Starting Pitcher Chart – April 19th, 2024
Daily SP Chart archive
Decided to skip commentary on some of the obvious ones where I didn’t have anything terribly insightful to say.
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD v NYM | x | x | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 18th | |
| 2 | Joe Ryan | MIN v DET | x | x | x | 161 | 4.51 | 1.17 | 24% | 27th | |
| 3 | Freddy Peralta | MIL at STL | x | x | x | 165 | 3.86 | 1.12 | 23% | 24th | |
| 4 | Chris Sale | ATL v TEX | x | x | x | 102 | 4.30 | 1.13 | 23% | 25th | |
| 5 | Garrett Crochet | CHW at PHI | x | x | x | 12 | 3.55 | 1.97 | -2% | 13th | His bump v. CIN still came w/10 Ks, remains a must start while in the rotation |
| 6 | Spencer Turnbull | PHI v CHW | x | x | x | 31 | 7.26 | 1.68 | 6% | 30th | Even if the dud v. PIT has you tightening your thresholds w/him, this is still easily in play |
| 7 | Blake Snell | SFG v ARI | x | x | x | 180 | 2.25 | 1.19 | 18% | 2nd | He’s rounding into form, but I’m along for the ride if I paid that Top 100 pick |
| 8 | Nick Lodolo | CIN v LAA | x | x | x | 34 | 6.29 | 1.75 | 22% | 5th | Cheaper than Snell, but another one where you kinda committed to the ride, however bumpy |
| 9 | Jordan Montgomery | ARI at SFG | x | x | x | 188 | 3.20 | 1.19 | 15% | 14th | Everyone plays these situations their way, I’m inclined to start someone this good pretty easily |
| 10 | Justin Verlander | HOU at WSN | x | x | x | 162 | 3.22 | 1.13 | 15% | 5th | I don’t believe his MiLB #s mean he can’t be ready to go immediately upon returning to MLB |
| 11 | Jack Flaherty | DET at MIN | x | x | 144 | 4.99 | 1.58 | 13% | 29th | Bounced back from his dud v. OAK; all of the 2-x guys have 10-tm potential | |
| 12 | Brayan Bello | BOS at PIT | x | x | 157 | 4.24 | 1.34 | 13% | 13th | I respect PIT, I don’t yet fear them and as such, Bello is viable in 10s, too | |
| 13 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY v TBR | x | x | 159 | 4.64 | 1.35 | 15% | 21st | Guys like Flaherty/Bello/Schmidt are “your dudes” if you draft them, so I’m more often looking to get them in the lineup | |
| 14 | MacKenzie Gore | WSN v HOU | x | x | 136 | 4.42 | 1.40 | 16% | 3rd | Has “your dude” vibes, too, but a legitimately scary matchup so it’s dicier | |
| 15 | Tyler Alexander | TBR at NYY | x | x | 44 | 4.50 | 1.11 | 22% | 11th | I prefer Yariel on a per-inning basis, but like Alexander to go more IP | |
| 16 | Triston McKenzie | CLE v OAK | x | x | 16 | 5.06 | 1.56 | 4% | 28th | Trying to pitch thru an elbow tear (something MANY pitchers are doing, btw) which is scary, but if you can’t start him here, just cut him | |
| 17 | Yariel Rodriguez | TOR at SDP | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 9th | IP counts will be limited so if you’re win chasing, look elsewhere; imagine if he was 2nd part of a tandem start! | ||
| 18 | Quinn Priester | PIT v BOS | x | 50 | 7.74 | 1.70 | 4% | 23rd | Turning a corner? 35% K, 26% K-BB, 18% SwStr in 3 MiLB starts; small sample but enough to jump on it and see if he’s for real | ||
| 19 | Joe Boyle | OAK at CLE | x | 16 | 1.69 | 0.81 | 17% | 15th | First 3 starts perfectly outline the risk/reward: 10, 64, 58 GSv2s (GameScore Vol. 2) | ||
| 20 | Alec Marsh | KCR v BAL | x | 74 | 5.69 | 1.56 | 13% | 3rd | Start v. BAL looking more like a flash in the pan as opposed to continuation of a strong Spring Training | ||
| 21 | Jameson Taillon | CHC v MIA | x | 154 | 4.84 | 1.28 | 15% | 22nd | Not on the level of JV or Monty where I’m auto-starting once he’s healthy | ||
| 22 | Matt Waldron | SDP v TOR | x | 41 | 4.35 | 1.23 | 11% | 20th | Looks like a firm 5-and-dive which shrinks his margin for error | ||
| 23 | Tyler Anderson | LAA at CIN | 141 | 5.43 | 1.49 | 9% | 9th | Back on my radar as I think his 17% K rate will rise if the 14% SwStr holds, but not in CIN | |||
| 24 | Sean Manaea | NYM at LAD | 117 | 4.44 | 1.24 | 17% | 12th | I miiight’ve gotten frisky w/this one had he not been cooked by KCR | |||
| 25 | Kyle Gibson | STL v MIL | 192 | 4.73 | 1.32 | 13% | 2nd | It’s one thing to throw around low-20%s K rates, but 15% is brutal | |||
| 26 | Dean Kremer | BAL at KCR | 172 | 4.12 | 1.31 | 14% | 11th | I’m not dying to start non-studs with “at KCR” on the docket | |||
| 27 | Emerson Hancock | SEA at COL | 12 | 4.50 | 1.33 | 6% | 10th | Not taking this heavy-contact profile to Coors | |||
| 28 | Andrew Heaney | TEX at ATL | 147 | 4.15 | 1.38 | 14% | 8th | ||||
| 29 | A.J. Puk | MIA at CHC | 56 | 3.97 | 1.18 | 27% | 1st | I just haven’t seen anything to make me confident of a good start | |||
| 30 | Dakota Hudson | COL v SEA | 81 | 4.98 | 1.50 | 3% | 25th |
The chart includes their last season performance until we get some actual data for this year, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th and I’ll start to add the SP’s data when we start getting 4-5 starts for most guys), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them (notes will be more statistical-based once we get some sample to work with). Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Honestly? As much as I love McKenzie and am a Guards fan, you can’t start him with the way he’s been playing. He can’t find the zone at all. Looking at his pitch-by-pitch results in his last few starts, he’s been incapable of consistency. His release point as been all over the map as well.
The team should shut him down at least for a while. Right now, he’s only hurting himself.
I think that’s fair, I wouldn’t blame ANYONE for just cutting him at this juncture
My question is what to do with him in Dynasty? Seems too young and talented to just drop, but it’s hard to just keep him benched indefinitely.
I’d be trying to hold on in dynasty the best I can. if you HAVE to play to hold him and you’re contending, then you might have to move on, but otherwise, i’m OK w/him taking a spot
Of course he goes out and drops 1 run on 3 hits across 5 IP with 6 Ks. Granted, still walked 3 guys, but that’s not bad overall.
lol right??? that is SO baseball. the velo was still unimpressive, though, so i’m still not confident w/him in the rotation v. everyone
Not really as worried about the Velo, tbh. He’s kind of discount Shane Bieber; as long as he locates, the swing-and-miss on his breaking pitches makes things work. His increased spin on his fastball is a better sign imo. That doesn’t happen if things are going wrong.