Second Base ADP Market Report: 12/12/21

With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being draft on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day.

 

Top 100 Players Rising

None

 

Top 100 Players Falling

None

 

Top 200 Players Rising

Max Muncy (-10.87)- See the piece in this series on first basemen. 

Ty France (-14.93)- See the piece in this series on first basemen. 

Eduardo Escobar (+10.58)- Escobar’s rise is likely due to his signing a deal in New York. However, that was not the best of landing spots for him. He moves from the friendly confines of Milwaukee and Chicago to a worse ball park in New York and likely is hitting seventh in the revamped Mets lineup. I like his eligibility, but am probably fading him at the price. 

 

Top 200 Players Falling

None

 

Top 300 Players Rising

Josh Rojas (+18.36)- It is a bit surprising to see Rojas rising. He finally got full time paying time, but it didn’t translate into a breakout. I love his triple eligibility and the fact he is projected to lead off in Arizona, but the StatCast data is pretty gross. I am still a fan, but i he continues to rise, I will be priced out

Enrique Hernandez (+16.03)- Hernandez is likely rising because of his huge postseason where he hit five home runs in 11 games with a .408/.423/.837 triple slash. To be honest, I fell for that flash as well in  my initial ranks, but since then I have come to my senses and dropped him accordingly. I like the dual eligibility, but he has a bland profile in spite of hitting on top of a potent lineup. 

 

Top 300 Players Falling

Garrett Hampson (-12.97)- It is weird to see Hampson falling considering he is likely to benefit from the Rockies losing Story. He hit first or second in nine of the last 12 games he started for Colorado down the stretch. I know he struggled a bit in the second half, but I have always been a Hampson guy and he is finally getting his opportunity to play. 

 

Others of Note-

Luis Arraez (+37.09)- Arraez is rising with the likelihood that he may have a full time role and be leading off for the Twins. I have always liked Arraez as a cheap average play and with his triple eligibility, he is even more enticing this season. However, if he continues to rise, he may start to become less valuable with little to no power and speed. 

Nick Solak (-41.96)- Solak’s drop is a bit weird considering the amount of people I have seen talking about how well he played after his return from the minors. However, with recent signings of Marcus Semien and Corey Seager, his options for a full time role become much murkier. He could easily turn into a short side platoon player and while he will gain back outfield eligibility at some point, he enters the season at second base only. 

Adam Frazier (+24.86)- Frazier is rising in the ADP after being traded to the Mariners this offseason. While he should be hitting high in the lineup to start the season, if the lineup improves he would likely be the first moved down and there are real concerns about how mediocre he was after being traded to San Diego midseason. He lost outfield eligibility in most formats as well and really isn’t special enough to draft if the price goes much higher. 

Rougned Odor (+99.51)- Odor’s price going up is understandable considering he is still going outside the top 500 picks. He signed a deal with the Orioles and if he can make even decent contact, he could be amazing in Camden. It is a big if, but this late, it’s a fun gamble. 

Robinson Cano (-68.44)- It is a little surprising to see Cano drop considering he is projected to be the second baseman for the Mets in 2022. It may be the signing of Escobar making people think he will be the odd man out, but with his contract, it seems likely they will give him first go at it.