Starting Pitcher Chart – August 28th, 2024

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We haven’t really seen Skenes limited so he’s still a full-go starter.

Bibee’s 2.86 ERA since May 13th is tied for 7th-best, juuust behind Wheeler and Ragans at 2.85 and Skubal at 2.83 in that same time period. I bring this up only because there was some concern about Bibee because of his 4.91 ERA in the 8 starts before that despite a solid 18% K-BB. The 1.3 HR9 was a big issue and he’s shaved it down to 0.9 during this current 17-start run.

Musgrove and E-Rod have looked a lot more like themselves over their last 3 starts and I’ve got them back in the lineup everywhere without incident. It doesn’t mean they are risk-free or anything, just that I’m once again trusting them at a level in line with their name value.

Arrighetti seems to have turned a corner with his 7 shutout IP v. COL which kickstarted a 3.53 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 24% K-BB in 58.7 IP after a rough 6.36 ERA through his first 13 starts that included two 7 ER starts.

TOR’s offensive surge of late is giving me some pause with mid-tier arms. I’m certainly open to starting Bello, but not racing to do so.

I consider myself pretty open to extreme runs on either end from just about any player over a given month, but I cannot fathom how many bold predictions I would’ve had to go through to get to Bido reeling off a 1.17 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 16% K-BB in his L4 starts (23 IP). And yet, here we are! I can see starting him in 10s in the right context, but it’s not a must in Cincy.

Leiter returns to the majors with the best possible matchup and he’s looked much better in the minors of late, highlighted by 44 Ks in his last 28 IP.

I barely trust Buehler in good matchups right now so I’m certainly not starting him v. BAL.

I’ll have my chat at 1pm CT today (Wednesday) if you have any questions!

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The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.