Starting Pitcher Chart – August 29th, 2022
I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful so it’s time to bring back the Daily SP Chart!
The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Let’s go secure some titles!
(I didn’t get a chance to finish Monday’s slate on Sunday night, but these will regularly be out for the following day’s slate so you can plan ahead a bit.)
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | L5 STATS | OPP wOBA L30 days | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | MIL | PIT | R | x | x | x | 5.20 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .272 – 30th | LAD blasted him last time out, but no one is sitting him |
| Carlos Rodón | SF | SD | L | x | x | x | 1.44 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 33% K-BB | .316 – 11th | Has allowed 5 total ER in L5 after B2B 5 ER outings |
| Tony Gonsolin | LAD | at MIA | R | x | x | x | 1.57 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 17% K-BB | .277 – 28th | Fully back from the mini-lull in July |
| Miles Mikolas | STL | at CIN | R | x | x | x | 5.40 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 14% K-BB | .302 – 15th | The 10 ER at COL are still in that L5; 2.38 ERA since in 23 IP |
| Frankie Montas | NYY | at LAA | R | x | x | x | 6.57 ERA, 1.69 WHIP, 7% K-BB | .289 – 22nd | Finding his footing w/2 solid starts & just 1 bad inn. v. TOR in L3 |
| Ranger Suárez | PHI | at ARI | L | x | x | x | 2.03 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .242 – 28th | Since adding cutter: 17% K-BB, 2.73 FIP; Before: 8%, 4.31 |
| Mike Clevinger | SD | at SF | R | x | x | x | 4.00 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 6% K-BB | .288 – 23rd | Surviving despite weak K-BB; matchup drives this one |
| José Berríos | TOR | CHC | R | x | x | x | 5.60 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 14% K-BB | .295 – 17th | 3 of L5 are great & it’s a good matchup, I gotta start him |
| Pablo López | MIA | LAD | R | x | x | 6.75 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, 10% K-BB | .376 – 2nd | If you’re protecting, there is no shame sitting him here | |
| José Suarez | LAA | NYY | L | x | x | 1.93 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 19% K-BB | .352 – 5th | Schedule-aided run: at KC, OAK, at OAK, SEA, at TB; be careful | |
| Dylan Bundy | MIN | BOS | R | x | x | 2.96 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .303 – 14th | Has allowed >4 ER once in L13 (3.92 ERA/1.05 WHIP) | |
| Brayan Bello | BOS | at MIN | R | x | 7.36 ERA, 2.09 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .292 – 18th | Premium stuff, wonky command… feeling lucky? | ||
| Javier Assad | CHC | at TOR | R | x | Has 4 MLB IP | .290 – 20th | Sharp at AA/AAA this yr: 2.66 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 17% K-BB | ||
| Madison Bumgarner | ARI | PHI | L | 7.53 ERA, 1.81 WHIP, 7% K-BB | .367 – 5th | L5 have brought his sub-4 ERA in line w/his 4.71 SIERA | |||
| Chase Anderson | CIN | STL | R | MiLB | .380 – 1st | No. |
Very useful chart, thanks Paul. Would love to see some discussion/consideration of QS potential.
Yeah. Slightly ahead of the pace on my innings limit, and weighing the Clevinger @SF start very carefully. 5 innings w/o the QS would be painful
Well you got that 5 IP nonQS you were hoping for from Clevinger. 😉 I’m in a roster crunch and may drop him. His remaining starts appear to be @LAD, vsLAD, @ARI, vsSTL, vsLAD and vsSF. That’s 4 No’s and 2 Maybe’s. Ugh.