Shortstop 2024 Fantasy Rankings

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Shortstop is shaping up nicely this winter. Even cutting the guys who are added with the 5-game eligibility threshold we’re using, there are still a lot of interesting multi-eligible studs with major upside. The next wave is already making noise with some young risers carrying massive price tags despite some clear risk while a lot of the veterans come with stable floors. There is still some uncertainty at the position that I will address with updates throughout the rest of the winter.


Changelog

  • 2/22/2024 – Xander Bogaerts, Matt McLain, Tim Anderson, Gio Urshela profile and ranking updates
  • 2/15/2024 – No ranking changes, but wanted to update the ADP info
  • 1/30/2024 – Vaughn Grissom boost & write-up, Corey Seager sports hernia surgery news
  • 1/9/2024 – First Release

Ranking Methodology

  • ADP is based on 30-day rolling NFBC Draft Champions Leagues.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Foundational Stars

The cream of the crop, all 3 of these guys carry Top 10 ADPs. Betts won’t qualify at SS everywhere with just 16 games there, but what an amazing bonus in 5- and 10-gm qualification leagues.
Foundational Stars
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Mookie Betts LAD 2B/SS/OF 5 $28
2 Bobby Witt Jr. KCR SS 2 $31
3 Trea Turner PHI SS 12 $25

Are we living in a dream world? Mookie Betts – one of the best players in baseball – randomly earns 2B eligibility in all leagues (70 G) and SS in some (16) at age-30 making him an even stronger 1st round pick! It’s hard to get away from anyone but Acuña at #1, but I’m open to Betts as early as #2.

Bobby Witt Jr. is the top SS off the board in Fall/Winter drafts, though part of that is because Betts isn’t SS-eligible at the NFBC. He might still be the top dog even if Betts had the SS elig. on lock because Witt had a remarkable 30 HR, 49 SB season. He shaved 4 pts off his K% and boosted his AVG 22 pts to .276 in 694 PA. A repeat would be just fine, but I can’t rule out improvement for the 24-year old… he looks generational.

Trea Turner was one of the more heartwarming stories of 2023. He took a mid-.600s OPS and sub-.300 OBP into August in year 1 of a 13-year deal. Instead of berating one of their cornernstones and trying to make him feel worse than he already does, the Phillies fans made it a point to build him up with overwhelming support and it instantly paid dividends.

Over the final 48 gms, Turner was the guy we saw dominate the WBC, posting a .337/.389/.668 line with 16 HR and 9 SBs (in 9 tries) over 211 PA. And did his best to keep them going in October with a 1.033 OPS and 3 HR in 55 postseason PA. Year 1 of a huge deal is a difficult transition. It’s natural to put even more pressure on yourself when you’re given that kind of money and sometimes it’s too much which leads to a down season. Turner salvaged his with that hot stretch and I’d gladly take another 26 HR/30 SB ideally paired with a boost in AVG, closer to his .296 career (it was .266 in ’23).

Cornerstone Gems

Plenty of game-changing talent in this tier. You can get a mix of premium output across the 5 categories with some entrants carrying the upside to deliver in all 5.
Cornerstone Gems
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
4 Corey Seager TEX SS 25 $19
5 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 25 $18
6 Gunnar Henderson BAL 3B/SS 31 $15
7 Bo Bichette TOR SS 39 $20
10 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS ▼2 66 $11

You probably would’ve been surprised if I told you Corey Seager was going to lose 127 PA off his 2022 total yet still match the career-high 33 HR output. It makes you wonder what could’ve been had the 30-year old star not suffered hamstring and thumb injuries that cost about 6 wks of time. There’s a .300+/40+/100+/100+ MVP-type season in his bat, it’s just a matter of his body cooperating for a 150-gm workload. He usually does well enough in the games I do get that I’m willing to take the chance on his health and pay up for him at the draft table.

