Rotographs Rankings First Run – Relievers

Some of this is being repeated from the Primer piece that went up this morning. 

We’re bringing them to you earlier this year, but that also means that they’re far from set in stone so take that into consideration as you peruse them. There are still strong arms on the free agent market, let alone all the moving and shaking that happens once players start reporting to camp.

We’re using Yahoo! eligibility requirements which is 5 starts or 10 appearances. These rankings assume the standard 5×5 categories and a re-draft league.  If we forgot someone, please let us know in the comments and we’ll make sure he’s added for the updates. If you have questions for a specific ranker on something he did, let us know in the comments.

We can also be reached via Twitter:

There will be differences, sharp differences, within the rankings. The rankers have different philosophies when it comes to ranking, some of which you’re no doubt familiar with through previous iterations. Of course the idea that we’d all think the same would be silly because then what would be the point of including multiple rankers?!

Think someone should be higher or lower? Make a case. Let us know why you think that. Like I said, it’s early. Things are going to change.

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The chart is sortable and by default it’s sorted by AVG. If a ranker didn’t rank someone that the others did, he was given that ranker’s last rank +1. That would be 61 for Alan and Paul K., 56 for Colin, 54 for Ben, and 51 for Brad. They are indicated in red on the chart.

Key:

  • AVG– just the average of the seven ranking sets
  • Adj. AVG– the average minus the high and low rankings
  • SPLIT– the difference between the high and low rankings

Relievers – January Edition
PLAYER Paul S Alan Paul K Darren Colin Benjamin Brad AVG Adj. AVG Split
1 Kenley Jansen 2 1 3 1 3 1 2 1.9 1.8 2
2 Wade Davis 1 2 1 3 1 2 3 1.9 1.8 2
3 Craig Kimbrel 3 4 4 2 2 4 1 2.9 3.0 3
4 Aroldis Chapman 5 3 2 7 4 3 4 4.0 3.8 5
5 Zach Britton 4 7 6 4 6 5 5 5.3 5.2 3
6 Ken Giles 6 5 5 6 5 7 7 5.9 5.8 2
7 Jeurys Familia 10 6 7 5 9 6 10 7.6 7.6 5
8 Cody Allen 8 11 10 8 7 10 6 8.6 8.6 5
9 Trevor Rosenthal 7 9 9 10 11 11 8 9.3 9.4 4
10 David Robertson 9 10 8 11 10 8 11 9.6 9.6 3
11 Mark Melancon 14 8 13 9 13 9 9 10.7 10.6 6
12 Hector Rondon 11 12 11 13 16 14 13 12.9 12.6 5
13 A.J. Ramos 12 13 12 12 14 12 18 13.3 12.6 6
14 Brad Boxberger 18 18 17 15 8 13 17 15.1 16.0 10
15 Francisco Rodriguez 15 19 14 14 15 15 20 16.0 15.6 6
16 Huston Street 17 14 15 19 19 18 19 17.3 17.6 5
17 Glen Perkins 24 16 18 24 12 16 12 17.4 17.2 12
18 Shawn Tolleson 19 15 16 16 18 17 29 18.6 17.2 14
19 Carter Capps 13 20 20 23 26 25 15 20.3 20.6 13
20 Dellin Betances 16 24 22 17 22 20 24 20.7 21.0 8
21 Jonathan Papelbon 21 21 23 21 23 22 22 21.9 21.8 2
22 Andrew Miller 26 17 28 18 21 28 16 22.0 22.0 12
23 Sean Doolittle 20 23 22 25 17 21 30 22.6 22.2 13
24 Drew Storen 22 22 25 22 32 23 23 24.1 23.0 10
25 Steve Cishek 25 26 26 20 27 27 28 25.6 26.2 8
26 Santiago Casilla 30 27 19 27 28 24 25 25.7 26.2 11
27 Jake McGee 29 40 37 32 24 19 14 27.9 28.2 26
28 Will Smith 33 32 24 34 20 34 21 28.3 28.8 14
29 Jason Grilli 23 25 27 26 42 29 34 29.4 28.2 19
30 David Hernandez 27 29 29 28 35 31 31 30.0 29.6 8
31 Fernando Rodney 28 28 30 29 36 32 32 30.7 30.2 8
32 Arodys Vizcaino 34 31 33 31 37 26 26 31.1 31.0 11
33 Brad Ziegler 39 35 39 30 29 40 27 34.1 34.4 13
34 Joaquin Benoit 33 33 31 38 33 37 37 34.6 34.6 7
35 Corey Knebel 32 30 32 37 39 39 36 35.0 35.2 9
36 Jumbo Diaz 35 34 36 33 31 35 45 35.6 34.6 14
37 Jeremy Jeffress 34 38 40 35 30 33 51 37.3 36.0 21
38 Tony Watson 38 37 34 36 40 41 38 37.7 37.8 7
39 Darren O’Day 41 39 35 40 43 38 39 39.3 39.4 8
40 Hunter Strickland 31 36 43 44 34 36 51 39.3 38.6 20
41 Roberto Osuna 47 41 61 41 25 30 51 42.3 42.0 36
42 Ryan Madson 44 45 41 45 52 44 33 43.4 43.8 19
43 Nate Jones 43 52 42 39 47 54 35 44.6 44.6 19
44 Jason Motte 37 44 38 44 56 42 51 44.6 43.8 19
45 Joakim Soria 46 46 45 49 41 43 51 45.9 45.8 10
46 Joe Smith 45 53 44 47 51 54 46 48.6 48.4 10
47 Kevin Quackenbush 51 43 47 61 44 45 51 48.9 47.6 18
48 Koji Uehara 50 47 46 42 56 50 51 48.9 48.8 14
49 Kevin Jepsen 48 42 60 46 56 51 47 50.0 49.6 18
50 Brett Cecil 42 58 61 54 49 47 48 51.3 51.2 19





