RotoGraphs Consensus Rankings – May Update: First Basemen
With the catchers already released, we’re in the midst of our first in-season rankings update which will run through next week. The remarkably stacked first base position remains so almost two months into the season with many of the expected studs doing their part while some mid-round assets have emerged to keep the position deep and strong even as a few would-be studs have sputtered and failed to deliver up to expectations just yet.
First base is one of those positions where earning the eligibility at the position isn’t automatically going to improve your value. The bat required to carry the position in fantasy is at such a high level that multi-eligible first basemen are often much more valuable at their other position(s). As such, there is little value to ranking someone like Buster Posey at the position.
At no point should you really be putting him in at first base as a long-term solution because then you’re running two catchers in your lineup which hurts your counting categories given their built-in off days. Posey definitely plays more than a lot of catchers as his days off are often spent at first, but even with that he’s only peaked at 610 PA for a season. That would’ve been good for 11th-most at the position last year.
Other names you won’t find here, but instead at their primary position include Todd Frazier (3B), Carlos Santana (3B), and Logan Forsythe (2B). Both Frazier and Santana have the bat to carry being a fantasy first baseman, but we’re putting ’em at third.
If you feel we missed including someone, please let us know in the comments.
For this update, you’ll get the rankings of myself, Zach Sanders, and Mike Podhorzer. Jeff Zimmerman will return for the midseason update. Without further ado:
| Num | Player | Team | League | Paul | Zach | Mike | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Goldschmidt | Diamondbacks | NL | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 |
| 2 | Miguel Cabrera | Tigers | AL | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2.0 |
| 3 | Anthony Rizzo | Cubs | NL | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3.3 |
| 4 | Jose Abreu | White Sox | AL | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3.7 |
| 5 | Edwin Encarnacion | Blue Jays | AL | 4 | 8 | 5 | 5.7 |
| 6 | Adrian Gonzalez | Dodgers | NL | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6.0 |
| 7 | Joey Votto | Reds | NL | 8 | 6 | 10 | 8.0 |
| 8 | Freddie Freeman | Braves | NL | 10 | 7 | 7 | 8.0 |
| 9 | Prince Fielder | Rangers | AL | 6 | 11 | 9 | 8.7 |
| 10 | Eric Hosmer | Royals | AL | 9 | 9 | 14 | 10.7 |
| 11 | Lucas Duda | Mets | NL | 11 | 10 | 16 | 12.3 |
| 12 | Albert Pujols | Angels | AL | 13 | 16 | 8 | 12.3 |
| 13 | Chris Davis | Orioles | AL | 12 | 15 | 12 | 13.0 |
| 14 | Brandon Belt | Giants | NL | 18 | 12 | 15 | 15.0 |
| 15 | David Ortiz | Red Sox | AL | 23 | 18 | 11 | 17.3 |
| 16 | Mark Teixeira | Yankees | AL | 14 | 14 | 28 | 18.7 |
| 17 | Adam LaRoche | White Sox | AL | 20 | 17 | 20 | 19.0 |
| 18 | Chris Carter | Astros | AL | 17 | 24 | 22 | 21.0 |
| 19 | Mike Napoli | Red Sox | AL | 15 | 26 | 23 | 21.3 |
| 20 | Adam Lind | Brewers | NL | 25 | 13 | 27 | 21.7 |
| 21 | Kendrys Morales | Royals | AL | 16 | 21 | 29 | 22.0 |
| 22 | Billy Butler | Athletics | AL | 22 | 23 | 21 | 22.0 |
| 23 | Ryan Zimmerman | Nationals | NL | 28 | 27 | 13 | 22.7 |
| 24 | Matt Adams | Cardinals | NL | 29 | 22 | 18 | 23.0 |
| 25 | Pedro Alvarez | Pirates | NL | 21 | 25 | 26 | 24.0 |
| 26 | Victor Martinez | Tigers | AL | 19 | 37 | 17 | 24.3 |
| 27 | Justin Morneau | Rockies | NL | 26 | 29 | 19 | 24.7 |
