Quick Looks: Boyd, DeSclafani, Montas by Jeff Zimmerman September 23, 2015 Matt Boyd (45 CV/50+ FV) 8/28 vs Blue Jays Game Thoughts • The 24-year-old lefty was very blahh in the start I saw. • His fastball was 89-94 mph, straight and thrown high in the zone. It may even have a bit of “rise” to it • His slider was 77-78 mph with 11-6 break and the only pitch he has which can create ground balls. • His change was 78-80 mph and straight. It follows the same path as his fastball, but 10 mph slower. It eats up right-handed hitters. • Finally, he threw a few curves which were at 69-72 mph with 11-6 break • Boyd’s high fastball and change are going to give up some flyballs. Among starters with 40 IP, he has the 7th lowest GB% at 32.4%. He could end up with home run issues as he is this season with a 2.6 HR/9. • He throwing away too many pitches which aren’t even near the strike zone. He gets into too many long at bats and ends up working from behind. He lost a little velo as the game went on never getting over 93 mph on his fastball after the 3rd inning. Final thoughts: I can see why the Blue Jays traded away the fly ball heavy pitcher. He would give up a bunch of home runs in Rogers Centre as he did in this start. I wish he had one good trait, but there isn’t one. Something needs to play up for him to be a reliable fantasy option. Right now, he is only good for spot starts in deep leagues in the right park. Anthony DeSclafani (CV: 45/FV: 50) 7/29/15 vs Cardinals Game Thoughts • He has not improved since the last time I did a Quick Looks on him. • The 25-year-old righty came at hitters with a basic 3/4 motion. • He kept his pitches down in the zone. • His fastballs were 89-93 mph. His 2-seamer broke down and was 89-91. The 91-93 mph 4-seamer broke release side. Both didn’t have a ton of movement and were tough to tell apart. • His 1/7 slider was 86-89 and completely inconsistent. He hung a few which got crushed. • He had a sharp, non-loopy 77-79 mph curve which just broke down in the zone. • He also through what was labeled 86 mph a change. It was useless and rarely near the strike zone. • The biggest issue with me is his fastballs and sliders, which make up ~86% of his pitches, are within 7 mph from the high (93 mph) to the low (86 mph). The way he was hanging sliders, they were getting crushed. Final thoughts: Like Boyd, something needs to improve with DeSclafani. He needs some consistency with each pitch type and differentiation between the types. He needs to make the change or curve into a usable weapon. Francelis Montas (CV: 50/FV: 60) 9/13 vs Twins Game Thoughts • I saw the 22-year-old righty throw three innings of relief. • His fastball was between 95-98 mph with little movement. He can blow it by some hitters but not all of them. Additionally, he can’t always throw it for strikes as seen by his 46% Zone% with it. • He had a plus 12/6 slider which he can throw for strikes (45% Zone%) or get some swinging strikes (17% SwStr%). The slider can be inconsistent at times and he can hang a few. • He struggled with walks since he could get the fastball over. • I based he his current and future values on his ability to be a closer. As a starter, I don’t think he has enough of an arsenal be effective. Reminds me of Kevin Gausman in that he can throw gas with a good breaker, but just those two pitches aren’t enough to be a successful starter. Final thoughts: He can step in the bullpen now and be a nice closer, but the White Sox will look to see if he can make it as a starter. I am not sure he can with the two pitches and a fastball which only has speed. Notes on process I will continue to implement player grading on the scouting scales of 20-80. I will use Kiley McDaniels scale he discussed in this article. Grade Hitter Starting Pitcher Relief Pitcher WAR 80 Top 1-2 #1 Starter —- 7 75 Top 2-3 #1 —- 6 70 Top 5 #1/2 —- 5 65 All-Star #2/3 —- 4 60 Plus #3 High Closer 3 55 Above Avg #3/4 Mid Closer 2.5 50 Avg Regular #4 Low CL/High SU 2 45 Platoon/Util #5 Low Setup 1.5 40 Bench Swing/Spot SP Middle RP 1 35 Emergency Call-Up Emergency Call-Up Emergency Call-Up 0 30 *Organizational *Organizational *Organizational -1 I will give a value for where I think the pitcher could currently fit in on the average team (CV=current value) and where they could end up (FV=future value). I am sure I will disagree with some grades from others, but I am only looking at one game. Note: If I say a pitch moves 11-5, it is from the pitcher’s perspective.