Jan 30th: He had sports hernia surgery that isn’t expected to be a major issue, but could yield a couple pick discount as any news like this often draws an overreaction in the winter as we’re starved for baseball news. I’ll gladly take even a 3-4 pick discount on his 2nd round ADP, but I could see it being upwards of 10 picks early on.

Can you have an underrated 30/30 season? Insofar as you can, Francisco Lindor did so, making his debut in that club with his first 30-HR season since 2019, which was the 3rd of 3 straight at the time. The league’s surge in SBs and depth at the position help explain why the season feels a bit unheralded. Maybe “quietly heralded” is a better description because his Top 25 ADP says that no one has missed how good he was in 2023.

I missed on Gunnar Henderson last year. There were a few “can’t-miss” youngsters coming into the season and while I certainly saw the path for Corbin Carroll’s breakout, I was more tepid on Henderson’s immediate dominance. A more impatient version of me might’ve started gloating 2 mos. into the season, as the young Oriole took a .201/.332/.370 line into June. Alas, there was 2/3rds of the season left and he made the most of it with a .276/.322/.535 line that included 23 HR and 8 SBs in 100 gms (438 PA). He split his season at 3B and SS giving him that crucial eligibility that includes CI and MI where applicable. More of the same works and there’s an avenue for AVG improvement to make him even more well-rounded.

OK so maybe the 25-for-26 SB rate in 2021 was just a great season for Bo Bichette and not his development into one of the premier power/speed guys in the league. He is 18-for-29 (62%) since 2022 including just 5 SBs last season. That’s fine, but let’s not forget that he’s a .290+ AVG/20+ HR bat with solid R/RBI so even if we only get another 5 SBs, he’s still a worthy Top 40ish pick.

I’m a huge Matt McLain fan and even see enough between him and teammate EDLC to make them the tier split point. Both impressed in their debut seasons, but I like McLain a bit more for 2024, especially given their varied price points. While he did have just a 0.27 BB/K in his 403 MLB PA, he had a strong 0.62 in 728 MiLB PA. His plate skills give him a stronger floor than Elly and much better AVG upside which we saw in 2023 even with McLain’s plate skills lagging (.290 to .235 in AVG). McLain has a .300/30/30/100/100 season well within his range of outcomes. Feb. 22nd: The oblique that ended his season early last year is still bothering him which could limit him a bit in spring. I’m still a fan, but moving him down a couple spots.

Power/Speed Upside

Yes, some of my tier names are pretty self-explanatory. This group is a bit unproven, hence the “upside” tag, but they’ve all shown something at the big leauge level worth buying into and I’m comfortable paying the price on most of them.
Power/Speed Upside
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
11 Elly De La Cruz CIN 3B/SS 27 $11
12 Anthony Volpe NYY SS 136 $4
13 CJ Abrams WSN SS 40 $12
15 Ha-Seong Kim SDP 2B/3B/SS 88 $4
16 Oneil Cruz PIT SS 83 $8
17 Trevor Story BOS SS 172 $10

Don’t get me wrong, Elly De La Cruz’s upside is like 30/60 with a competent AVG and tons of R/RBI. It’s just that his downside is a trip back to Triple-A and while I can’t say there’s no way McLain could suffer a similar fate, his chances of it are much smaller. EDLC was blazing hot for the first 30 gms of his career (.325 AVG, .887 OPS, 4 HR, 16 SBs in 135 PA), but it was hard to miss the .441 BABIP, 29% K, and 6% BB rates that suggested the regression could be severe… and it was!

Over his final 68 gms, he hit just .191/.272/.355 in 292, though with 9 HR and 19 SBs (21/45 full season pace) which shows that he can still deliver fantasy value even when slumping. The question is how much of a slump will the Reds accept with their depth of talent? I’m really excited for the 22-year old switch-hitting phenom, but I just can’t pay the Top 25 pricetag that is required to get him in Fall/Winter drafts.