| 28 | Steve Pearce | Orioles | AL | 31 | 19 | 24 | 24.7 |
| 29 | Ryan Howard | Phillies | NL | 24 | 28 | 32 | 28.0 |
| 30 | Logan Morrison | Mariners | AL | 33 | 20 | 31 | 28.0 |
| 31 | Joe Mauer | Twins | AL | 32 | 32 | 25 | 29.7 |
| 32 | Mitch Moreland | Rangers | AL | 27 | 33 | 33 | 31.0 |
| 33 | Yonder Alonso | Padres | NL | 30 | 31 | 39 | 33.3 |
| 34 | James Loney | Rays | AL | 35 | 34 | 34 | 34.3 |
| 35 | Ike Davis | Athletics | AL | 39 | 30 | 35 | 34.7 |
| 36 | Michael Morse | Marlins | NL | 41 | 35 | 30 | 35.3 |
| 37 | Mark Canha | Athletics | AL | 36 | 39 | 36 | 37.0 |
| 38 | Justin Bour | Marlins | NL | 34 | 39 | 41 | 38.0 |
| 39 | C.J. Cron | Angels | AL | 40 | 39 | 37 | 38.7 |
| 40 | Max Muncy | Athletics | AL | 37 | 39 | 42 | 39.3 |
| 41 | Kyle Blanks | Rangers | AL | 38 | 38 | 43 | 39.7 |
| 42 | Justin Smoak | Blue Jays | AL | 42 | 39 | 38 | 39.7 |
| 43 | Jon Singleton | Astros | AL | 43 | 36 | 44 | 41.0 |
| 44 | Garrett Jones | Yankees | AL | 44 | 39 | 40 | 41.0 |
- The largest disparity in the group unsurprisingly comes with V.Mart. Mike and Zach are 20 spots on him and I lean much closer to Mike than Zach, though I completely understand the concerns surrounding V.Mart given his health, remarkably slow start, and the simple fact that he’s currently on the DL.
- There wasn’t total consensus on anyone, but it was really close on Goldschmidt, Rizzo, and Loney, all of whom had two rankers dead on and the third ranker just a spot away.
- The depth of the position is outlined by the fact that the AL leader in RBIs (Morales) sits 21st overall. Even my high-end ranking still only got to 16th. He’s been a top 10 1B to date, but it’s driven primarily on the gaudy RBI and R totals. He’s pacing toward 137 RBIs and 118 Rs, I can’t imagine either holds at that pace. His .302 AVG and 23 HR pace are much more in line with the Morales we saw from 2009-2013 when he averaged 22 HRs with a .286 AVG.
- The Top 10s were near consensus in terms of who showed up in them. There were just 12 different players among the trio of Top 10s. Fielder made it for myself and Mike, but not Zach; Hosmer didn’t make Mike’s, Duda only made Zach’s, and Pujols only made Mike’s. The eight names within all three Top 10s were Goldschmidt, Cabrera, Rizzo, Abreu, Encarnacion, Gonzalez, Votto, and Freeman.
So where would you slot David Ortiz in a league where he’s 1B eligible? He’s testing my patience………….
Son of a gun… I knew there’d be an obvious miss somewhere. Sorry, I’ll get the guys’ rankings for Ortiz and add it in no later than this evening in case the guys are still at work and can’t get the update to me until then.
Brandon Moss?
Outfield. His bat can carry 1B, but I’ve got him in the OF for these ranks.
Cool.
Thanks, even just your ranking on Ortiz would suffice.
Any update on Ortiz?
Ortiz is in there now!
Trumbo?
Im guessing hes the same as moss but where would you slot him? Thanks!
Where would Brandon Moss rank?
Also, Morales was just recently usurped as the best hitter in my points league by Kipnis and ranks 13th among hitters right now. I’m assuming that this means that the rankers believe that serious regression is coming?
Maybe I should have refreshed the page before posting my comment since I now see that Moss will be ranked in the OF rather than 1B.
Somewhat surprised to see how far down the list Ryan Howard is. I’m not a huge fan of his, but if he can hit in the .230s with 20+ HRs and 80+ RBIs, that carries pretty decent value. I like him more than someone like Matt Adams or Billy Butler who seem to have completely lost their ability to hit for power.
