Starting Pitcher Chart – August 29th

Dave Nelson-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

More than half the slate is recommended across the board but there are still some streaming spot. Actually, there are some pretty tough decisions, though your situation may make them easier (if you’re chasing or protecting).

Starter Notes August 29,2023
1 Clayton Kershaw LAD v ARI x x x 107.1 2.52 1.02 21% 23rd/21st
2 George Kirby SEA v OAK x x x 156.1 3.28 1.03 21% 14th/29th
3 Cole Ragans KCR v PIT x x x 59 3.66 1.27 19% 27th/22nd Great chance to stay hot and gets a 2-step next wk, really has a chance to be a major reason people win their leagues
4 Justin Steele CHC v MIL x x x 138 2.80 1.17 18% 6th/19th
5 Corbin Burnes MIL at CHC x x x 158 3.65 1.08 16% 6th/10th
6 José Berríos TOR v WSN x x x 152 3.55 1.22 16% 22nd/24th I hope he puts a nice cap on this splendid comeback season
7 Aaron Civale TBR at MIA x x x 97.1 2.59 1.10 14% 20th/23rd
8 Seth Lugo SDP at STL x x x 109.1 3.70 1.23 18% 11th/6th Your leaguemate w/him might be surging up the standings of late, especially since many likely skipped the 1 dud over his L7 (8 ER v. LAD… 1.95 ERA in the other 6)
9 Pablo López MIN v CLE x x x 158.2 3.69 1.13 23% 24th/21st
10 Sandy Alcantara MIA v TBR x x x 171 4.16 1.19 14% 4th/4th Still sprinkles in the occasional 4 ER outing, but has now put together an 11-start run of 2.99 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 17% K-BB in 75 IP
11 Brayan Bello BOS v HOU x x x 126.1 3.56 1.28 13% 16th/18th Couldn’t fully take advantage of a 5-start run that included OAK/KCR/DET (5.93 ERA in 27 IP) but has rebounded w/B2B 1 ER outings on the road
12 Merrill Kelly 켈리 ARI at LAD x x x 136.1 2.97 1.13 18% 13th/3rd If you’re in a position to be ultra-cautious, you can skip… otherwise, I’m not sure I can sit someone pitching this well
13 Tarik Skubal DET v NYY x x x 44.1 4.06 1.08 24% 2nd/5th Grinded out a decent start v. CHC, balancing the 4 ER in 6 IP w/7 Ks and just 1 BB… I’m rolling w/him here
14 Brandon Williamson CIN at SFG x x x 92.2 4.18 1.25 13% 16th/25th CIN hasn’t really taken advantage of his 3.13 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 16% K-BB in his L8, going just 3-5 in them (B Will is 3-1)
15 Dean Kremer BAL v CHW x x x 144 4.31 1.29 14% 26th/30th He’s in a groove again w/a 3.06 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 13% K-BB in his L9, plus the matchup is good so he’s streamable everywhere
16 Alex Cobb SFG v CIN x x x 132.1 3.74 1.38 15% 12th/12th Easy start at home: 2.25 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 15% K-BB in 60 IP
17 Gavin Williams CLE at MIN x x 64 3.52 1.28 16% 8th/7th Got merked by LAD which I’m sure some sat, but I was open to starting him… this isn’t an easy bounce back spot and I think it’s OK to be more cautious w/these rookies coming down the stretch
18 Zack Thompson STL v SDP x x 35 3.86 1.46 20% 9th/6th I’ve got him reserved in my 15-teamer opting to gamble that Silseth is OK to go v. OAK, but he’s been great in 4 extended outings (3 SP, 1 RP): 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 27% K-BB in 18 IP
19 Michael Lorenzen PHI v LAA x x 131.2 3.69 1.12 12% 29th/11th Came back to earth after the no-no with a couple duds… should be able to rebound against a floundering Angels club
20 J.P. France HOU at BOS x x 110.1 3.51 1.31 11% 7th/5th I know it’s a repeat start against a team that just cooked him, but data shows 1st start of a B2B has no indication on the 2nd’s outcome… at BOS on its face is legitimately skippable, just don’t let the 10 ER dud overly influence you
21 Charlie Morton ATL at COL x x 141.2 3.37 1.38 15% 18th/16th Where are my Win chasers?? Obviously don’t put precarious ratios at risk needlessly, but if you can afford a potential 5 ER gm that can still result in a W, go for it!
22 Andrew Heaney TEX at NYM x x 122.1 4.34 1.36 15% 13th/23rd You know the deal here… there’s ALWAYS heavy risk, but he’s pretty good for 60% of his starts and that’s very streamable
23 Jhony Brito NYY at DET x 67 5.37 1.34 9% 9th/28th Brito will follow Michael King… kinda wish they’d flip that because then I’d be interested in King for some W potential
24 José Quintana NYM v TEX x 41 3.73 1.39 8% 12th/2nd Sometimes it’s just indisgestion… glad I didn’t play my gut feel at ATL as he was cooked
25 MacKenzie Gore WSN at TOR 127.1 4.38 1.37 17% 8th/8th
26 Ken Waldichuk OAK at SEA 110 6.05 1.67 10% 4th/15th
27 Tyler Anderson LAA at PHI 117.2 5.35 1.53 9% 7th/11th
28 Jesse Scholtens CHW v BAL 65 4.15 1.32 9% 17th/17th
29 Luis L. Ortiz PIT at KCR 57 5.37 1.84 3% 5th/26th
30 Peter Lambert COL v ATL 71.1 4.92 1.33 12% 1st/1st
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues


Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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