Anthony Volpe’s rookie season was a grind and at times it was hard not to wonder if he’d have been better served by being in Triple-A, but he perservered, logging a 20/20 season and Gold Glove win. Remember, defense was an open question even when he was the star of Spring Training. While I’m eating L’s, I’ll point out that I favored Oswald Peraza specifically due to his perceived glove advantage over Volpe with bats that I didn’t see too far apart. More on Peraza later. Volpe’s 28% K rate was 13th in MLB and conspired with his 127th ranked BABIP (.259) to yield the 3rd-lowest AVG among qualified hitters at .209 in 601 PA. I love that he was allowed to push through a difficult debut and see an easy path to growth in 2024, even with just some simple BABIP regression. At pick-132, he’s a worthy gamble that won’t bury your team even if he doesn’t take a major step forward.

CJ Abrams was another case of not judging a player’s season too quickly. Of course, that doesn’t mean you can blindly hold everyone and just hope they go off in the second half. To that end, I don’t blame anyone who cut Abrams in any mixed league type. He took a .230/.276/.385 line into July with 7 HR/9 SB (16/20 season pace) and was no doubt on many waiver wires. He became the hottest pickup in July and used that as a springboard for a .752 OPS, 11 HR, and MLB-high 38 SBs in 345 PA from July 1st on (23/79 full season pace). While it is dangerous to extrapolate half season samples like this, I do believe he is a legitimate 20/60 threat. There’s still some AVG risk, but another 600 PA season should deliver a quality HR/SB combo. The market agrees in a big way with a Top 40 ADP that might continue to rise as offseason hype builds.

Ha-Seong Kim topped his previous career high in SBs by July 1st with 13 before an explosive 2nd half that saw him tack on 25 more and finish 6th in the league. A solid 4-pt. jump in HR/FB plus a career-high 626 PA aided him to 17 HRs, an excellent cap on his breakout season. I’d project his HRs closer to the 11 from 2022, but I still think he could boost the AVG to .275+, especially if he runs a bit hotter with his BABIP (.287 career; .306 in 2023).

It would’ve been so nice to see Oneil Cruz get that first season of work under his belt last, but a disastrous broken leg ended his season after just 9 gms. He is still just 25 years old, but it is a pivotal season as he remains pretty expensive in the fantasy market (85 ADP) for someone with just 410 MLB PA under his belt. It’s hard not to draw comparison between Cruz and EDLC given their size and incredible power/speed skills so if I’m going to bet on this skillset, I’ll take the 4 round discount with Cruz.

We knew coming into 2023 that it was going to be a washout for Trevor Story as he worked his way back from elbow surgery. He returned in early August and while he managed a modest 48 wRC+, it was nice to see him take advantage of the new SB environment as he went 10-for-13 in 168 PA. I’m not willing to say his power is gone based on a small sample while returning from injury. With an offseason to fully heal, he should return to the 20-HR realm with a good chance at his first 30-SB season ever, too.

Multi-Category Contributors

Another easy one… it’s just a way of separating out the guys who might not have both the HR and SB but add enough in one or more of AVG, R, RBI to avoid the dreaded one-trick pony outlook.
Multi-Category Contributors
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
8 Xander Bogaerts SDP SS ▲1 112 $11
9 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 66 $14
14 Dansby Swanson CHC SS 123 $9
18 Willy Adames MIL SS 178 $10
19 Tommy Edman STL 2B/SS/OF 169 $6
20 Thairo Estrada SFG 2B/SS 134 $6
22 Jeremy Peña HOU SS 213 $6
27 Carlos Correa MIN SS 251 $4
28 J.P. Crawford SEA SS 274 $0
30 Jackson Holliday BAL SS 210 -$3
31 Geraldo Perdomo ARI 2B/3B/SS 432 -$12

Who saw Xander Bogaerts taking full advantage of the new SB rules? He hadn’t reached double-digit SBs since 2017 before dropping a spicy 19-for-21 SB rate on the league last year. In fact, he was 1 HR & SB shy of a 20/20 campaign. His 3-yr low in RBI (58) was the primary reason he missed a Top 10 finish at the position and part of that was likely the overall weirdness with SD last yr. He’s the hitting version of a workhorse — which I guess can still just be a workhorse — with 600+ PA in each of the last 4 full seasons. Piling up gobs of playing time with a bankable 120-130 wRC+ is never a bad idea, especially at a post-100 ADP. Feb. 22nd: The Padres are moving him to 2B so he will qualify there shortly into the season and add another bit of value to his profile.