I could see him higher (as evidenced by the fact that I slotted him highest of the group), but keep in mind that his .223-23-95 season from last year was 29th among 1B on ESPN’s Player Rater last year. He’s pacing much better w/a 39 HR pace, but I see him closer to high-20s. If this is more than just a blazing hot May, I’ll raise him in my midseason.
That’s fair. I’m not a huge Howard fan and pretty much agree with your #23 ranking, I was just surprised to see him behind guys like Steve Pearce, Logan Morrison or Victor Martinez and his broken knees. I think the key for Howard is if he can avoid being a Batting Average drag, if he can keep his average hovering around .240 with 25+ HR pop, that would do a lot to increase his value.
What kind of sweetener would you add to Votto to get EE? Would the upgrade be worth the price?
Also will there be tiers?
What has Votto done to merit a top 12 ranking? May has been horrible. No power,No RBI and no extra base hits. Hosmer,Fielder and Duda should be above him. Find me any Hosmer,Fielder or Duda owner that would trade them 1 for 1 for Votto.
It’s a good thing we don’t base things entirely on 3/4ths of a month. His April was SO good that he’s still 11th in wRC+ among first basemen. Does that not count now bc it’s fallen off in May?
If you’re only using May, you can’t be too thrilled w/Abreu’s ranking, either.
Remember, these are rankings for the rest of the way, not just a ranking list based on what they’ve already done.
I own Hosmer, and I would consider a Votto trade. If I owned Duda, I would no doubt make that deal.
I’m OK w/valuing them all close. I have them 8-9-11 and my love for Votto is well-known. Meanwhile I’ve been slow to convert on Hosmer after getting burnt in the past, but I think this 9 ranking says I’m bought in.
Votto owner here. I wouldn’t dream of trading him for Hosmer or Dude and I’m in a dynasty league.
Surprised to see LaRoche as high as 16. There is nothing promising about his first two months. His K% is way up, his ISO is down, there’s no BABIP relief in sight because it already stands at .295. Are we looking at his cliff year?
We certainly could be. I’m not hot on him, even with the track record that suggest 25-80 is all-but-guaranteed. Without doing a full tier breakdown, I loosely would have LaRoche-to-Lind as a tier so they could reasonably be flipped.
Still giving LaRoche more time to see if this is just some transition struggles w/a new team & league or the start of something worse. I’m heartened a bit by the patience displayed in May, though the lack of power is of course most concerning.
I know he’s been a quad-A guy before, but Colabello? Or are you putting him in the OF too?
He will be in the OF names to rank, but I’d be surprised if he makes a dent. Love the story, but need more than 20 gms considered we might be seeing the same thing we saw last year.
Couldn’t you just rank the multi position guys instead of writing three paragraphs about how you aren’t ranking them? You don’t know the circumstances of everyone in every league. Auction leagues in particular often end up using these multi position guys at 1b.
I hear you, but it’s sub-optimal play almost regardless of league setup, especially if you’re slotting a catcher in there. I’m fine with ranking guys at like 2B, 3B, and SS if they qualify, but 1B is a different beast, IMO. It is so stacked and requires such a good bat to hold the position that playing C-elig or 2B-elig guys there just doesn’t make much sense to me.
Many leagues use a 1b/3b right? It seems like not much extra work with little downside to include it.
Easy for me to say
Everyone who has Posey knows to use him at catcher already, but sometimes you are able to draft, trade, or waiver wire someone of value at a discount that makes sense that might push your catcher to 1B, especially if your real 1B is injured.
There are plenty of situations in which we might need to see a Posey type compared to other 1B.
Give us all the information and let us decide what to do.
Agreed Pat! Besides, Chris Davis is 3B eligible in Yahoo! leagues, but still listed here. He plays 1B on my team despite the 3B eligibility due to having a good 3B already. To add to it, I cycle several players between C, 1B, 3B, OF, and UTIL spots because of the flexibility afforded to me by the eligibilities depending on the matchups. In fact, all of my 1B options have other positions that they’re eligible at. It would be nice to have the information about them.
Hell, I play Miggy at 3rd.
What about Vogt?
How far does L. Duda shoot up in a obp league?