Starting Pitcher Chart – April 14th
In past seasons I’ve done this Daily SP Chart down the stretch and invariably there are comments asking why I don’t do it all season. I’ve never really had a great answer for that so now I’m doing it!
Once the season gets going, the chart will include their performance over the last five starts (for the first few weeks, it’ll be their 2023 stats), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. The opponent wOBA will remain blank for a while until we get some data and because there is so much lineup turnover year-to-year, I’m not going to include last year’s mark. I’ll start including wOBA data on April 17th.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | 2022 STATS | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | TBR | at TOR | R | x | x | x | 2.84 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 16% K-BB | Still hasn’t walked a batter |
| Nestor Cortes | NYY | MIN | L | x | x | x | 2.44 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 20% K-BB | Looks fine after spring groin issue |
| Mahle moved to Saturday; Louie Varland in today… not streaming him anywhere | ||||||||
| Kodai Senga | NYM | at OAK | R | x | x | x | MLB ROOKIE | MIA 2x & OAK is a great way to start your MLB career |
| Sean Manaea | SFG | at DET | L | x | x | x | 4.96 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 16% K-BB | Early velo & SwStr spikes carried over from spring are exciting |
| Tanner Houck | BOS | LAA | R | x | x | x | 3.15 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 14% K-BB | Didn’t get a ton of hype this spring… time for a breakout season? |
| Charlie Morton | ATL | at KCR | R | x | x | x | 4.34 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 20% K-BB | KC & their 60 wRC+ vR could be the perfect remedy for his woes |
| Martín Pérez | TEX | at HOU | L | x | x | 2.89 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 12% K-BB | Hasn’t shown last yr’s GB%, but 11% SwStr is a career-best | |
| Justin Steele | CHC | at LAD | L | x | x | 3.18 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 15% K-BB | Love the arm, hate the matchup | |
| Patrick Sandoval | LAA | at BOS | L | x | x | 2.91 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 14% K-BB | Riding an insane .194 BABIP right now; 2% K-BB must improve | |
| Mike Clevinger | CHW | BAL | R | x | x | 4.33 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 12% K-BB | 8 Ks in 1st start, just 1 K in the other — BAL 3rd in K% vR | |
| Luis Garcia | HOU | TEX | R | x | x | 3.72 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 17% K-BB | BBs up, Ks down — is it struggles w/new delivery related to pitch clock? | |
| Brady Singer | KCR | ATL | R | x | x | 3.23 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 19% K-BB | SwStr down to 8% | |
| Tyler Wells | BAL | at CHW | R | x | x | 4.25 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 11% K-BB | Irvin’s demotion helps secure Wells’ spot when Bradish returns | |
| Taijuan Walker | PHI | at CIN | R | x | 3.49 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 13% K-BB | Standard streamer & while CIN is only 16th wOBA, trips there can be rough | ||
| Michael Wacha | SDP | MIL | R | x | 3.32 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 14% K-BB | Big 10 K effort at ATL garnered some attention | ||
| Trevor Rogers | MIA | ARI | L | x | 5.47 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 13% K-BB | Hasn’t made it 5 IP in either of his 2 GS | ||
| Noah Syndergaard | LAD | CHC | R | x | 3.94 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 11% K-BB | Can LAD rebuild him with even lower velo? (Down 1.5 to 93 mph) | ||
| Johan Oviedo | PIT | at STL | R | x | 3.21 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 13% K-BB | His 2 starts show the volatility of his skills w/Game Scores (v.2) of 76 and 20 | ||
| Cal Quantrill | CLE | at WSN | R | x | 3.38 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 11% K-BB | BABIP-fueled slow start or magic starting to wear off? | ||
| Marco Gonzales | SEA | COL | L | x | 4.13 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 7% K-BB | Rockie Road (shouts to Nick Pollack) gives almost anyone some juice | ||
| José Berríos | TOR | TBR | R | 5.23 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 14% K-BB | Only studs v. TBR at this point | |||
| Eric Lauer | MIL | at SDP | L | 3.69 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 15% K-BB | Velo down over 2 mph right now | |||
| Michael Lorenzen | DET | SFG | R | 4.24 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 10% K-BB | Could be managed tightly in season debut after his groin strain | |||
| Trevor Williams | WSN | CLE | R | 3.21 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 16% K-BB | No real fantasy juice to make him worth streaming | |||
| Connor Overton | CIN | PHI | R | 2.73 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 2% K-BB | Hasn’t made it 5 IP in either of his 2 GS | |||
| Jake Woodford | STL | PIT | R | 2.23 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 7% K-BB | Doesn’t miss bats which leaves him susceptible to any team | |||
| Madison Bumgarner | ARI | at MIA | L | 4.88 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 9% K-BB | There are no matchups where I’d feel safe with him | |||
| James Kaprielian | OAK | NYM | R | 4.23 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 7% K-BB | I just don’t see any real upside | |||
| Austin Gomber | COL | at SEA | L | 5.56 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 12% K-BB | I just don’t see any real upside |
this article series is great thanks for doing this