Starting Pitcher Chart – April 2nd, 2024

April 1, 2024

The chart includes their last season performance until we get some actual data for this year, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (and then I’ll add the last 30 days outlook next month), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them (notes will be more statistical-based once we get some sample to work with). Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Starter Notes April 2, 2024

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK Season	NOTE
1	~~Tyler Glasnow~~ (moved to Wednesday; bullpen gm today)	LAD v SFG	x	x	x	120	3.53	1.08	26%	28th	Let’s see if dials up the Ks in his 3rd start of the season
2	Luis Castillo	SEA v CLE	x	x	x	197	3.34	1.10	20%	22nd	Looking to rebound after a meh season debut
3	Shane Bieber	CLE at SEA	x	x	x	128	3.80	1.23	14%	14th	Could be a helluva pitcher’s duel between these two
4	Framber Valdez	HOU v TOR	x	x	x	198	3.45	1.13	18%	11th	Uncharacteristic 6 BB was reminiscent of 2018-19 Framber (14% BB)
5	Yu Darvish	SDP v STL	x	x	x	136	4.56	1.30	17%	9th	Bounced back beautifully off bumpy debut in Korea
6	Logan Webb	SFG at LAD	x	x	x	216	3.25	1.07	19%	2nd	Tough matchup but no chance I’m sitting Webb anywhere
7	Zac Gallen	ARI v NYY	x	x	x	210	3.47	1.12	20%	27th	NYY offense looks sharp early on, but we obviously ride w/the Milkman
8	Zach Eflin	TBR v TEX	x	x	x	177	3.50	1.02	23%	3rd	Tough follow-up to the opening dud, but he’s a rotation mainstay for now
9	Jesús Luzardo	MIA v LAA	x	x	x	178	3.58	1.21	21%	15th	Might have to go 9 IP to get a W given how poorly the pen has pitched thus far
10	Brayan Bello	BOS at OAK	x	x	x	157	4.24	1.34	13%	29th	Maybe this matchup can spur some Ks; should be a solid outing even if not
11	Casey Mize	DET at NYM	x	x	x	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	16th	Rode a big spring into a rotation spot and gets a soft landing in his 1st reg. season start since 4/14/22
12	Louie Varland	MIN at MIL	x	x	x	68	4.63	1.22	19%	24th	Standard Twins profile w/strong K%, great BB%, and HR issues
13	Reynaldo López	ATL at CHW	x	x	x	66	3.27	1.27	18%	30th	Great spot against his former team to kick off his return from the rotation
14	José Berríos	TOR at HOU	x	x	x	189	3.65	1.19	17%	7th	Understand passing in shallower formats, but I’m a long-time Berríos fan so I’m rolling him
15	Cole Irvin	BAL v KCR	x	x	x	77	4.42	1.28	14%	26th	Lighter matchups at home are exactly when we roll w/Irvin
16	Nestor Cortes	NYY at ARI		x	x	63	4.97	1.25	18%	13th	Not a muststart in shallower lgs, but at least a Team Streamer
17	Tyler Anderson	LAA at MIA		x	x	141	5.43	1.49	9%	21st	Impressive ST #s (28% K, 4% BB, 28% SwStr); can he hold some of those gains?
18	Adrian Houser	NYM v DET		x	x	111	4.12	1.39	13%	22nd	DET fast start has not been offensively driven so this is streamable for sure
19	Javier Assad	CHC v COL			x	109	3.05	1.23	12%	26th	Classic Rockie Road (shouts to Nick Pollack) stream option
20	Miles Mikolas	STL at SDP			x	201	4.78	1.32	11%	18th	Another tough draw after LAD to open & lack of Ks makes him a tough stream
21	Alec Marsh	KCR at BAL			x	74	5.69	1.56	13%	17th	After a nice ST, I’m open to gamble in weekly lgs to get the v. CHW on the wknd
22	Spencer Turnbull	PHI v CIN				31	7.26	1.68	6%	12th	On my watchlist, but CIN too scary for me
23	Graham Ashcraft	CIN at PHI				145	4.76	1.37	9%	8th	I need to see something before jumping on this rollercoaster again
24	Garrett Crochet	CHW v ATL				12	3.55	1.97	-2%	1st	Can’t start him v ATL, but he’ll likely become an all formats consideration if he stands tall here
25	Andrew Heaney	TEX at TBR				86	3.87	1.29	20%	5th	On my watchlist but even next wk’s 2-step is scary (at CIN/at BAL)
26	Alex Wood	OAK v BOS				147	4.15	1.38	14%	4th	Standard streamer and I’d rather find a better spot (gets v HOU/at HOU next wk… yikes!)
27	Jakob Junis	MIL v MIN				97	4.33	1.43	7%	8th	Might find some streaming spots at home, but this isn’t it
28	Kyle Freeland	COL at CHC				155	5.03	1.47	8%	12th	Free? Oh you’ll pay if you start him!

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

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