I talked throughout 2023 about how Nico Hoerner was a discovery for me. I just had a blind spot with him and never really gave him the deep dive he deserved. I ranked him around his ADP and moved on. I ended up watching a bunch of early Cubs game due to my interest in a couple of their starters and some intriguing matchups they had and I just became enamored with Hoerner. It helps that it ended up being the best month of his season (.804 OPS, 2 HR, 10 SB). While he does lack the power I generally like out of my top 5-6 rd picks (9 HR per 600 PA), I’m willing to buy into the premium SB/AVG/R profile as long as my first couple bats top flight power bats. Those categories aren’t as bankable as power, but Hoerner has done enough in his 1583 PA to give me confidence in his baseline and buy him for the right roster builds.

A couple guys in this tier will likely have breakout seasons, but identifying who is the tough part. Dansby Swanson has lived in this tier throughout his career save his incredible 2022 season when he was one of the breakouts: .277 AVG, 25 HR, 18 SB, 96 RBI, 99 R in 696 PA. It proved to be a high end outcome and not a new level, though his 22/9/80/81 debut in CHC was just fine. A volatile BABIP (.350, .297, .348, .297) has his AVG bouncing up and down (.274, .248, .277, .244), but that inconsistency seems to be covered in his fair 125 ADP.

Willy Adames enjoyed a career best 0.43 K/BB (league avg is 0.38) but suffered a brutal .259 BABIP so the plate skill improvements didn’t help his AVG. A 7 pt. drop in HardHit rate was a likely factor in the BABIP fall off, though a .242 xBA was his highest since 2019. He is the 20th SS off the board which is a very fair price for a viable shot at a return to .240/30.

Tommy Edman was a great bet to take advantage of the new SB rules and spike a new career high, but he lost a month to a wrist issue which cost him 102 PA off his 2022 total and left him 6 SBs shy of a new high watermark. I wonder if he might’ve been dealing with the wrist for some time prior to the IL stint as he hit just .237 through July 6th before jumping back up to .263 (right in line with his .265 career mark) after returning from the injury. He is still triple eligible in all formats and fits most builds as a 9th-11th round pick (in 15 teamers).

I whiffed on Thairo Estrada last year. I was particularly low on his power output and he matched his 14 HR from 2022 in 11 fewer PA (530). Maybe he’s the new Jean Segura? That seems pretty fair for pick-141.

Jeremy Peña doubled his BB/K to 0.33 and I wonder if focusing more on his plate profile played any role in his summer power outage (6 Apr HR; 4 from May on). Maybe it was a neck issue that cost him 5 games to open July. He hit just 1 from that point forward. After a 22-HR debut, he was down to just 10 as his Barrel rate tumbled to 4% and his GB rate spiked to 54% (+8 from ’22). The tough part about the strong debut is that we often anchor expectations to it and move away from a player if there’s a dip in his sophomore season. It’s not hard to envision him maintaining the plate improvements while bringing back some of the 2022 power (especially if the neck played a role and is now healed). At his price (218 ADP), he can essentially repeat 2023 and be “worth” the pick.

Carlos Correa battled plantar fasciitis throughout the season before it eventually ended his season on September 20th. I think it’s a pretty straight line between that injury and his down season. The problem is: will it be better in 2024? Plantar fasciitis played a major role in Albert Pujols’s descent and put his 100 wRC+ from ages 35-42 in a more forgiving light, especially if he is 2 yrs older than listed. At least the market isn’t overrating Correa with a fair 255 ADP that is appealing enough to gamble on without hurting you if he just stumbles to a repeat of his 2023.

