Starting Pitcher Chart – August 23rd, 2024
- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the August SP Rankings (NEW!)
For a full slate, this is a brutal board! Be careful out there if you’re streaming. Just 8 full recos, three of whom aren’t in my Top 50 SPs right now meaning they are far from sure things. The 1-2 x recos are just a mess between brutally tough matchups, poor recent performance, or both.
—
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Sale | ATL v WSN | x | x | x | 140 | 2.62 | 1.00 | 28% | 20th/26th | |
| 2 | Luis Castillo | SEA v SFG | x | x | x | 153 | 3.51 | 1.17 | 18% | 19th/20th | |
| 3 | Carlos Rodón | NYY v COL | x | x | x | 134 | 4.34 | 1.25 | 18% | 27th/23rd | |
| 4 | Tanner Bibee | CLE v TEX | x | x | x | 132 | 3.33 | 1.08 | 21% | 23rd/24th | |
| 5 | Hunter Brown | HOU at BAL | x | x | x | 134 | 3.82 | 1.34 | 17% | 7th/4th | Tough draw, but he’s too locked in to remove from the lineup at this point |
| 6 | David Festa | MIN v STL | x | x | x | 32 | 4.96 | 1.32 | 21% | 26th/13th | Running a 2.38 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 24% K-BB in 22.7 IP since his recall after 12 ER in 10 IP over his first 2 starts |
| 7 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX at CLE | x | x | x | 127 | 3.76 | 1.09 | 18% | 24th/22nd | Not too worried about the 5.14 ERA over his L5 as it’s come w/a 1.14 WHIP and 22% K-BB |
| 8 | Ryne Nelson | ARI at BOS | x | x | x | 124 | 4.35 | 1.29 | 14% | 4th/2nd | Brutal matchup but he is absolutely dealing of late: 2.73 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 20% K-BB in his L9 app. (56 IP) |
| 9 | Joe Musgrove | SDP v NYM | x | x | 58 | 4.97 | 1.40 | 13% | 10th/10th | I like the 1 ER in 8.7 IP since returning, but quick maths tells you that at least 1 of those has to be sub-5 IP and I’m here to tell you both are so I’m just a little nervous about the volume | |
| 10 | JP Sears | OAK v MIL | x | x | 141 | 4.15 | 1.18 | 13% | 21st/14th | MIL can clip anyone, but after 7 ER v. HOU he has reeled off 4 straight 7+ IP gems (1.57 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, 22% K-BB in 28.7 IP) | |
| 11 | Brayan Bello | BOS v ARI | x | x | 123 | 4.80 | 1.41 | 14% | 1st/6th | Hasn’t allowed >3 ER in any of his L7 w/a 3.57 ERA & 1.25 WHIP; skills are still a bit light at 14% K-BB and 1.6 HR9 which is he’s not 3-x right now | |
| 12 | Keider Montero | DET at CHW | x | x | 59 | 5.28 | 1.31 | 12% | 29th/30th | Turned some heads w/5 scoreless v. NYY giving him a 2.81 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 13% K-BB in his L3 and now the schedule gives him a break | |
| 13 | Michael Wacha | KCR v PHI | x | x | 127 | 3.33 | 1.20 | 13% | 22nd/12th | Catching PHI at a good time both bc he’s pitching well and their offense hasn’t been quite as threatening as the first half | |
| 14 | Hayden Birdsong | SFG at SEA | x | 41 | 5.01 | 1.38 | 15% | 16th/23rd | Intriguing matchup, but SEA has been better of late and he hasn’t made it through 5 in any of his L3 | ||
| 15 | Chris Bassitt | TOR v LAA | x | 139 | 4.34 | 1.44 | 13% | 25th/25th | The 1.44 WHIP makes him a tough start in anything but the best matchups… and even then I’m still nervous | ||
| 16 | Andrew Abbott | CIN at PIT | x | 138 | 3.72 | 1.30 | 11% | 9th/18th | |||
| 17 | Cade Povich | BAL v HOU | x | 43 | 5.77 | 1.58 | 4% | 18th/13th | 3 ugly starts in July took him off the radar before a gem v. BOS brought him back in focus (6.3 IP/2 ER); still plenty of risk here | ||
| 18 | Aaron Civale | MIL at OAK | x | 124 | 4.78 | 1.37 | 14% | 20th/21st | |||
| 19 | Bailey Falter | PIT v CIN | x | 107 | 4.02 | 1.25 | 10% | 22nd/20th | |||
| 20 | Bobby Miller | LAD v TBR | x | 33 | 8.02 | 1.84 | 6% | 28th/28th | I just don’t know what he’s doing to make us have any confidence in starting him right now… maybe start him if you’re in Hail Mary mode | ||
| 21 | Kyle Hendricks | CHC at MIA | 96 | 6.35 | 1.42 | 10% | 15th/27th | ||||
| 22 | Paul Blackburn | NYM at SDP | 73 | 4.19 | 1.19 | 12% | 5th/5th | ||||
| 23 | Max Meyer | MIA v CHC | 40 | 5.58 | 1.36 | 12% | 21st/19th | ||||
| 24 | Tyler Alexander | TBR at LAD | 76 | 5.17 | 1.28 | 15% | 25th/3rd | ||||
| 25 | Chris Flexen | CHW v DET | 122 | 5.46 | 1.52 | 6% | 30th/26th | ||||
| 26 | MacKenzie Gore | WSN at ATL | 125 | 4.66 | 1.58 | 14% | 5th/6th | ||||
| 27 | Jack Kochanowicz | LAA at TOR | 20 | 6.53 | 1.65 | 0% | 11th/14th | ||||
| 28 | Andre Pallante | STL at MIN | 79 | 4.07 | 1.32 | 9% | 6th/7th | ||||
| 29 | Taijuan Walker | PHI at KCR | 61 | 5.69 | 1.51 | 9% | 3rd/11th | ||||
| 30 | Kyle Freeland | COL at NYY | 72 | 5.97 | 1.53 | 12% | 11th/15th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
Hmmmm looks like a big offensive night is coming! That said, I’m sure someone will somehow throw a no-hitter.
Right? In classic baseball fashion, the board will be littered w/3-2 games lol