Scheming For Relief: Scribner, Rosscup and Martin
Welcome back to “Scheming for Relief.” Again this week we’re looking to for a handful of players that you could slot into your relief pitcher slots in holds or solds (saves + holds) leagues, but this week we’re going to dig a little deeper. Knowing that most standard leagues may not value holds or solds (holds + saves), I looked for players owned in one percent or less in both the Yahoo! and ESPN games.
To qualify for the chart relievers needed at least five appearances, at least one hold, a K%-BB% greater or equal to 10%, an ERA under 4.00 and a WHIP under 1.50.
As always, I’ll list ownership in both Yahoo! and ESPN, simply because those are the outlets I frequent the most.
Here’s three of the names that search uncovered that we have yet to speak about and could be available in your leagues:
Evan Scribner | Athletics | 1% Y!, .1% E
RIght-handed reliever Evan Scribner is 0-0 with a 1.38 ERA and a 0.69 WHIP in ten trips to the bump. He’s notched two holds and also boasts an impressive 28.3% K%-BB% in 13 frames. The Athletics have used the 29-year-old in a variety of situations thus far in ‘15 — Scribner has taken the ball for a minimum of two-thirds of an inning to a maximum of three-and-two-thirds innings between the fourth and ninth-innings — but, most frequently we’ve seen him in the eighth-inning of close games. Although there’s just two holds under his belt so far, the usage bodes fairly well for those hoping for holds going forward.
Scribner’s velocity on each of his offerings does appear to be down a tick from last season’s readings, but overall, they seem to be pretty in-line with his career velocity. He’s still missing more bats than he has in his career (15% SwStr%) — if you’re willing to look beyond the small sample — providing hope that the spike in strikeouts is for real. Also, when looking further into his current plate discipline numbers, we see that Scribner is nailing the first pitch strike (80.4% F-Strike%) and causing batters to chase at pitches outside the zone (40% O-Swing%) better than he ever has in a single season and a chunk better than his career rates.
Zac Rosscup | Cubs | 1% Y!, .2% E
The 26-year-old southpaw is 1-0 with two holds, a 1.04 ERA and a 0.46 WHIP in eight appearances for the Cubbies. Of the three names in this column, Rosscup owns the highest K%-BB% which comes in at an impressive 32.3%. He’s missing more bats (15.2% SwStr%) than he ever has, which could be due to the spike in his slider’s velocity and the increase in frequency in which he’s using it. His fourseamer has actually induced more raw whiffs (12) than the slide-piece (11), but he’s also using that pitch significantly more resulting in the difference in whiff rates for each offering. All that aside, I do like Rosscup at least for a short-term addition/stream in deeper leagues that reward holds. Take advantage of the strikeouts, ratios and the scab wins when they come along.
Chris Martin | Yankees | 1% Y!, .1% E
Martin’s 2.45 ERA missed the ideal mark for our chart here, but his 1.65 FIP indicates that number could come down close to a full point between now and the end of the season. The right-hander does have a save to his name along with two holds, but he’s been used seven times with the Yankees trailing, so we can’t be sure that he’ll continue to pad that holds category. However, he’s kept fine ratios, including a 0.82 WHIP, and does boast a 24.4% K%-BB% which could definitely help your team out in a deeper holds or solds (saves + holds) format.
Here’s the chart I used for my research. And here’s a direct link if you’d like to download it.
In addition to contributing to the RotoGraphs blog, you can find Alan at his own site, TheFantasyFix.com and follow his nonsense on Twitter @TheFantasyFix.
i guess chris hatcher didn’t qualify bec he doesn’t have any holds yet? i think he’s in line for some, and his K rate (39.5%) and swinging strike rate (18.5%) are sick. what do you make of him?
oh, i guess the 7.56 ERA might have something to do with that as well. 🙂 but his FIP and xFIP are both under 2.10, which matters a lot more. maybe the criteria aren’t the greatest for small sample sizes?
I do like Hatcher. And you’re right, he didn’t make the chart due to the ERA, but I’ll look at guys with a reasonable FIP like his 1.39 next time. He wouldn’t have been written up today either because he’s owned in 9% of leagues and I was looking for guys near 1% or less. Appreciate you reading, have a great weekend.
thanks for the reply! i had no idea he was that widely owned already.
I am a big fan of Hatcher after watching him pitch. I’ve combined him with Yimi in my holds league for devastating K effect.
brandon maurer vs. any of these guys?
picked up scribner the other day. he has given up 2 homers already, which almost scared me off as the league has a hr allowed category
i think it would have to be a really deep league to reach for these guys. In my 12-team holds and saves+holds leagues the bottom tier of ownership for RP’s is hovering around 10%.
I would love to see a weekly breakdown on usage based on if the RP’s are brought in with a lead or not. You mentioned it briefly and I feel like that is a more important cut-off factor than low ownership rate.
Good to know, appreciate the feedback. Will try to include more inning usage data here and in the Bullpen Report going forward.
Does Zach McCallister have a future on this list?
Scribbles has utilized a new-ish cutter this season. He worked on it in the minors of last season and he’s used it fairly often. It’s a solid third pitch to go with his fastball/curve combo.
I love these…keep it coming.
For me, I’m excited about this column because I play exclusively in Holds and Solds leagues. It’s a great idea and resource. However, given the dearth of literature on Holds strategy I would be totally OK if the column went less obscure and just tried to describe and predict who were and were going to be the most valuable Holds guys at present and going forward.
Ya I dont think you have to dig too deep for the holds.