At the risk of being a wet blanket, I have to point out that none of the advanced metrics buy into J.P. Crawford’s power spike. In fairness, a lot of them are different ways of saying the same thing, but it just doesn’t look bankable. His 19 HR were more than he had in 1522 PA from 2020-22 (17) so it was very uncharacteristic and early projections have him in the low double-digit range (12-14). That would put pressure on his AVG (.266) or R (94) to be at or near last year’s level since he doesn’t run and it’s hard to rack up RBIs from the leadoff spot. It’s always hard to predict AVG spikes, but his excellent knowledge of the strikezone and strong line drive swing seems ripe for a .275+ season with a little BABIP fortune which could counter the potential HR dip.

The beauty of these rankings being a living document is that I can react to any news that fundamentally alters Jackson Holliday’s 2024 outlook. We are in a different era and these contracts before a debut are becoming more common. If Holliday signs one, his 210 ADP will soar. Jackson Chourio has jumped nearly 60 picks in Fall/Winter drafts since signing his $82 million dollar deal and Holliday’s jump would no doubt match or exceed that with a deal in hand. He dominated a 4-level season, though got just 18 gms at Triple-A and had his worst output there (.796 OPS). Roster size and whether or not your league has specific prospect spots will be a key driver in determining his 2024 value.

At present, Geraldo Perdomo is the classic “better in real life” player with modest outputs in the fantasy relevant categories despite a nifty 3 WAR All-Star season. Don’t sleep on the BB/K gains, though, as it jumped 25 pts to 0.74 (14th in MLB, min. 450 PA). It made him a helluva lot better than the 60 wRC+ guy we saw in 2022, but he ranked just 31st as a fantasy SS. While he is only 24 years old and could definitely develop beyond what we’ve seen thus far, it’d be really shocking if had a major HR spike as all of his power percentiles at Baseball Savant are in the 5th percentile or worse… three of them are in the 1st percentile and this is NOT something you want to be “1st” in. I could see another AVG spike with 20-something SBs. Sprinkle in a little HR/FB luck and he’s got a shot at .270/8/25 with 80+ R.

Double-Double Gems

I’m sorry, I really wasn’t super creative on these tier titles. These are strong bets for 10+ HR and SB with the upside to join one of the categories above.
Double-Double Gems
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
21 Ezequiel Tovar COL SS 190 $7
24 Zach Neto LAA SS 270 $6
33 Willi Castro MIN 2B/3B/SS/OF 292 -$5
34 Amed Rosario TBR 2B/SS 341 -$14
36 Chris Taylor LAD 3B/SS/OF 389 -$9
38 Masyn Winn STL SS 365 -$1
39 Javier Báez DET SS 394 -$3
41 Liover Peguero PIT 2B/SS 394 -$10
42 Oswald Peraza NYY 2B/3B/SS ▼6 538 -$17

I wasn’t buying Ezequiel Tovar last year as I had other targets in his area (Kim and Stott primarily), but I certainly understood the thought process if you were a fan. An everyday SS with a bit of pop and speed playing half his games in Coors could easily spike a .280/20/20 season. He went .253/15/11 and while it wasn’t the breakout you dreamt on, it was good enough to be the 15th ranked SS. That upside still exists and he carries a near-200 ADP.

Another fast riser in the LAA system, Zach Neto skipped Triple-A before debuting, though eventually got some games there on a rehab stint. In fact, oblique and back injuries each cost him a month, limiting him to 84 gms. He hit just .157 from the first instance of the back issue (July 22nd) through the end of the year. Prior to that, he was hitting .252/.328/.432 with 8 HR and 5 SB in 233 PA (21 HR/13 SB full season pace). Neto’s part of a cluster that runs 12-15 deep of guys I would gladly put in my MI slot.

