot but with Suarez & Walker working their way back, he might soon be out of the rotation
8	Erick Fedde 페디	STL at CHC	x	x	x	121	3.11	1.14	15%	20th/19th	1st start w/his new club, but 2nd in Wrigley this year as the Cubs played there in early-June (5 IP/3 ER/7 Ks)
9	Luis L. Ortiz	PIT v ARI	x	x	x	78	2.75	1.14	12%	2nd/8th	I wish there was more swing-and-miss to his game, but he’s absolutely on fire: 1.71 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 18% K-BB in 32 IP
10	Jake Irvin	WSN v MIL	x	x	x	128	3.44	1.08	16%	25th/7th	Steady again with 2 good starts after the B2B 6 ER duds earlier this month; I am keeping tabs on the HRs of late (7 in L4 starts)
11	Bryan Woo	SEA v PHI	x	x	x	53	2.35	0.89	15%	24th/11th	Said to be fine after exiting w/hammy pain last time out; tough matchup but he’s been SO good this yr
12	Gavin Stone	LAD at OAK	x	x	x	107	3.34	1.26	12%	7th/22nd	OAK is hot and he is not with exactly 3 Ks in each of his L4 (6.27 ERA, 1.98 WHIP, 8% K-BB) so I can see some sits, but I’m still taking the W opportunity in most cases
13	Tyler Anderson	LAA v NYM	x	x	x	130	2.96	1.14	9%	11th/4th	Not quiiiite back to his LAD form, but close enough and has once again become a strong Team Streamer
14	Kyle Harrison	SFG at CIN	x	x	x	97	3.69	1.28	14%	26th/19th	Sputtered in his first start off the IL, but has been cooking since: 1.06 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 20% K-BB in 17 IP
15	Marcus Stroman	NYY v TOR		x	x	113	3.64	1.35	7%	16th/15th	TOR isn’t scary so I can see starting him in 10-teamers, but I’d rather not
16	Yusei Kikuchi	HOU v TBR		x	x	115	4.75	1.34	20%	2nd/7th	Will his HRs become an issue w/those Crawford Boxes in left field?
17	Dean Kremer	BAL at CLE		x	x	75	4.20	1.23	14%	29th/20th	CLE hasn’t been a team you’ve had to run from w/righties lately
18	Kevin Gausman	TOR at NYY			x	119	4.44	1.26	17%	4th/1st	I’m nervous, I don’t think I want to start him anywhere but deep leagues where you just don’t have better options
19	Shane Baz	TBR at HOU			x	19	3.66	1.42	12%	18th/9th	There will be good starts but he’s not super reliable at this juncture and HOU can still clip ya even w/out Tucker
20	Paul Blackburn	NYM at LAA			x	51	4.41	1.16	12%	28th/23rd	Solid matchup worth streaming in some spots, but HRs aren’t likely to get better leaving OAK
21	Andrew Abbott	CIN v SFG			x	117	3.38	1.26	9%	12th/6th	The skills just don’t support his ERA and it’s not like he has major K upside or high W potential
22	Frankie Montas	MIL at WSN				93	5.01	1.44	9%	14th/17th	Can eat up some innings for MIL, but still nothing more than a standard streamer
23	Randy Vásquez	SDP v COL				71	4.82	1.56	9%	5th/14th	Look at Colorado being on fire of late!
24	Joey Estes	OAK v LAD				71	4.92	1.25	11%	10th/4th
25	Javier Assad	CHC v STL				94	3.23	1.35	11%	9th/12th
26	Carlos Carrasco	CLE v BAL				95	5.68	1.40	13%	8th/3rd
27	Austin Gomber	COL at SDP				109	4.79	1.32	11%	5th/21st
28	Davis Martin	CHW at MIN				2	3.38	2.25		3rd/6th
29	José Ureña	TEX v BOS				76	3.07	1.23	8%	1st/2nd
30	Shaun Anderson 앤더슨	MIA at ATL				8	11.42	2.77	12%	19th/18th

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.