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

51 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
brittle.fuzMember since 2016
10 years ago

Great stuff, Gents.
Does the Boxburger ranking reflect yesterdays trade of McGee ?

czar
10 years ago
Reply to  brittle.fuz

Mine does, but only because I’m a procrastinator and finally sat down and wrote them out last night.

RP rankings are generally more fluid than other positions (particularly prior to ST) because so much value is derived from opportunity (ex: if Carter Capps was closing for the Marlins, I’d have ranked him in the top 5).

olerudshelmet
10 years ago
Reply to  czar

It seems like everyone is discounting Capp’s injury to close out last year. Or should I be less afraid of forearm tightness?

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  czar

I’m discounting it for now. I don’t think the club announces he’ll compete for the ninth inning if they had serious concerns.

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  czar

And I also sort of fuzzed in the McGee trade. It’s not in there perfectly, but it’s good enough. Every ranking always comes with a small +/-

Brian
10 years ago

Can you make a list like this for potential SP who have positional eligibility at RP?

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  Brian

Slightly different, but I plan to post on Yahoo eligible SP/RP – specifically the possible top relievers who can be used as SP.

Atreyu Jones
10 years ago
Reply to  Brad Johnson

Thanks. The list of good relievers w/ SP eligibility is helpful.

theojdMember since 2023
10 years ago

OK. I’m ready to hear why Osuna is ranked lower than such stalwarts as Jumbo Diaz, Jeremy Jefress, Hunter Strickland, etc…

Skills wise many of these relievers are really close and all good, but damn Osuna was really impressive last year before and after he took over as closer. Was great in the playoffs. Is he so low because he’s not a lock for the 9th inning? Neither are plenty of other guys in front of him so, again, what’s the deal?

theojdMember since 2023
10 years ago
Reply to  Paul Sporer

Is he though? I don’t know why, but Storen has lost the closer gig a few times with the Nats.

If Osuna starts, then he should have pretty good value as a RP eligible SP (though in my leagues that doesn’t matter).

If Osuna is in the pen, he’s at least as good as the other guys in front of him and I’d say he has better Save equity.

If he’s the closer, he should be moved way up the list.

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  theojd

I’m expecting Osuna to go to Triple-A.

exxroxMember since 2016
10 years ago
Reply to  Brad Johnson

What? That’s a pretty iffy assumption, Brad. The team is looking to win this year, their ace reliever will most certainly be on the opening day roster.

I would also be fairly surprised if he isn’t asked to close, but that’s at least up for debate.

I don’t think he will be asked to start at all.

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  Brad Johnson

They’re making noises about starting him, he was always thought to be a starter. He closed last season due to disastrous roster construction.

I did price other scenarios into his ranking, so I’m not saying this absolutely will happen. Only that it’s more likely than not. If the club is going to use him as a starter, then he kinda has to go back to the minors. Immediately.

Damaso
10 years ago
Reply to  Brad Johnson

“Disastrous roster construction” resulting in a playoff spot and a bullpen that finished top-10 in both fWAR and ra9WAR.

theojdMember since 2023
10 years ago
Reply to  Brad Johnson

Actually, the “ifs” represent the likely scenarios and they all support a better ranking imo.

Mark Liu
10 years ago

Did Estrada miss the list?
Other SP-elig RP?

WhiteMember since 2016
10 years ago
Reply to  Paul Sporer

Does this include guys like Trevor May or Drew Pomeranz?

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  Paul Sporer

Yes those would be true relievers.