The difficulty of being a utilityman is that you never know when your number will be called or where it will be called. That can lead to sporadic production and a lot of numbers left on the bench or waiver wire. That was the case for Willi Castro as he no doubt logged time for multiple teams in most leagues. A bevy of injuries in MIN had Castro playing 40+ gms at 3B, LF, and CF plus another 10 at 2B and 8 at SS. An injury of his own sidelined him for the bulk of August but he returned to close with a bang: 4 HR/4 SB and an excellent .948 OPS in 94 PA. He will still enter 2024 in the utility role unless the Twins can find a way to move Jorge Polanco this winter. The lengthy injury histories throughout the MIN lineup should allow Castro to carve out a 4th straight season of at least 390 PA.

Amed Rosario felt like a lock for a 4th straight double-double season (2020 excluded) with a chance at setting a new career high in SBs (24 in 2018). Instead, he was emblematic of CLE’s offensive regression eventually leading to him being dealt for Noah Syndergaard at the deadline. Things didn’t get much better with LAD and now we have to wait for him to see sign to have read on his 2024 outlook.

Chris Taylor is no doubt regressing a bit as he enters his 30s, but he remains a strong utilityman with natural eligibility (20+ gms) at 3B/SS/OF and a pair of double-double seasons on his ledger despite averaging just 118 gms after checking in at 142 per yr in the 4 full seasons from 2017-21. You should have AVG protection by the time you are near Taylor’s 350 ADP, but just know that low-.200s is definitely in play with his 34% K rate the last 2 seasons (2nd highest in MLB, min. 800 PA).

Masyn Winn is so tooled up that there was some flirtation with him being a 2-way player before STL committed to him as the SS of the future. He has a huge arm, premium speed, some pop, and nice contact profile. He didn’t show much of that in his 137 MLB PA during a late-season run, but i’m not holding that against the 22-year old. The runway is cleared for him to take over SS and with 500+ PA, a double-double is well within reach even if the slash lags behind a bit.

Gee, who could’ve possibly seen Javier Báez’s bat falling off a cliff with those plate skills? Oh, everyone? OK yeah, that makes sense. He is still a strong defender and thus will play damn near everyday so he could get the SB he missed in 2022 or the HR he missed in 2023 that kept him shy of a double-double in those seasons.

Liover Peguero is one of my sneaky gut feel guys for 2024. He only had a 74 wRC+ in 214 PA so I can’t point to a bunch of metrics for support, but he did essentially skip Triple-A (7 gms before call-up) so he was learning on the job. He had 15 HR/33 SB per 600 PA as a minor leaguer, the bulk of that work being 839 PA at Double-A. If PIT commits to him as the everyday 2B and he improves upon those 2023 numbers, then a nice little 12/20-type season is on the table. That doesn’t really move the needle in shallower leagues, but can be a useful plugin in deeper leagues.

Oswald Peraza flopped in his limited opportunities (53 wRC+ in 191 PA) running between AAA and MLB last year. He put up 14 HR/16 SB and a 108 wRC+ in AAA which isn’t too far off what I think he could do as a big leaguer. He is still just 24 years old and while there is rightly a lot of attention on Anthony Volpe, don’t forget Peraza, especially as a 35-year old DJ LeMahieu sits ahead of him at 2B with 63 games missed due to injury over the last 2 seasons.

Late AVG or PWR… rarely both

Yeah, I kept it REALLY simple on these… basically we’re just whittling away at the category reliability. We’re down to a group that has some punch or a good bat-to-ball profile.
Late AVG or PWR… rarely both
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
23 Tim Anderson MIA SS ▲3 356 -$3
25 Vaughn Grissom BOS SS 227 $2
26 Luis Rengifo LAA 2B/3B/SS/OF 241 $1
29 Orlando Arcia ATL SS 329 $0
32 Maikel Garcia KCR 3B/SS 214 -$2
37 Gio Urshela DET 1B/3B/SS ▲5 580 -$14
43 Marco Luciano SFG SS -$12
45 Enrique Hernández FA 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF 587 -$17

Let’s revisit and get more into Tim Anderson when he signs as that will have a major impact on how I feel about him for 2024. Feb. 22nd Update: He signed a 1-yr, $5 million dollar deal with MIA which is a perfect spot for him to play everday and reestablish himself as one of the premier shortstops in the game. I’m not sure if he will get all the way back to his peak levels, but I’ve had no problem drafting him at his mid-300s ADP and even a 40-50 pick boost now that he’s signed won’t dissuade from taking the gamble that he can deliver some late round AVG.

