Roto Riteup: June 22, 2015

As Mr. Sanders was traveling yesterday, he bribed me with some peanut butter M&M’s to take today’s Roto Riteup. Obviously the PB kind are the best M&M’s; they’re easy 6.0 candy above replacement. For what it’s worth, I think Pez are replacement level candy.

On today’s agenda:
1. Buying Jose Quintana
2. Marlon Byrd’s Power
3. Streaming Pitching Options

Buying Jose Quintana
After holding Rangers to a pair of runs over seven innings, gathering five strikeouts along the way, Quintana has posted 11 quality starts in 14 chances. The QS is far from perfect, but the 26-year-old does own a 73:26 strikeout to walk ratio in 87.1 innings pitched. Quintana’s 3.92 ERA isn’t particularly noteworthy, nor is his 3.69 FIP, however I’m still picking him up in my standard leagues. Prior to yesterday’s outing Quintana owned a 10 percent swinging strike rate, the best single season mark of his career. According to Brooks Baseball, Quintana has increased his curveball usage, a trend that has continued for three consecutive seasons. Assuming the higher frequency of the curve is a conscious choice by the White Sox, I think Quintana can keep some of the SwStr% gains. With only three wins and a rather “meh” ERA this season, it appears as some owners have lost faith in him. As a refresher, from 2012-2014 among starters with at least 300 innings pitched, Quintana’s 3.55 ERA ranks 41st out of 121 pitchers. His 3.55 FIP rates slightly better at 35th in that group. Despite the track record, Quintana can be picked up in over 50 percent of ESPN leagues and 40 percent of Yahoo! formats but just 23 percent of CBS leagues.

Marlon Byrd’s power
Since being activated from the 15-day disabled list on Friday, Byrd has four hits in three games, with one going for a home run. His batting average and on-base percentage won’t win him any awards, however even at age-37, Byrd can launch some dingers. With 11 long balls in 196 plate appearances already plus ZiPS and Steamer projecting 15 and nine home runs respectively, Byrd is an ideal source of cheap power. He’s hit mostly fifth or sixth in the lineup thus far, behind OBP machine Joey Votto and solid OBP guys in Todd Frazier and Jay Bruce. With three batters reaching base at above average clips, Byrd is placed in an ideal position for his power to translate to RBIs. One can find him free to pick up in over 65 percent of Yahoo! and CBS settings as well as over 85 percent of ESPN formats.


Streaming Pitching Options
If you enjoy streaming pitchers, tune into the Roto Riteup for recommendations each and every day.

A pitcher for today: Tommy Milone vs CWS (John Danks)
The White Sox rate last in league as per wRC+ against southpaws. Milone doesn’t miss a ton of bats, yet I still like him to post a solid outing at home today. He’s owned in just 24 percent of CBS formats and less than 10 percent of Yahoo! and ESPN leagues.

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A pitcher for tomorrow: CC Sabathia vs PHI (Sean O’Sullivan)
Sabathia’s 5.31 ERA isn’t pretty, however his 8.02 K/9 and 1.63 BB/9 are more than solid. The Phillies have hit below league average when facing a left-hander and I like him to pick up the win. One can stream CC in over half of CBS leagues and over 80 percent of ESPN and Yahoo! settings.





You can catch David spouting off about baseball, soccer, esports and other things by following him on twitter, @davidwiers.

17 Comments
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Vader
11 years ago

Pez is the Edwin Jackson of candy.

Emcee Peepants
11 years ago

Don’t sleep on the Crispy M&M’s they give the PB a run for their money, sort of the 2012 Bryce Harper to the 2012 Mike Trout.

DeQuarium Lumpkin
11 years ago

Can we get a Rotographs item on Ben Paulsen? He’s got a career .312/.357/.580 line with 9 HR in 168 PA. He could get half of Colorado’s playing time at 1B, depending on how well Morneau recovers from post-concussion symptoms. How much should we expect him to regress? Does he look like a platoon bench bat for mixed leagues?

DeQuarium Lumpkin
11 years ago
Reply to  David Wiers

Thanks! One more question, if you can:

I have a mix of OF options and will need to drop one to make room for a player off the DL. Who should I drop?

Here are my OFs and my ROS dollar values:

Gordon ($10), Reddick ($8), R. Davis ($8), Peralta ($6), Cabrera ($5), Paulsen (-$1), Granderson (-$4), Holliday ($13).

Obviously, I play Gordon and Reddick just about every day, then rotate the third OF and one UT slot based on matchups. I just traded for Granderson.

My thinking is to drop Davis even though he projects as more valuable ROS. He’s only a favorable matchup against LHP and I’m punting SB completely, so he’s less valuable to me than his projection suggests.

After that, I plan on seeing if Cabrera regresses toward his projection and if Paulsen can keep this up, dropping one of them when Holliday is back.

Jimmy
11 years ago

I second this notion.

Nitro
11 years ago

I am in a 10 team HTH points keeper league.

Trade question:

Miggy and Lackey for King Felix and Posey

I have Donaldson at 3B and can use Posey at 1B, as I have Russel Martin

DeQuarium Lumpkin
11 years ago
Reply to  Nitro

Depends on scoring system, points needs, and salaries. Strictly by value, though, I wouldn’t give up Cabrera. I’m in a 12-team 6×6 H2H mixed league and my projection spreadsheet gives the following rest-of-season values:

Cabrera: $44
Lackey: $15

Hernandez: $28
Posey (as 1B): $20

In a 10-team league, it’s an even worse deal, as elite players produce a greater share of the value above replacement, given the higher replacement level.

Mike W.
11 years ago

David, I have been offered Yasmani Grandal for Jonathan LuCroy. Is this a fair trade and one you would pull the trigger on if it meant getting Grandal?

oliver
11 years ago

got offered Dee and Cain for Correa and Joc. My other ss is Jose Reyes, my starting 2b is forsythe and my outfielders are Stanton Springer and Ells on the DL. 10 team points league

Zachary
11 years ago

If you could get Lynn for Kemp would ya?