Starting Pitcher Chart – August 13th, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Logan Gilbert | SEA at BAL | x | x | x | 83 | 3.35 | 0.98 | 29% | 16th | Ks have been dialed in for quite a while & ratios following of late: 2.60 ERA/0.94 WHIP in L5 |
2 | Hunter Brown | HOU v BOS | x | x | x | 136 | 2.51 | 0.98 | 23% | 9th | Nice challenge for him as Bregman’s return to HOU has gone remarkably well! |
3 | Nick Pivetta | SDP at SFG | x | x | x | 134 | 2.94 | 0.96 | 20% | 22nd | |
4 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI at CIN | x | x | x | 144 | 2.36 | 1.08 | 20% | 25th | Sanchy for CY! |
5 | Brandon Woodruff | MIL v PIT | x | x | x | 35 | 2.29 | 0.65 | 30% | 29th | He’ll eventually have a bad outing and his 1.8 HR9 will def catch up to him as the WHIP regresses |
6 | Trevor Rogers | BAL v SEA | x | x | x | 62 | 1.44 | 0.83 | 16% | 11th | Elevating himself into “league winner” status as he continues to pile up gems; likely won’t last near this rate as the 3% HR/FB and .212 BABIP regress but his velo’s back up and a career-best 6% BB leave me thinking he can at least be a solid mid-to-high 3.00s ERA w/a good WHIP guy |
7 | Joe Ryan | MIN at NYY | x | x | x | 132 | 2.79 | 0.92 | 23% | 5th | |
8 | Eury Pérez | MIA at CLE | x | x | x | 55 | 3.25 | 1.01 | 15% | 28th | There’s the dud… we knew it was coming, but we’ll stick w/him for the bounceback |
9 | Drew Rasmussen | TBR at ATH | x | x | x | 111 | 2.66 | 1.00 | 17% | 7th | |
10 | Gavin Williams | CLE v MIA | x | x | x | 125 | 3.17 | 1.30 | 11% | 12th | Results are there now for 12 starts (2.36 ERA), but his hit suppression is driving the bus as neither end of his 10% K-BB during this run is particularly impressive (22% K, 12% BB)… I’m still in, but we’re not out of the woods yet |
11 | David Peterson | NYM v ATL | x | x | x | 133 | 2.98 | 1.23 | 12% | 16th | |
12 | Seth Lugo | KCR v WSN | x | x | x | 127 | 3.46 | 1.20 | 12% | 24th | Too good of a matchup to skip but he’s not set it and forget as that 1.5 HR9 leaves him vulnerable v. anyone |
13 | Kevin Gausman | TOR v CHC | x | x | x | 135 | 3.85 | 1.08 | 17% | 4th | Catching CHC in a downswing (21st vR in L30) & absolutely rolling of late: 2.56 ERA/1.00 WHIP/18% K-BB in L8 |
14 | Hunter Greene | CIN v PHI | x | x | 59 | 2.72 | 0.97 | 25% | 6th | Always nervous right off the IL but it wasn’t an arm injury so maybe he gets back on track quicker? (not that the lower half isn’t important) | |
15 | Merrill Kelly 켈리 | TEX v ARI | x | x | 138 | 3.38 | 1.08 | 16% | 1st | Which Kelly will show up for his revenge game? The one w/4+ BB in 3 of his L5 or the one with just 1 BB in the other 2… don’t be afraid to skip this one | |
16 | Zac Gallen | ARI at TEX | W | x | x | 139 | 5.31 | 1.35 | 13% | 26th | B2B QS and a run shy of a 3rd… TEX offense has fallen back on hard times, too |
17 | Michael McGreevy | STL v COL | W | W | x | 45 | 4.40 | 1.22 | 10% | 27th | Always worth chasing a W against the Rockies |
18 | Cade Horton | CHC at TOR | x | 79 | 3.18 | 1.22 | 10% | 2nd | Very tough spot but at least he’s at home | ||
19 | J.T. Ginn | ATH v TBR | x | 53 | 4.39 | 1.24 | 18% | 11th | Really good in 3 of his L4 buuuuttt all 3 were on the road and he’s had huge home/road splits so be careful | ||
20 | Mitch Keller | PIT at MIL | x | 137 | 3.86 | 1.23 | 12% | 14th | 3 HR gm at COL is excusable but he’s otherwise been able to maintain his tiny 8% HR/FB (t-4th lowest); not sure it’s worth the hassle at MIL | ||
21 | Cam Schlittler | NYY v MIN | x | 24 | 4.38 | 1.66 | 11% | 21st | Basically 5-and-dive making him a tough W bet and the Ks haven’t been great, either | ||
22 | Kai-Wei Teng | SFG v SDP | x | 8 | 5.40 | 1.32 | 11% | 23rd | Excellent AAA skills (38% K, 29% K-BB) was mostly achieved as RP, but the 4-start run ahead of his callup was insane: 0.46 ERA/0.71 WHIP/38% K-BB so I’m keeping tabs on him | ||
23 | Shohei Ohtani | LAD at LAA | ? | 19 | 2.37 | 1.11 | 26% | 19th | Hit 4 IP last time out but the 54 pitches were his season-high so I still don’t know if it’s worth it unless you just 3-4 solid IP | ||
24 | Shane Smith | CHW v DET | 96 | 4.22 | 1.29 | 12% | 13th | Spiked a gem last time out but hadn’t gone 5 in his previous 6… not sure the juice is worth the squeeze | |||
25 | Jake Irvin | WSN at KCR | 136 | 4.90 | 1.34 | 8% | 25th | ||||
26 | Walker Buehler | BOS at HOU | 100 | 5.40 | 1.56 | 6% | 17th | ||||
27 | Carlos Carrasco | ATL at NYM | 43 | 6.18 | 1.58 | 9% | 8th | ||||
28 | Keider Montero | DET at CHW | 73 | 4.66 | 1.43 | 9% | 30th | ||||
29 | Austin Gomber | COL at STL | 49 | 6.52 | 1.57 | 7% | 15th | ||||
30 | Kyle Hendricks | LAA v LAD | 116 | 4.63 | 1.23 | 10% | 3rd |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues |
KEY x: Standard Recommendation | W: Chasing the Win
Pretty sure Cade Horton is on the road today.