Vaughn Grissom was stuck in Triple-A for the bulk of 2023 as the Braves didn’t believe in his glove up the middle and Orlando Arcia was more than adequate with an All-Star campaign of his own. Now in Boston after the Chris Sale trade, Grissom has an avenue to everyday playing time as the starting 2B. He doesn’t qualify there yet, but that will be a nice little bonus when he can alternate between SS and 2B (as well as MI in leagues that use it, of course). He has been great in the minors, including a healthy 135 wRC+ with a near-equal K and BB rates (14%, 12%) in 468 PA. He’s got a little punch and solid speed which could net something like a 12 HR/18 SB-type season if he can amass 520+ PA.

I guess it depends what we consider a positive for Late AVG because as I’m looking closer, I’m realizing that Luis Rengifo might feasibly deliver both with near-equal outputs the last 2 yrs. He was 1 HR shy of a second straight .264 AVG/17 HR/6 SB and I’d probably conisder a .264 AVG pretty solid at pick 255. More importantly, is LAA going to stick with him atop the order? He posted a sharp .356/.412/.644 line in 114 PA from the leadoff spot and while Ohtani leaving obviously hurts that lineup, it’s not terrible when (if?) healthy so I’d gladly take their leadoff hitter.

A surprise All-Star last year, Orlando Arcia gave ATL a solid 2-win season thanks to a league average and strong glove. His first BABIP north of .300 since 2018 helped him to a .264 AVG along with 17 HR, making him a nice deep league MI or injury fill-in for shallower leagues. Steamer brings his AVG back down to .251 with another 17 HRs, a projection that makes sense to me.

Maikel Garcia only has 3B eligibility in leagues that require 20 gms and he obviously won’t get much time at SS this year with Witt there but you can still slot him there in leagues w/more open requirements (14 gms at SS). His 84 wRC+ doesn’t jump off the page, though a solid .272 AVG and 23 SBs in 515 PA give him some intrigue.

A fractured pelvis cut Gio Urshela down just 62 games into the season which isn’t an ideal way to enter free agency. He didn’t need surgery so the expectation is that he’ll be ready, but we can take a closer look after he lands somewhere. Feb. 22nd: Signed with DET for a 1-yr, $1.5 million dollar deal which is a great landing spot for his playing time potential. They lacked an obvious 3B option and while guys like Zach McKinstry, Matt Vierling, and prospect Justyn-Henry Malloy could get some chances at the hot corner, Urshela is a year removed a solid full season (144 gms) manning the position in MIN. With just 9 gms there last year, he doesn’t qualify at SS in many leagues but this move no doubt improves his outlook.

Marco Luciano did average 20 HR/10 SB per 600 PA in the minors so if SFG just turns him loose with the job from day 1, he could force his way to a double-double via volume and make himself a better fit for the tier above. But if he had a guaranteed 600 PA and I had to pick one thing to come from his profile, I’d bet on a mid-teens HR output.

Enrique Hernández doesn’t have a great home within these tiers nor has he signed with a team yet so we can assess his outlook more when that happens.

Speed Only

If you’re desperate for cheap speed, these guys might be able to hook you up as a short term injury replacement during the season. The ideal outcome here is of course Berti’s 2022, but obviously we can never go in expecting that from anyone.
Speed Only
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
35 Brice Turang MIL 2B/SS 330 -$7
40 Jon Berti MIA 2B/3B/SS/OF 413 -$8
44 Mauricio Dubón HOU 2B/SS/OF 484 -$14
46 Vidal Bruján MIA 2B/SS/OF 635 -$14

Barring some major unforeseen development, Brice Turang will never be a plus bat, but his glove will earn him chance and at his best he could volume his way to a 10 HR/35 SB season.