Harrison
10 years ago

How do the values of RPs change in a 12 team H2H with 3 RP slots per team? How much more valuable are non-closers with high K’s? (e.g. Betances, Miller, Capps etc.)

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  Harrison

That’s a fairly standard setup. If anything, it makes those relievers less valuable since you only have 3 slots to accrue saves (and basically MUST use all of them). It would make your Kimbrel’s and Chapman’s more valuable.

Marco
10 years ago

What are the chances that Miller or Betances close for a month or two while Chapman serves a possible suspension and then they hold on to the role? Probably wishful thinking since I was planning on keeping Miller for a 20th round pick…

TheBach....man
10 years ago
Reply to  Marco

Since they already said that Chapman will not get suspended, this subject is mute

Jason BMember since 2017
10 years ago
Reply to  TheBach....man

Nope, mute. Chapman lost his vocal cords in a scary grain thrasher accident this morning. Should be ready to start the season tho.

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  TheBach....man

I think you’re confusing the police not pressing charges with the league. Still, it looks like any suspension will be small for want of evidence. Miller would likely close in his absence, but I’m thinking it will be no more than 2 weeks.

zwibi
10 years ago
Reply to  TheBach....man

Haha. Thanks Jason and Bach for the laughs. You tried Paul. It’s all we can ever do.

czar
10 years ago
Reply to  Marco

Certainly non-negligible, but the fact that no charges will be filed decreases the “high-end” suspension scenarios. I wouldn’t be shocked if MLB stepped in and did something like suspend him for 15 games, but tough to imagine them looking 1+ months.

rayguMember since 2024
10 years ago

Paul – why so low on Aroldis?

novaether
10 years ago
Reply to  Paul Sporer

If news came out that he wasn’t going to be suspended or disciplined in any way, where do you re-rank him?

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  Paul Sporer

I’d also have him #1.

Phoney McRingring
10 years ago

Curious others’ thoughts on Robertson vs. Rosenthal? They’re ranked about the same by most folk, but typically Rosenthal is ranked higher, in spite of the fact that Robertson tends to have higher K/9, lower BB/9, and lower WHIP. Is everyone simply assuming that St Louis will provide their closer with more saves than the ChiSox (which seems very tough to predict)? Or is there something else that I’m missing?

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago

Robertson’s profile isn’t a great fit for the Cell, and I think we saw that at times last year. Somehow, he got away with it in NYY. He’s still very good, but I think it’s easier to like Rosenthal’s better 2015, younger age, and superior home park.

martinMember since 2016
10 years ago

I will be target ing…..three closers….melancon, rosenthal, and tolleson
closers are a fickle bunch anyway…but these three closed out 94% of their chances last year. (as did F Rod, Jansen, and Miller…but they will cost a lot save miller, who we really don’t know what will happen)

I think the three closers will get decent rope based on their high success rate last year. and they should be available later, costing less

m

John Davoren
10 years ago

I’m surprised that AJ Ramos is so high given the recent report that the job is up for grabs and Capps could conceivably get that job.

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  John Davoren

That was hard to price in on the fly. My ranks were built before the news.

Ernesto
10 years ago

DH ranks still coming today?

Sergio R
10 years ago

Surprised/confused by SF relievers.

If Casilla deserves to be that low — and I’d rank him half a dozen spots higher — then shouldn’t Romo crack the top 50?

How do guys like Cishek, Storen, Doolittle provide more upside or less risk?

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  Sergio R

I don’t think Romo is a big factor. By now, Strickland should be the next in line.

I do agree with you re: Cishek, Storen, and Doolittle. Of the three, I only ranked Storen ahead of Casilla.

Eric
10 years ago

Why no love for Keone Kela or Luke Gregerson? Are they not worthy setup men who might also the back-up if the closer gets hurt?

Andrew Edenbaum
10 years ago
Reply to  Eric

Tolleson has lousy control. Owned him last year and he struggled down the stretch, even with all of his saves. Kela has all the tools.

lefty31mazurMember since 2016
10 years ago

Will Smith really improved vs righties last year. He had a 26.7 k-bb% vs L, and 24.3 k-bb% vs R. He also had 91k in 63.1 innings with 15.2 SwStr%. If you are looking for cheap saves, he could be a good pick since you have him ranked down at number 28.

Rosenthal leads all relief pitchers in total pitches by a pretty good margin during his time in the pen (2013-present). I would venture to guess Matheny has gotten him up in the pen a few times only to sit him back down as well because of the all important save opportunity. It seems like a pretty nice experiment on the limitations of the human arm. He might be completly healthy, but he had some elbow tightness last year. That has me thinking maybe there is some risk of injury there.

True and Correct
10 years ago

Thoughts on Kela ?