Jon Berti will always have that 2022 SB crown! He actually hit quite a bit better with a 54 pt. jump in AVG and solid 103 wRC+ yet he wasn’t nearly as valuable in fantasy with a 25 SB dip to just 16. He’s only SS/3B eligible in 20-gm qualification leagues.

Mauricio Dubón had solid super utilityman season that saw him register a career-high 492 PA and earn the UT Gold Glove, though he will only qualify at SS in 5-gm qualification leagues.

When a post-hype prospect goes from TBR to MIA, it feels like a big brother to little brother hand me down. And hey, sometimes hand-me-downs are awesome, but even as avid Vidal Bruján supporter in the past, I’m pretty tepid on his chances to do much with the Marlins.


Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Mookie Betts LAD 2B/SS/OF 5 $28
2 Bobby Witt Jr. KCR SS 2 $31
3 Trea Turner PHI SS 12 $25
4 Corey Seager TEX SS 25 $19
5 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 25 $18
6 Gunnar Henderson BAL 3B/SS 31 $15
7 Bo Bichette TOR SS 39 $20
8 Xander Bogaerts SDP SS ▲1 112 $11
9 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 66 $14
10 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS ▼2 66 $11
11 Elly De La Cruz CIN 3B/SS 27 $11
12 Anthony Volpe NYY SS 136 $4
13 CJ Abrams WSN SS 40 $12
14 Dansby Swanson CHC SS 123 $9
15 Ha-Seong Kim SDP 2B/3B/SS 88 $4
16 Oneil Cruz PIT SS 83 $8
17 Trevor Story BOS SS 172 $10
18 Willy Adames MIL SS 178 $10
19 Tommy Edman STL 2B/SS/OF 169 $6
20 Thairo Estrada SFG 2B/SS 134 $6
21 Ezequiel Tovar COL SS 190 $7
22 Jeremy Peña HOU SS 213 $6
23 Tim Anderson MIA SS ▲3 356 -$3
24 Zach Neto LAA SS 270 $6
25 Vaughn Grissom BOS SS 227 $2
26 Luis Rengifo LAA 2B/3B/SS/OF 241 $1
27 Carlos Correa MIN SS 251 $4
28 J.P. Crawford SEA SS 274 $0
29 Orlando Arcia ATL SS 329 $0
30 Jackson Holliday BAL SS 210 -$3
31 Geraldo Perdomo ARI 2B/3B/SS 432 -$12
32 Maikel Garcia KCR 3B/SS 214 -$2
33 Willi Castro MIN 2B/3B/SS/OF 292 -$5
34 Amed Rosario TBR 2B/SS 341 -$14
35 Brice Turang MIL 2B/SS 330 -$7
36 Chris Taylor LAD 3B/SS/OF 389 -$9
37 Gio Urshela DET 1B/3B/SS ▲5 580 -$14
38 Masyn Winn STL SS 365 -$1
39 Javier Báez DET SS 394 -$3
40 Jon Berti MIA 2B/3B/SS/OF 413 -$8
41 Liover Peguero PIT 2B/SS 394 -$10
42 Oswald Peraza NYY 2B/3B/SS ▼6 538 -$17
43 Marco Luciano SFG SS -$12
44 Mauricio Dubón HOU 2B/SS/OF 484 -$14
45 Enrique Hernández FA 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF 587 -$17
46 Vidal Bruján MIA 2B/SS/OF 635 -$14





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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montrealmember
1 month ago

Good job on rankings. My advice is unless you are going big for Turner, Betts or Bobby Witt I would wait until the end and pick up a pair of $1 shortstops. There are quite a few that are quite decent full time players and save your money for outfield or pitching. BTW no to Correa. Overrated and injured. You can do better for a buck. Starting with Peguero or JP Crawford.